Picks Office

13-4, +9.62 units Friday. Magic @ Raptors: Magic +6 (-110) ✅ Knicks @ 76ers: Under 228.5 (-110) ✅ Tulane @ Charlotte: Over 46.5 (-115) ✅ Baylor @ UCF: Over 47.5 (-110) ✅ Lakers @ Warriors: Under 234.5 (-110) ✅ Pacers @ Heat: Heat -7.5 (-105) ✅ Magic @ Raptors: Over 225.5 (-110) ✅ Harvard @ Dartmouth: Dartmouth +10.5 (-120) ✅ Pistons @ Nets: Under 222.5 (-105) ✅ Rockets @ Mavericks: Mavericks +6.5 (-105) ✅ Nuggets @ Suns: Nuggets -4 (-105) ✅ Hornets @ Wizards: Under 220.5 (-110) ✅ Kent State @ Sacramento St: Sacramento St +7.5 (-120) ✅ Lakers @ Warriors: Lakers -1.5 (-115) ❌ Pacers @ Heat: Under 237.5 (-110) ❌ Rockets @ Mavericks: Under 226.5 (-110) ❌ Bulls @ Celtics: Celtics -14.5 (-110) ❌ Celtics -14.5 missed by half a point in a 125-111 win. Rockets @ Mavericks Under 226.5 missed by half a point at 227. If both losing picks had won instead, I'd have finished 15-2.

Philadelphia has had to string together short completions with Tanner McKee. With DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks out, Eagles-Commanders Under 40.5 -110 appeals. 30-17 (63.8%) last 47 NFL picks McKee has averaged 5.3 yards per pass attempt across his 2 starts this season. His longest completion is 21 yards, and Smith and Wicks are Philadelphia's two leading receivers by yards. Without those targets, McKee has fewer proven options to keep a series of short gains turning into first downs. Washington has converted 25 of 81 third downs through 6 games. It now has to extend drives without its leading receiver, Terry McLaurin, who is on injured reserve. Against Dallas, Philadelphia's second touchdown drive took 13 plays and 7:07. Its next touchdown drive used 17 plays and more than nine minutes.

I asked AI to build an NFL Week 8 parlay. Five legs. $100 stake. Potential profit: $2,139.16. Trey McBride over 7.5 receptions (-120) Cam Ward under 192.5 passing yards (-119) Rams -6.5 (-110) Drake Maye over 23.5 rushing yards (-123) Eagles–Commanders under 40.5 (-109)

Dolphins +7.5 -115 appeals against a Patriots offense missing A.J. Brown, Romeo Doubs and Mack Hollins. TreVeyon Henderson is also out, leaving New England short at receiver and running back. 30-17 (63.8%) last 47 NFL picks Miami has allowed 3.8 yards per carry on 172 opponent rushes through 6 games. Without Henderson, New England has less depth behind Rhamondre Stevenson against that run defense. The Dolphins ran for 156 yards against the Jets. They kept the ball for the final 3:17, converting fourth-and-1 on a Malik Willis sneak to finish the win. Willis also threw for 208 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. His 63-yard touchdown to Caleb Douglas gave Miami a two-score lead in the fourth quarter.

Buffalo has averaged 32.8 points scored and 28.5 allowed through six games. Four of the Bills' last five games finished above 54 total points. Lamar Jackson practiced fully Wednesday and Thursday after missing three games with an ankle injury. He's averaged 10.1 yards per pass attempt this season. If he returns, he'll face a Bills defense that has allowed 15 passing touchdowns in six games. Josh Allen gets a Baltimore defense that allowed touchdowns on five straight second-half drives against Cincinnati last Sunday. Allen has averaged 8.8 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 8 touchdowns through six games. Buffalo has also allowed late scoring in consecutive games: 20 fourth-quarter points to the Rams and 10 to the Raiders. I'm taking Ravens-Bills Over 54. picksoffice.com/telegram

Milwaukee's offensive rebounding is the reason for Bucks +9.5 against Cleveland. The Cavaliers allowed Atlanta 15 offensive rebounds Thursday. 36-20 (64.3%) last 56 NBA picks Kel'el Ware grabbed 5 offensive rebounds off the bench against Indiana on Monday and another 5 against Houston on Wednesday. The Bucks scored 24 second-chance points against Indiana and 19 against Houston. Reserve AJ Green made 3 of 5 threes Wednesday. Milwaukee has had two days off since Wednesday's home game. Cleveland played Wednesday and Thursday, then travels from Atlanta to Milwaukee.