Pinned Tweet
๐ฅ OWS FAM CRASHED THE LEADERBOARDS ๐ฅ
๐$150,000 for 2nd in The Milly and loads of three, four and five figure take downs across the community!
๐ธHuge congrats to the Fam on a bink filled Week 6!
WHAT IF MIKE EVANS IS OUT? ๐
PURDY + KITTLE + CMC
This trio has already shown some ceiling this season with Mike Evans dominating 24% of the targets.
๐ 6 games together
๐ฅ 3x salary: 50% of games
The $19,900 stack needs 59.7 DK points to hit 3x.
If Evans misses, does that change how we approach the 49ers' passing game?
Kittle and CMC could be key pieces, but the question is whether this trio can finally turn its ceiling into a tournament-winning score.
See how the numbers stack up with the OWS Stacks Tool ๐
Searching for Ceiling - Week 7 xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1dGYlaEnLโฆ
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SHOWDOWN CHALK
Currently Projecting for 30%+ Ownership
DRAFTKINGS ๐
TOTAL // CAPTAIN
โซ๏ธCALEB WILLIAMS โ 73% // 20%
โซ๏ธDRAKE MAYE โ 73% // 17%
โซ๏ธD'ANDRE SWIFT โ 54% // 13%
โซ๏ธA.J. BROWN โ 53% // 14%
โซ๏ธLUTHER BURDEN III โ 39% // 8%
โซ๏ธCOLSTON LOVELAND โ 36% // 5%
โซ๏ธRHAMONDRE STEVENSON โ 35% // 5%
FANDUEL ๐ต
TOTAL // MVP
โซ๏ธCALEB WILLIAMS โ 85% // 28%
โซ๏ธDRAKE MAYE โ 84% // 27%
โซ๏ธD'ANDRE SWIFT โ 65% // 14%
โซ๏ธA.J. BROWN โ 47% // 9%
โซ๏ธLUTHER BURDEN III โ 41% // 5%
โซ๏ธCAIRO SANTOS โ 34% // 2%
โซ๏ธDEMARIO DOUGLAS โ 34% // 2%
โซ๏ธRHAMONDRE STEVENSON โ 33% // 3%
โซ๏ธCOLSTON LOVELAND โ 32% // 3%
CAN THE PUKA + CORUM STACK PAY OFF? ๐
$13,400 for the Rams duo with no Davante.
Across 11 games together, the stack has hit:
๐ 3x: 64% of games
๐ฅ 4x: 27% of games
๐ฅ 5x: 9% of games
That means 7 of 11 games cleared 3x, including 3 games at 4x and one at 5x.
For Week 7, the question is whether Puka Nacua + Blake Corum can do it again.
See how the numbers stack up with the OWS Stacks Tool and try it yourself only at OneWeekSeason. ๐
FIRST LOOK WEEK 7 PLAYERS TO WATCH ๐
The players drawing interest early in the week ๐ฅ
BROCK PURDY
Atlanta has allowed four of five QBs to throw for 285+ yards. Purdy gets an above-average road spot.
GEORGE KITTLE
Season-high eight targets with Evans injured. Tight ends have scored 15+ DK points against Atlanta.
JA'MARR CHASE
Opposing WR1s have feasted on Baltimore. Olave, Lamb, Tate and London all posted 20+ DK points.
ZAY FLOWERS
An intriguing option if Lamar Jackson is active.
TETAIROA MCMILLAN
Averaging 9.6 targets per game against a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed five WRs to top 20 DK points.
C.J. STROUD
Three 300+ yard games in his last five. Interesting on a 10-game slate with Tank Dell returning and Marvin Harrison Jr. added.
MALIK NABERS
Topped 110 yards and 26 DK points in three straight games, while still priced under $7,000.
JAHMYR GIBBS
Averaging 32.1 DK points per game with 92% of Detroit's backfield fantasy points. Green Bay is allowing 27.3 DK points per game to opposing backfields.
