PropsEdge

Trusting The Volume! 📈 NBA Prop #1 | 10/30 🏀 Scottie Barnes Over 20.5 Points Bet365 -115 | 1u Collab w/ @PropKitchen 👨‍🍳 Barnes has been aggressive looking for his shot to start the season, clearing this line in 3/4 games while averaging 18.5 FGA per game. He’s scored 23+ points in all 3 wins, averaging 26.3 PPG in those contests. His only miss came against Minnesota when he went 0/12 from the field in a clear outlier game but the opportunities were still there. Kawhi Leonard is ruled out again with knee swelling, leaving Barnes and RJ Barrett as Toronto’s primary scoring options. In their first game without Kawhi, the two combined for 53 points on 35 FGA. Barnes With 13+ FGA, Barnes has cleared this line in 9/L10 games, averaging 24.8 PPG. This game is in Toronto where Barnes throughout his career has historically been more productive and efficient. He is averaging 25.5 PPG through two games this season at home and has scored 23+ points in five straight games at Scotiabank Arena dating back to last season. Orlando ranks 28th against opposing PFs in points allowed and 22nd in defensive rating this season. Several of their defensive weaknesses align with how Barnes has been scoring to start the year 👇 📈 Rank 23rd vs Transition / 47% of his points 📈 Rank 25th in Free Throws Allowed / 24% of his points 📈 Rank 22nd vs Restricted Area / 41% of Barnes of shots 📈 Rank 23rd vs Shots within 10 FT / 47% of Barnes’ shots 📈 Rank 27th vs Spot Ups / 13% of his points Barnes just took advantage of this exact matchup on Wednesday, dropping 28 points on 11/17 shooting and 6/6 from the FT line. He scored 16 points in the third quarter alone and finished with 28 despite not making a single three. Orlando had no answer for his ability to attack the paint and finish around the basket, and he accomplished all of this in only 31 minutes during Toronto’s 30 point victory. The Magic remain shorthanded with Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs and Jonathan Isaac all ruled out. Isaac’s absence removes one of Orlando’s better defensive forwards, while Banchero’s injury leaves them with less size and depth in the frontcourt. Orlando ranks 20th in paint points allowed and 29th in opponent FT attempts allowed, giving Barnes opportunities to continue attacking inside and drawing contact. It only helps that he has made all 15 of his free throws through four games. Tonight’s rematch is part of the NBA Cup Group Stage, where point differential matters for tiebreakers. Toronto is favored by roughly 5 points with a projected total around 226, giving Barnes a reasonable opportunity for another full workload if Orlando keeps this one competitive. He already scored 28 in just 31 minutes against this same depleted defense, and the additional scoring responsibility without Kawhi should remain. Between the consistent shot volume, expanded offensive responsibility and a favorable matchup against an injured Orlando team he just dominated against two days ago, we like Barnes to score 21+ points here. ❤️ if your tailing! 📊 @PropsEdge Code: CHRONIC for 20% OFF your plan!