John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING) profile picture
Los Angeles
Joined October 2010
Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)Photo by John Sullivan (@ZFTWARNING)
I presented "Transnational Crime and the State: Criminal Insurgencies, Crime Wars, Gangs, Mafias, and Cartels" to an international seminar sponsored by the Secretaria de Estado de Segurança Pública do Distrito Federal in Brasilia. on 27 November 2019 lnkd.in/gZiEZAq
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John Sullivan retweeted
Baby among four killed in bomb attack in western Colombia: not yet clear who was behind the bombing, but armed criminal groups have recently stepped up attacks against the security forces in retaliation the-star.co.ke/news/world/20…
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Odette Sansom, GC, served as an SOE courier in France from 1942. Arrested in April 1943, she refused to betray fellow agents under torture and was imprisoned at Ravensbrück. She was the first woman to be awarded the George Cross for her endurance.
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Jefe de banda en Haití pediría mediación de la ONU para diálogo de paz Circula en medios haitianos una carta supuestamente dirigida al secretario general de la ONU por alias Lanmò San Jou, líder de la banda 400 Mawozo, mientras militares salvadoreños buscan a colegas desaparecidos. p.dw.com/p/5OwxV (rml)
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Riots broke out in Frankfurt following a demonstration on Saturday. Storefronts were smashed, shops looted, and police officers attacked. Several protesters and officers were injured, and 30 people were detained.
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#Russia’s hybrid campaign against Europe is intensifying. Read more from ‘Sabotage to Escalation: Russia’s hybrid threats ramp up across Europe’: bit.ly/4xZdUp9
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If the Republicans get wiped out in the midterms, does it make Trump more or less likely to order strikes? Does he do it out of frustration? Does he eschew strikes because he doesn't want a quagmire to define his presidency? Would these strikes be linked to broader objectives?
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Strategic communications from the WH have been extremely haphazard. POTUS contradicts himself in a single statement. There's nothing resembling a rigorous policy process. We are launching attacks based on the whims of someone with a below-average attention span and zero strategy.
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Nobody knows what Trump will do regarding striking Iran or making a deal. But the fact that people are openly discussing strikes as dependent upon the performance of Ds or Rs in the election is telling. Iran is either a threat or it isn't, irrespective of U.S. domestic politics.
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From Honduras and Costa Rica to Ecuador and Panama, governments are embracing massive prisons as part of their response to organized crime. Our analysis maps where these projects stand—and what they reveal about regional security strategies. bit.ly/4zbefqG
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I have a chapter co-authored with @ClaraBroekaert in this new @routledgebooks edited volume on the crime-terror nexus, edited by @DiegoMuro1 & @VMarsai "Structural Change and the Crime-Terror Nexus: Is a Typology Feasible?"
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Drones don’t win wars on their own. Victory requires a strategic alignment of national goals with achievable military objectives, and land forces capable of seizing and holding terrain. Offense and defense still matter. So do deception, surprise, and the audacity of commanders and soldiers willing to exploit opportunities, seize and maintain initiatives throughout the war. All of this was on display in the 2020 war for Karabakh, too often reduced to a story about drones. In our new book, "The War for Karabakh: Strategy, Technology, and Victory," @LiamSCollins and I detail how Azerbaijan prepared for war and fought its way to victory. Understanding the outcomes of the war required looking beyond the drone stories to the decisions and battles on the ground. Get your copy @amazon or @CambriaPress amazon.com/War-Karabakh-Stra…
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Ben Afquack baila al ritmo del mariachi! #FlyTogether
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Russia's estimated losses reached 54,400 soldiers in October.
⚡Russia suffers record troop losses in October, its worst month since full-scale invasion, Ukraine says. According to the data from the General Staff, Russia's estimated losses reached 54,400 soldiers in October. kyivindependent.com/russia-s…
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A Handbook on Human Intelligence for Practitioners e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/a-handb…
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UKRAINE HAS BEEN FIGHTING A WAR FOR FOUR YEARS, AND THIS IS WHAT WE GET OUT OF IT? A REPORT WITH EIGHT PAGES OF ACTUAL TEXT? I just finished reading the U.S. Army Center for Army Lessons Learned publication, “Lessons Learned from the Ukrainian Territorial Defense Forces: Command Post Survivability.” Twelve pages total. Roughly eight pages of actual text, with only one paragraph on the eighth page. After four years here in Ukraine, witnessing how drones, electronic warfare, and modern battlefield threats have transformed warfare, this is concerning. This is exactly what I've been talking about. We need to learn from this war, and we're not doing nearly enough. The West needs to catch up. Modern warfare isn't waiting for us. api.army.mil/e2/c/downloads/… Слава Україні! Героям слава! 🇺🇦
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When the 2020 Karabakh War ended, some called it “the first war in history won primarily by unmanned systems.” We went to find out. After 100+ interviews and walking every major battlefield, we found it wasn’t true. Our book. The War for Karabakh: Strategy, Technology, and Victory. amazon.com/War-Karabakh-Stra…
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1/3 Short🧵with case study & video podcast attached. For the past few days @ProfTonyPollard has been leading a tour group throughout Vietnam, covering battlefields from both the French-Indochina War (1946-1954) & the Vietnam War (1959-1975). Today they are in the city of Huế.
A day on the Battle of Hue from the Tet offensive of 1968, but also got to revisit one of my favourite places; the gardens in Imperial city. Down to Da Nang for a little R&R tomorrow.
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