Find the rest of the guys @wgabelman has interest in for Week 7 in The Scroll at OneWeekSeason. ๐ฅ
OWS NBA PROPS STARTS THE SEASON 4-0. ๐งน๐ฅ
Opening night. Four picks. Four wins.
โ
Neemias Queta UNDER 7.5 rebounds (-104)
โ
LeBron James UNDER 7.5 assists (-108)
โ
Karl-Anthony Towns UNDER 4.5 assists (+116)
โ
Isaiah Hartenstein OVER 2.5 assists (+102)
DAILY RECAP:
๐ 4-0
๐ +4.2 Units
๐ฐ +97.7% ROI
One night down.
The NBA season is just getting started. Don't miss out.
DFS Labs: Fanduel Edition, Week 7 xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1RKZzBdyOโฆ
MOVES TO MAKE FOR WEEK 7 ๐
Be ahead of the game, not behind it.
PLAYERS TO BUY ๐
JAYLEN WARREN โฌ๏ธ
Warren's role took a hit with Rico Dowdle back in Week 6, but we've seen what he can do with a workhorse workload.
Now's your chance to buy the upside at a discount. That could be the difference-maker when the playoffs roll around.
CAM SKATTEBO โฌ๏ธ
I was lower on Skattebo than almost anyone entering the season, but now is the perfect time to buy.
His value couldn't get much lower, and he should continue getting healthier after last season's serious leg injury. The team has made its point, and a return to a 15-20 touch role is in play.
Anyone who started him in Week 6 is ready to say, "Good riddance."
TRAVIS ETIENNE JR. โฌ๏ธ
The Saints have a good offense and a not-so-good defense, setting them up for plenty of high-scoring games. Their backfield has also been a mess without Etienne.
He's out this week and then on bye in Week 8, but an expected return in Week 9 could put him in a lucrative role for the stretch run. Buy now before that opportunity arrives.
PLAYERS TO SELL ๐
GARRETT WILSON โฌ๏ธ
The Jets keep adding options to the offense, with first-round pick Omar Cooper Jr. breaking out in Week 6.
Wilson should remain the top option, but this offense wants to play slow and has plenty of mouths to feed. If you can still get solid value for Wilson, now is a reasonable time to make the move.
SAQUON BARKLEY โฌ๏ธ
The Eagles' season is circling the drain, and Barkley is 29 with multiple injuries already this season.
Trade rumors add another layer of uncertainty, and nobody knows what his next landing spot would look like. Move him while his name value and upside still carry plenty of weight.
Check in every week for @mjohnson_86's Top Waiver Pickups along with his players to Buy and Sell ๐
๐ช๐๐๐ ๐ณ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ข๐ ๐
The entire slate, game by game.
Hereโs where @wgabelman's head is at early in the week.
๐ฆ๐ โ๏ธ@ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ชถ
Brock Purdy gets an above-average matchup against a Falcons defense that has allowed four of its last five opposing QBs to throw for 285+ yards. Atlanta is facing over 40 pass attempts per game, putting ๐ฃ๐๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ in an interesting spot.
The bigger question is what happens if ๐ ๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ and ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฏ๐ผ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐บ๐๐ฒ๐น both miss.
๐๐ฒ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐๐๐น๐ฒ ($5,700) saw a season-high eight targets last week, while ๐๐ ๐ ($7,600) received double-digit targets for the first time all season after Evans exited. If both receivers are out, I'm considering a rule to roster one of Kittle or CMC on most builds.
The matchup is less appealing for Atlanta. ๐๐ถ๐ท๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฅ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ผ๐ป ($8,500) has the talent and workload, but no RB has rushed for more than 90 yards against San Francisco. ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ผ๐ป ($7,500) also faces a middling matchup, while Kyle Pitts is coming off a two-TD performance against a defense that has yet to allow a touchdown to a TE.
