Foreign Policy Research Institute

Torrey Taussig notes three core issues in the US approach to "NATO 3.0": 1. The US remains unclear as to what extent it views Russia as a real threat. 2. The US calls for limited NATO resources to be split between Indo-Pacific and European theaters. 3. The US is conducting an uncoordinated force posture review at a critical time. #OrbisJournal buff.ly/aF9GPkz

In his intern corner, Niklas Romberg analyzes the strained relationship between Germany's far-right Alternative for Deutschland party and the Trump administration, highlighting the limits of ideological alignment in international politics. From Trump's sweeping tariffs imposed on European markets, threats to annex Greenland, and decision to pull troops from Germany, read more details on the divide below. buff.ly/W15B9SZ

Can the United States responsibly retrench and reallocate resources to other regional theaters while European allies assume the primary responsibility for conventional defense? In this episode of #ShiftingGround, @Torrey_Taussig and @MirandaPriebe join our hosts to debate the future of the transatlantic alliance and the concept of “NATO 3.0," exploring this very question. Tune in for a discussion on the shifting threat environment and strategic risk trade-offs surrounding US military commitments in Europe. buff.ly/ImMH3yO

Saudi efforts to build out missile infrastructure follow a worsened regional security environment and an agreement with the US potentially supporting Saudi uranium enrichment. These factors could lead to the production of larger missiles, reflected in new support structures at al-Duwadimi missile casting facilities found by our researchers. buff.ly/zt0UmLW

Virtual events coming up at FPRI: 🗓️ Thursday, November 5 | After the Midterms: Changes for US Allies in the Indo-Pacific and Europe | Virtual Event | 9:00 AM 🗓️ Monday, November 9 | Breaking Down the Results of the Latvian Elections | Virtual Event | 1:00 PM 🗓️ Friday, November 20 | Asia's Emerging Economic Architecture | Virtual Event | 9:00 AM Check out our events page for full details: buff.ly/mMkzBge

In an episode of #ShiftingGround, Amy J. Nelson outlines the steps to a more disciplined approach to nuclear signaling: 1. Define the evidentiary threshold before making an accusation—establish the standard against which to be judged. 2. Match how much you disclose to the job at hand, whether that's deterring an adversary, reassuring an ally, or getting ahead of a false-flag narrative. 3. Openly use existing monitoring bodies where they apply. 4. Ration the use of the phrase, "we have intelligence." (5:35) buff.ly/VbT340y

Torrey Taussig points out that the number of US military personnel stationed across Europe accounts for 5 percent of America’s active-duty forces. In return, the United States secures: - Essential logistics and basing hubs to project power globally - Real-time interoperability and integrated command-and-control with 31 allies - Forward conventional deterrence against Russian revisionism Read more in the #OrbisJournal buff.ly/aF9GPkz

Emily Holland and Aaron Stein detail Russia's increased hybrid attacks on NATO countries, namely Germany, explaining that Russia is more willing to assume risk because it knows NATO will only react to legally attributable attacks. The authors suggest a shift from reaction to deterrence by denial and deterrence by punishment. Read more at the link: buff.ly/7DcOED4

Lee Block and András Tóth-Czifra note three challenges facing the Russian Duma: 1. The government faces a fiscal deficit 2. Energy revenues are declining and uncertain 3. Receipts from corporate taxes are lower than expected More in the latest #BearMarketBrief buff.ly/rfxYamM

🆕 An Awkward Relationship: The German Far Right and Trump by Niklas Romberg buff.ly/W15B9SZ

In an episode of Security Dilemma, a podcast of the John Quincy Adams Society, Nikolas Gvosdev provides a rundown of the initial understanding of the Russia-Ukraine war, the ways in which the unexpected length of the conflict now affects American homes, Russian strategy, and possible escalation points in the war. buff.ly/WlV2u9U

In last week's virtual event, our panelists highlighted the challenges of sending an extra-national troop force to aid Haiti in managing armed gangs afflicting the country. Revisit our discussion to explore lessons from Kenya’s recent failed mission for countries planning similar deployments. buff.ly/zR1AGWL

In October's #BalticRoundup, Indra Ekmanis highlights Latvia's parliamentary elections, Estonia's new president, tense transatlantic ties between the United States and the Baltic countries, and much more. buff.ly/iniRruQ

🆕 Drone Defense and Deterrence Questions in Germany by @EmilyJHolland and @AaronStein1 buff.ly/7DcOED4

Vladimir Putin's statement on the concept of the "Russian World" anticipated how Moscow would use it to advance its interests beyond Russia’s borders. Under the cloak of its mission to promote Russian culture, language, and heritage, the Russkiy Mir Foundation has actively promoted many divisive narratives among the Russian-speaking populations of the Baltics. buff.ly/54zUW7z

We're hiring! FPRI is seeking an experienced policymaker, scholar, or practitioner to serve as Senior Fellow for Sanctions and Illicit Finance. Click the link to read more. buff.ly/9t8sru4

🗓️ Virtual Event | Monday, November 9 | 1:00 PM EST (8:00 PM Eastern European Time) Latvia's October elections delivered a historic victory for the United List, which will now faces domestic concerns and a volatile regional security situation. Register for our virtual event discussing the results and what the future holds for Latvia. buff.ly/Ay3OkRD

From the latest #BearMarketBrief: - 17.1 trillion rubles in military spending were approved by the State Duma - Ukrainian strikes continue to target Russian fuel, metal, and chemical infrastructure - Media outlet Novaya Gazeta will cease operations due to government pressure buff.ly/rfxYamM

🆕 Why a Stronger Europe Still Requires US Leadership by @Torrey_Taussig #OrbisJournal buff.ly/eAStZ7d

Tune in to #ShiftingGround for Amy Nelson's comments on the present-day strategic nuclear environment and why we are no longer able to calculate strategic stability (16:00). buff.ly/VbT340y