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ALT A car drives through a snowstorm in Broomfield, Colorado, in 2024. Credit: Bob Hyatt/NOAA
ALT The 2026-2027 U.S. Winter Outlook map for temperature shows the greatest chances for warmer-than-average conditions in the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Midwest, Mississippi Valley, much of the East and Alaska. (Image credit: NOAA)
ALT A NOAA 6–10 Day Precipitation Outlook map valid for November 3–7, 2026, showing precipitation probability anomalies across the United States. Most of the central, southern, and eastern portions of the country, as well as southern Alaska, are favored for above-normal precipitation, with the greatest likelihood centered over the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley. Below-normal precipitation is favored across the northern Rockies and northern Plains, with near-normal conditions expected across the Pacific Northwest and northern Alaska.
ALT A NOAA 6–10 Day Temperature Outlook map valid for November 3–7, 2026, illustrating forecast temperature probability anomalies across the United States. Above-normal temperatures are heavily favored across almost all of the United States. A region of near-normal temperatures is predicted across parts of the Desert Southwest and southern Rockies.
ALT A U.S. Drought Monitor map displays dryness levels and drought impacts across the nation for October 27, 2026. Severe to exceptional drought dominates large portions of the lower Mississippi Valley, the interior West, and the Upper Midwest, with widespread dry conditions reaching into the southern Plains and Southeast. In contrast, extensive areas of the Plains, central Midwest, and the Mid-Atlantic remain largely free of significant drought.
ALT Graph showing elevated water levels entering the minor flooding stage at the La Jolla, CA station
ALT U.S. surface weather map valid 8am EDT Oct 28, 2026 showing fronts, H/L pressure centers, green hatched areas for rain/thunderstorms, purple for mixed/heavy snow in the Northwest, and Tropical Storm Vance off Mexico.
ALT Moisture will be returning to the U.S. this week. Locally heavy rainfall will enter western Texas Thursday into Friday from the remnants of T.S. Vance. A storm system will enter the southern West Coast Friday and Saturday, brining widespread showers and thunderstorms.
ALT Image from CORA capturing historical maximum water levels for California’s San Francisco Bay area in yellow and red on a dark gray map
ALT NOAA Weather Prediction Center map showing a Marginal Risk (at least 5%) of excessive rainfall and flash flooding across portions of southern New Mexico and western Texas, including the Big Bend region. An embedded Slight Risk area (at least 15%) covers portions of southeastern New Mexico and far western Texas.
ALT NOAA Weather Prediction Center map showing Marginal Risk (at least 5%) areas of excessive rainfall and flash flooding across portions of Arizona, New Mexico, and western and central Texas. An embedded Slight Risk area (at least 15%) covers portions of southwestern Arizona, including areas near the California and Mexico borders.
ALT National Weather Service map showing forecast daytime high temperatures across the continental U.S. for Oct 31, 2026, with color fill for departures from climatology — warmest (70s–80s°F) in the central and eastern states, cooler (40s–60s°F) along the West Coast and Pacific Northwest.
ALT A NOAA 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook map valid for October 27–31, 2026, showing probability trends across the United States. Above-normal precipitation is expected across much of the central, southern, southwestern US, Alaska, and Hawaii, while below-normal precipitation is favored for the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and parts of the Pacific Northwest.
ALT A NOAA 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook map valid for October 27–31, 2026, displaying probability trends for the United States. Above-normal temperatures are favored for Alaska, Hawaii, and the central, southern, and eastern US. Below-normal temperatures are favored for parts of the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, and Northern California.
ALT A U.S. Drought Monitor map valid October 20, 2026, highlights conditions across Midwestern states. Northern Michigan's Upper Peninsula and Northern Wisconsin are experiencing the most intense drought while moderate drought covers large parts of Minnesota, Illinois, and Kentucky.
ALT This map displays the 60-day percent of normal precipitation across the central United States, valid as of October 17, 2026. Below-normal precipitation conditions stretch across parts of the Upper and Lower Midwest. Above-normal precipitation stretches across central areas of the Midwest, especially Iowa.
ALT A U.S. Drought Monitor map valid for October 20, 2026, showing varying intensity levels of dryness across the country. Significant severe to exceptional drought conditions span broad areas of the West, Plains, and South-Central states, as well as parts of the Upper Midwest. Abnormally dry and extreme drought conditions are scattered along the East Coast. The Central Plains, large parts of the Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic and mostly drought free.
ALT National Weather Service graphic warning of scattered severe thunderstorms across Arizona Wednesday Oct 21, highlighting large 2+ inch hail, isolated tornadoes, and damaging winds with highest risk near Phoenix, Flagstaff and Lake Havasu City; monitor forecasts.
ALT A Slight Risk (yellow, at least 15% chance) covers much of Arizona, including Phoenix, extending into southern Utah and western New Mexico. A separate Slight Risk area affects portions of coastal Southern California. A broader Marginal Risk (green, at least 5% chance) extends across portions of California, Nevada, Arizona, Utah, and New Mexico.
ALT The Slight Risk shifts eastward, covering portions of eastern Nevada, southern Utah, much of Arizona, and western New Mexico, including Phoenix. A broader Marginal Risk encompasses surrounding areas of Nevada, Utah, Arizona, and New Mexico, with a separate area near coastal Southern California.
ALT A closed low and associated moisture conveyor belt (PWATS 3-4 standard deviations above average) will bring a level 2/4 flash flooding risk. The mountain ranges, especially burn scars, of Southern California to the Four Corners region will see heavy rainfall (1-2 inches).
ALT Latest Key Messages for the October Nor'easter. A non-tropical low pressure system will develop and intensify well off the North Carolina coast early this week before slowly tracking north and exiting the region by late week. The storm will likely bring long-duration coastal impacts to portions of the Mid-Atlantic, especially for the North Carolina Outer Banks. Persistent and strong onshore winds will result in moderate coastal flooding, dangerous marine conditions and beach erosion, especially at high tide cycles, through mid-week from southern New Jersey through the North Carolina coast. The storm is likely to bring wind gusts in excess of 45 mph, most likely across the Outer Banks region and the Virginia Tidewater. Exact details on the magnitude and location of the impacts through the week are still evolving. Check weather.gov regularly for the latest updates.