๐๐๐ก ๐ฏ @ ๐๐๐ ๐ฆโโฌ
The QB matchup doesn't stand out for either side. ๐๐ผ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ ($6,900) has topped 25 DK points just once this season, and Baltimore hasn't allowed an opposing QB to throw for more than one TD or 276 yards in a game.
๐๐ฎ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐๐ผ๐ป would be more interesting at $200 less than Burrow if healthy, particularly after Malik Willis rushed for 74 yards and a TD against Cincinnati last week.
The matchup through the air is much more appealing for ๐๐ฎ'๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ฒ.
Chris Olave, CeeDee Lamb, Carnell Tate and Drake London have all posted 20+ DK points against Baltimore, with three of the four exceeding 110 receiving yards.
๐ญ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐น๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ($6,900) and ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ ($3,900) are also in play if Lamar returns. On the ground, Chase Brown hasn't been effective, but ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฎ๐ท๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ ($4,600) could become an interesting salary saver if there's news of an expanded role.
๐ง๐ ๐ดโโ ๏ธ @ ๐๐๐ฅ ๐โโฌ
This is shaping up as one of my favorite games to build around. ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ผ๐๐ป๐ด has been impressive, joining Peyton Manning and Drew Brees as the only QBs to open a season with 280+ passing yards and at least one TD in each of their first five games.
Tampa Bay has already allowed five receivers to top 20 DK points, including Denzel Boston, Jordan Addison, George Pickens, DK Metcalf and Germie Bernard.
๐ง๐ฒ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฎ ๐ ๐ฐ๐ ๐ถ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ป averages 9.6 targets per game, while ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ averages 8.8. Expect at least one to have a strong game.
๐๐ต๐๐ฏ๐ฎ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ ($6,700) is a tougher click despite his strong season. Tampa Bay has yet to allow an opposing RB to rush for more than 58 yards or produce more than 8.6 receiving DK points.
Baker Mayfield could return for Tampa Bay, which would help the overall game environment. Bryce Young is preferred at just $400 more.
Carolina has tightened up against opposing RBs since allowing big games to D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai early in the season, making ๐๐๐ฐ๐ธ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด less appealing than his DraftKings matchup might suggest.
๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ธ๐ฎ ๐๐ด๐ฏ๐๐ธ๐ฎ is my favorite bring-back after seeing 16 targets in Week 6.
๐ก๐ฌ๐ ๐ต @ ๐๐ข๐จ ๐
๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฑ ($5,700) is initially interesting after posting three 300+ passing-yard games in his last five outings. He should have a full complement of weapons with Tank Dell potentially returning and Marvin Harrison Jr. getting another week in the offense.
The Giants have limited most opposing QBs this season, but Matthew Stafford threw for 325 yards and four TDs against them. Stroud has the upside to take advantage if that performance is the blueprint.
The bigger draw may be the pass catchers.
๐ ๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ธ ๐ก๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ($6,800) has topped 110 yards and 26 DK points in three straight games while still costing less than $7,000. ๐๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ต ๐๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ๐น๐ ($5,300) is coming off his third game of at least 23.9 DK points and leads the Giants in red-zone targets.
Both are firmly in my player pool. ๐ก๐ถ๐ฐ๐ผ ๐๐ผ๐น๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ ($7,200) remains a strong option, but the potential returns of Dell and Harrison could spread Stroud's targets around more than usual.
Neither backfield stands out, with both teams splitting their RB opportunities and neither defense allowing an opposing RB to rush for 85 yards.
๐๐ก๐ ๐@ ๐ ๐๐ก ๐ฃ
The Vikings defense is a priority early in the week.
๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ถ๐ฒ๐น ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ has thrown as many interceptions as TDs in every game this season, has six interceptions overall and has taken 15 sacks. Minnesota is just $3,500 and gets a QB who has struggled with turnovers and pressure.
The Vikings' ground game is also interesting against an Indianapolis defense that has allowed Derrick Henry, Kenneth Walker and Jaylen Warren to top 150 total yards. ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ has handled 22+ touches in four straight games without Jordan Mason. If Mason can't return from IR, Jones is back in consideration.
