Pro sports bettor. CEO @TheHammerHQ. Co-owner @Betstamp. Educational content @CirclesOffHQ, NFL content @FwdProgressHQ. Not an actual doctor.
Toronto, ON
Joined July 2010
- Tweets107K
- Following878
- Followers58.3K
- Likes88.8K
Rob Pizzola, M.D. retweeted
Week 8 NFL Best Bets | Presented By FanDuel teapawt.org/i/broadcasts/1OGwbndQp…
Clinical findings: patient bet both sides of the total and the game landed right in between.
Referring him to a proctologist. Standard procedure when a patient takes it this hard in the anus.
Patient asked “How’d that work out”
Update: the Bears traded for Simmons less than 24 hours later.
Prognosis for this take: deceased. Time of death, Thursday morning.
Great read from diggs on what Brian Flores is doing in Minnesota.
Most interesting part to me: Harrison Smith checking into the defensive call before the snap since last December. Defense has been elite ever since.
Highly recommend.
Rob Pizzola, M.D. retweeted
Former hockey blogger @EricTulsky won the 2026 Stanley Cup as an NHL GM and former baseball blogger @dturkenk just won the World Series as an SVP.
Good, smart people who made a difference in the public domain and rose up with the first pro club to give them a chance.
LFG
An NFL trend has been making the rounds this week. Over the last two seasons, teams returning from Europe without a bye are 0-8 against the spread, missing the number by more than 8 points per game.
Pittsburgh is in that spot against Cleveland. A thread on how to evaluate it.
Small samples are a fact of life in the NFL. There is no way around them. But there are still good questions you can ask.
- Does the window start where the streak starts?
- What changed?
- What else was different about these games?
- Does the effect show up where it should?
- How big is it, honestly?
- Has the price already moved / accounted for this possible effect?
If a trend survives those questions, it might be worth something. This one does not imo. That's not to say that Cleveland cannot win or cover in Pittsburgh this week, but I personally would dismiss this from my handicap altogether.
Clinical recommendation: if someone shows you a trend that begins exactly where the streak begins, with no explanation of what changed, get a second opinion.
