@Stokastic

📊 Industry leading DFS, Betting & Prediction Market Simulations

 Chicago, IL
stokastic.com/ask-the-sims?utm_source=referral&utm_medium=X&utm_campaign=StokasticBio
Joined January 2018
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NBA King of the Court Simulations!
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A ton of Week 7 plays swung games in major ways. Going for it on 4th-and-1 at your own 24, tied, under five minutes left (Dan Campbell)? Kicking to tie or going for 2 with 52 seconds left? We ran Week 7's nine biggest calls through the Sims and graded every one 🧵
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8. Saints down 16-10 with 9:32 left, 4th-and-7 at the Steelers 34. In the Sims, the 52-yard field goal gives New Orleans a 20.5% win chance, going for it 19.8% and punting 15.4%. Carlson missed wide right, but kicking was the best of three thin options.
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9. Did the Titans tie Cleveland too fast? Pollard's TD made it 24-24 with 58 seconds left. In the Sims, a tie with 53 seconds left for the Browns gives Tennessee a 41% win chance. Tie it with 10 seconds left and that climbs to 54%, as long as the touchdown still comes.
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Guess this is why people are willing to win $17 in bonus bets by betting Luka Doncic for King of the Court
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NBA DFS lock is almost here -- use our cheat sheets as your guide!
Stokastic Sims
@Stokastic15h
NBA DFS Cheat Sheets for DraftKings & FanDuel (10/27) Chalk = Highest Projected Ownership Top Plays = Highest Exposure in Top-150 (by ROI) Leverage = Top-150 Exposure Minus Ownership Bookmark this for later, and DM us if there's anything more you want to see with these sheets!
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One sim is a story. 10,000 Sims is a price. Two bets that cashed in this game still have an edge in the latest Sims run: 📉 1st Half Under 119.5 📈 Robert Williams 13+ Pts + Reb
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Not everything that cashed in this Sim is a bet. Jrue Holiday scored 17 here, but the latest run has him at 10+ in 56.7%. At DraftKings -142, that's -3.5%. The Lakers won too, but -125 is a fair price. One game shows what can happen. The count tells you what to bet.
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Got a different question? Any player, any line, any what-if, answered from the same 10,000 games. Ask the Sims: stokastic.com/ask-the-sims-n…

Ask The Sims: Ask Anything About Any NBA Game, Free

Ask the Sims anything about tonight’s NBA games, free. 10,000 Stokastic Sims answer it, priced against Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings and FanDuel.

stokastic.com
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Jalen Duren is out, and this changes everything. His shots -- particularly at the rim -- have to go somewhere. Out of 100K Sims, we have Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson and John Collins each taking 15-19% of Detroit's rim attempts, and Cade keeps the mid-range to himself 👇
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