The other side is much less appealing. ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ป ๐ง๐ฎ๐๐น๐ผ๐ฟ ($8,000) has an extremely difficult matchup against a Vikings defense that has held opposing RBs to 3.2 yards per carry outside of one long Ollie Gordon run.
The opposing backfields have also combined for just 27 receiving yards against Minnesota despite 16 targets.
๐๐๐๐๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐ป ($7,300) hasn't reached double-digit targets this season and is averaging fewer than five catches per game. He remains capable of a ceiling performance, but the early matchup and usage aren't especially compelling.
๐ ๐๐ ๐ฌ @ ๐ก๐ฌ๐ โ๏ธ
The first thing I saw was the DST price. ๐๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ง ($2,900) is averaging nearly three sacks per game and has held its three home opponents to 14 points per game. Miami finally topped 13 points for the first time all season last week, making New York my favorite mid-range defense.
Neither QB stands out. No QB has needed 40 attempts against Miami, while ๐ ๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ธ ๐ช๐ถ๐น๐น๐ถ๐ hasn't thrown for 225 yards or more than one TD in a game this season.
๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฒ๐น๐ผ๐ป ๐๐น๐น๐ฒ๐ป ($5,900) is the exception if Breece Hall misses another game. Allen has handled 16, 25 and 19 touches in the three games without Hall.
The receiving matchups are less appealing. No WR has topped 20 DK points against Miami, tempering interest in ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ช๐ถ๐น๐๐ผ๐ป ($6,500). No Dolphins pass catcher has topped 14.7 DK points all season, which leaves ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ฒ๐ฏ ๐๐ผ๐๐ด๐น๐ฎ๐ and ๐ ๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ธ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐๐ผ๐ป as difficult clicks despite their sub-$5,000 salaries.
For now, it's mostly Allen and the Jets defense.
๐๐๐ ๐ค @ ๐ง๐๐ก โ๏ธ
๐๐ฎ๐บ ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ ($4,600) has accounted for more than 190 total yards just once this season and hasn't thrown multiple passing TDs in a game. Even at home and at a discount, he feels close to unplayable.
๐๐ฒ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ป ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐๐ผ๐ป has the Browns atop the AFC North, but the road matchup is fairly neutral and Cleveland is averaging fewer than 30 pass attempts per game.
Neither rushing attack stands out. Cleveland has allowed just one TD to opposing RBs all season, while its own backfield could get crowded with Quinshon Judkins and Dylan Sampson potentially returning.
The more interesting angle is Cleveland's receiving game. Tennessee hasn't allowed a TE to top 34 receiving yards, potentially concentrating more targets on ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐น ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ผ๐ป and ๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ($4,400). Concepcion leads the team in targets, receptions and red-zone targets, making him an appealing early value.
On the other side, rookie ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป๐ฒ๐น๐น ๐ง๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ($5,100) has posted games of 19 and 25 DK points in two of his last three outings and is worth keeping in mind.
๐๐๐ก ๐ @ ๐๐ฅ๐ ๐ฆ
๐๐ผ ๐ก๐ถ๐
($5,000) is a genuinely intriguing option despite a disappointing season so far. Arizona has allowed 20+ DK points to Drew Lock, Brock Purdy, Jameis Winston and Jared Goff, despite none attempting more than 33 passes. The Cardinals have also allowed 64 rushing yards and a TD on just eight total QB rush attempts.
This could be Nix's easiest matchup of the season. ๐๐ฎ๐๐น๐ฒ๐ป ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐น๐ฒ ($5,500) leads Denver in targets and receiving yards, making him the preferred stacking partner.
Arizona has allowed multiple strong performances through the air, including 9-155-3 to Jaxon Smith-Njigba and 6-112-1 to Malik Nabers. Several other receivers and TEs have topped 18 DK points.
The matchup is more difficult for ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐๐, as Denver has held most QBs in check.
Still, ๐ ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฒ๐น ๐ช๐ถ๐น๐๐ผ๐ป and ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ ๐ ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ are interesting bring-backs if building around Nix. The Broncos have allowed big games to Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Davante Adams, along with productive outings from Parker Washington, Konata Mumpfield, Tyler Higbee and George Kittle.
๐๐ ๐ง @ ๐๐๐ง ๐ฆ
This is the game that could drive the slate's highest combined ownership. Green Bay travels to Detroit in a dome, and the early numbers point toward a strong environment for ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐๐ฒ.
Four of the five QBs to face Detroit have posted their best game of the season in that matchup.
Love has exceeded 21 DK points four times already, and every opposing QB other than Josh Allen has thrown for 290+ yards and multiple TDs against the Lions. Allen accounted for five total TDs himself.
Green Bay has struggled to run the ball, while Detroit has allowed several massive receiving performances. ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐๐ผ๐ป, ๐ง๐๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ and ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป all make sense as stacking partners. I'm considering a rule to roster at least one of the three even when not building around Love.
Detroit's side is tougher through the air. Green Bay has held opposing QBs below 260 passing yards and one or fewer total TDs in five straight games. However, ๐๐ฎ๐ต๐บ๐๐ฟ ๐๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฏ๐ jumps off the page.
The Packers are allowing 27.3 DK points per game to opposing backfields, while Gibbs averages 32.1 and accounts for 92% of Detroit's backfield fantasy points.
๐๐บ๐ผ๐ป-๐ฅ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐. ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ป ($7,800) remains firmly in play, averaging 11.4 targets per game and ranking third in receiving TDs despite playing one fewer game.
Drake London just put up 194 yards against Green Bay, while CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens combined for 143 yards last week.
This game has plenty of ways to get there, but the field will likely recognize it too. Finding the right combinations matters.
๐๐๐ฅ ๐@ ๐๐ฉ โ ๏ธ
๐ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฑ ($6,400) is an appealing pivot from Love, who costs just $400 more. The Raiders have allowed Drake Maye and Tyler Shough to account for 290+ yards and at least four TDs in recent weeks, while the Rams have been difficult for opposing QBs.
With ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฑ๐ฎ๐บ๐ expected to miss at least six weeks, Stafford's targets should consolidate around ๐ฃ๐๐ธ๐ฎ ๐ก๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐ฎ, ๐ง๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฒ and ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฏ๐ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ผ๐ป.
A block of Stafford plus Nacua and both TEs is interesting.
At $21,300 combined, that still leaves room to fit Gibbs and a Packers WR without being strapped for salary.
The Raiders' side is less appealing. No pass catcher has topped 80 yards against the Rams, which tempers interest in ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ and ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ง๐๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ.
๐๐๐ต๐๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ป๐๐ ($6,500) is worth considering as a contrarian pay-up option, though his touches have declined in every game this season, from 29 in Week 1 to 14 last week.
That's the first look. These are the early reads, not final decisions. Injuries, roles and ownership will keep shaping the slate throughout the week.
We'll keep working through it before Sunday's lock.๐ฅ
Keep an eye out for STATAtl's Late Look coming out later this week.
๐ฅOWS FAM CRUSHED THE PM SLATE ๐ฅ
Two OWS members tied for 2nd in the Big Afternoon-Only slate last week๐ฐ
Two OWS members tied for 12th, including @mjohnson_86, who writes Short Slates ๐
And that was just the start:
๐ฐ 5th in the $444 contest for $8,750
๐ฐ Solo 7th in the $50 single-entry
๐ฐ 2nd in another contest for $2,500
The Short Slates work is translating into results.
Everything at OWS is translating to big wins for the Fam
๐ช๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ฅ๐ฆ: ๐ช๐๐๐ ๐ณ ๐
Top Waiver Adds ๐
๐ค๐: ๐๐ฌ๐๐๐ฅ ๐ ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ (ARI vs. IND)
๐ฅ๐: ๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ช๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ก๐๐ง๐ข๐ก ๐๐ฅ. (LV vs. LAR)
๐ช๐ฅ: ๐ข๐ ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ข๐ข๐ฃ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ. (NYJ vs. MIA)
๐ง๐: ๐ง๐ฌ๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ (LAR @ LV)
๐๐ฆ๐ง: ๐๐๐ง๐ฆ (vs. MIA)
Full Waiver Guide for Week 7 ๐
๐ค๐ ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฅ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐ฐ
โซ๏ธ๐๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ (vs. IND)
Murray emerges from his Week 6 bye with a solid matchup at home against the Colts. His pass catchers should be healthy, and he showed a willingness to run again before the bye.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ผ ๐ก๐ถ๐
(@ ARI)
Perhaps no quarterback has drawn more negativity than Nix this season, but he now faces a Cardinals defense that has struggled most of the year.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฅ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ด๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ (@ NO)
A great matchup against the Saints in a dome for the league's highest PROE offense.
๐ฅ๐จ๐ก๐ก๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฆ ๐ฏ
โซ๏ธ๐ ๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ฟ., LV (vs. LAR)
Washington should probably already be rostered, yet he's only 30% owned. Jeanty is showing real signs for concern going forward.
โซ๏ธ๐ง๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ฟ., NYG (@ HOU)
The Giants backfield has been a mess, but Tracy is the most talented RB on the roster. Najee Harris was released, and Cam Skattebo has struggled with ball security. It's a tough Week 7 matchup, but bet on talent going forward.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ ๐ถ๐น๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ, NO (vs. PIT)
Miller had 20 carries in Week 6 and is apparently the lead back for a Saints offense that's better than advertised.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ฎ๐ฒ๐น๐ผ๐ป ๐๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ, SF (@ ATL)
The 49ers offense is elite, and Black has played well this season. Among the league's handcuffs, he's near the top in terms of the fantasy value a lead role would bring.
๐ช๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐ช
โซ๏ธ๐ข๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ฟ., NYJ (vs. MIA)
When a first-round pick goes over 100 yards with a touchdown in his first full game, pay attention. Expect a huge role for Cooper from here on out.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ฎโ๐๐ผ๐ฏ๐ถ ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฒ, BAL (vs. CIN)
Baltimore's training camp star returned in Week 6 with modest production. Rashod Bateman is now injured, and Lamar Jackson could return this week or next. Lane is positioned for a bigger role in an elite offense, with a potential shootout against Cincinnati.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ป๐๐ผ๐ป๐ถ๐ผ ๐ช๐ถ๐น๐น๐ถ๐ฎ๐บ๐, WAS (BYE)
Terry McLaurin suffered a season-ending injury in Week 6. Williams is Washington's most explosive receiver and led the team in snaps and routes.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐ธ, SF (@ ATL)
Kirk was reportedly close to playing in Week 6 but sat out another week. With Mike Evans aggravating his hamstring injury, Kirk could walk into a big role in a decimated receiving corps.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ฎ ๐ ๐๐บ๐ฝ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ, LAR (@ LV)
Davante Adams is out, leaving Mumpfield as the likely WR2 behind Puka Nacua. He's a downfield threat who's already delivered one big game and is set up well against the Raiders.
๐ง๐๐๐๐ง ๐๐ก๐๐ฆ ๐ธ
โซ๏ธ๐ง๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฒ, LAR (@ LV)
Higbee disappointed in a great Week 6 matchup, but the Rams losing Davante Adams for the next couple of months should make Higbee's role critical going forward.
โซ๏ธ๐๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ฟ๐, NE (@ CHI)
Henry has scored in consecutive games and is playing around 70% of the snaps for an offense that's playing very well. He gets a great matchup against Chicago this week.
โซ๏ธ๐ง๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐๐๐ผ๐ป, LAR (@ LV)
Ferguson returns from IR in Week 8, but his versatility and skill set separate him from the other Rams tight ends. He should effectively be the Rams' WR2 when he returns. Get ahead of it by picking him up now.
๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ฆ๐ ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฅ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐
โซ๏ธ๐๐ฒ๐๐ (vs. MIA)
New York's defense has actually been solid this season, and picking on Miami has been a profitable approach so far in 2026.
โซ๏ธ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ป๐ (@ TEN)
Cleveland's defense has been up and down, but gets a matchup with Cam Ward and the Titans in Week 7.
โซ๏ธ๐ง๐ถ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ (vs. CLE)
Tennessee is playing well defensively, while Deshaun Watson has been iffy over the last couple of weeks. Coming off a 20-point performance, the Titans could post another big game.
Check in every Tuesday for @mjohnson_86's Top Waiver Adds ๐ฅ
OWS NBA PROPS ARE BACK ๐๐ฅ
The NBA returns tomorrow, don't miss out on our NBA Props Package ๐
What would following every bet have made you over the last three seasons?
๐ฐ +$14,481 betting $100 a unit
๐ฐ +$7,240 betting $50 a unit
๐ฐ +$2,896 betting $20 a unit
The NBA Props Package is over 25% off with our Tip Off Special and goes through the playoffs๐ฅ
COMMANDERS โ๏ธ @ 49ERS โ๏ธ (SF -7.5 | 52.5 Total)
Can the 49ers pay off their massive ownership?
Let's break it down ๐
GAME SETUP
San Francisco carries a 29.75-point implied total against a Washington defense allowing 29.8 points per game.
The 49ers are the clear favorites, but Washingtonโs 25-point team total gives us a path to a competitive game.
The biggest variables are Mike Evansโ status, Washingtonโs returning pass catchers, and how much ownership lands on the obvious San Francisco pieces.
SAN FRANCISCO โ๏ธ
Christian McCaffrey is the best skill-position play in the game. His snap rate remains elite, and his receiving role gives him upside even against a Washington defense that has been more vulnerable through the air than on the ground.
George Kittle becomes especially interesting if Mike Evans sits. Kittle already has a strong matchup and a path to more targets with Deebo Samuel out.
Heโll be popular, but the role makes that ownership reasonable.
Mike Evans is questionable with rib and Achilles issues. At $9,600, he needs touchdowns to justify the price, and his status affects the entire 49ers passing-game pool.
If Evans sits, Brandin Cooks is my preferred cheap receiver, followed by Christian Kirk, Jordan Watkins, and Jacob Cowing. At least one could matter simply because of the available salary and opportunity.
If Evans plays, the cheap receivers become much less appealing. Kirkโs availability is another variable to monitor.
Kaelon Black is a deep option if San Francisco gets far enough ahead to rest its starters or reduce McCaffreyโs workload.
WASHINGTON โ๏ธ
Rachaad White is a strong value at $6,600 with Jacory Croskey-Merritt out. White should lead the backfield and offers receiving upside, while Austin Ekelerโs limited role last week makes him harder to trust.
Stefon Diggs is expected back after two limited practices. If active, he gets a slight preference over Terry McLaurin, though both should project similarly.
Antonio Williams is an interesting tournament option. His projections may lag behind his upside, creating a chance to get exposure at lower ownership.
Treylon Burks is the preferred punt over Dyami Brown, with his playing time trending upward while Brownโs has declined.
Chig Okonkwo faces a difficult matchup against a strong 49ers defense against tight ends. Iโd rather take a chance on Williams at a similar price.
ROSTER CONSTRUCTION ๐
49ers onslaughts are a natural starting point given the 29.75-point team total and Washingtonโs defensive struggles.
McCaffrey is the strongest individual play, while Kittleโs value rises if Evans is ruled out.
Washington has enough implied scoring to keep up, so Diggs, McLaurin, and Williams remain viable if you expect a competitive game.
If Evans sits, ownership on Kittle and the cheap 49ers receivers could climb quickly. Pay attention to which value options become the fieldโs preferred salary savers.
The alternative is to build around a San Francisco blowout. Washington could struggle to keep pace, making 49ers-heavy constructions more attractive.
Check out NFL Edge for all of @xandamere's favorite Tournament Plays and GPP Groups ๐ฅ
Rams super team. 4th and 1. Season starting to look like it is in doubt:
*McVay looks down the bench*
McVay: "Give it to Davis"
Stafford: "OK cool, little play action and hit him in the flat?"
McVay: "Nah, FB Dive."
NFL EDGE REVAMPED ๐๐ฅ
Game previews now bring more of the tools you need into one place.
For every game, you can check the injury report, track practice status from Wednesday through Friday, see game-day weather, and access projections, matchups, stacks and stats without leaving the game page.
Less bouncing between tabs.
More information for every decision.
Check out the revamped NFL Edge on OWS. ๐
One Week Season retweeted
10 CONTRARIAN PLAYS TO BEAT THE CHALK IN WEEK 6๐
All these guys are under 10% Owned ๐
RUNNING BACKS
1. JAMES COOK // 10%
Fumblitis notwithstanding, Cook has been running with a purpose, and the Bills project to get ahead early.
A favorable script for a guy who can pile up yards in a hurry.
2. TONY POLLARD // 5%
You donโt want to click him because no one wants to be a donkey.
I donโt mind that so much. ๐คทโโ๏ธ
3. TYLER ALLGEIER // 8%
Ride the wave of this game environment.
Cheap enough to get there regardless of game script.
4. DERRICK HENRY // 4%
Overpriced by $1,300 according to our Sportsbook Implied numbers, but everyone has cool stats until Derrick Henry hits them in the mouth.
WIDE RECEIVERS
5. MICHAEL WILSON // 7%
Slightly overpriced for this matchup with the Rams, who are stingy against downfield passing.
Hence the ownership discount and the juicy MME click.
6. DK METCALF // 5%
A depleted depth chart behind him is a plus.
A Q tag for the sniffles and potentially windy conditions are doing their part to suppress ownership. Fine by me.
7. TRE TUCKER // 6%
Buffalo has been yielding yards and touchdowns through the air, thanks in part to an abysmal 37.8% quick pressure rate.
Tucker has the wheels to make them pay.
8. JALEN COKER // 7%
These arenโt your dadโs Eagles, and Bryce Young has been awesome this year.
The Panthers are coming off a bye with good health and presumably a few tricks up their sleeves.
9. LADD MCCONKEY // 2%
My vision blurs as my trembling hand guides the cursor toward his name.
Butโฆ what if heโs healthy?
๐จTHE BEST VALUE ON THE SLATE๐จ
An Inner Circle Pass is only $1 for this Week! ๐
Check it out at OneWeekSeason ๐ฅ
TIGHT ENDS
10. KYLE PITTS // 3%
Hear me out. Touchdown variance is a thing, and his teammates are among the highest-owned players on the slate.
Sometimes itโs that simple.
11. HAROLD FANNIN JR. // 6%
He comes pre-loaded into this article.
12. COLSTON LOVELAND // 8%
No way. No fucking way.
OK, Iโll do it.
Check out the rest of @Sonic_nhpain's Dart Throw Receivers and Contrarian Stacks in Sonic's MME Pool in The Scroll
The field is sleeping on these guys...๐ด
Top Projecting Players Under 10% Owned
RUNNING BACK
1. DERRICK HENRY (4%)
2. CAM SKATTEBO (6%)
3. JAYLEN WARREN (10%)
WIDE RECEIVER
1. TETAIROA MCMILLAN (3%)
2. ZAY FLOWERS (4%)
3. CHRIS OLAVE (9%)
TIGHT END
1. TYLER WARREN (6%)
2. TREY MCBRIDE (7%)
3. TRAVIS KELCE (8%)

























