10_Kay🧧

How to create a conviction on @xomarket Ever had a strong opinion about crypto, football, a token launch, or an upcoming event and wished you could turn that opinion into something others can trade? That’s exactly what XO Market is built for. On XO, you don’t have to wait for someone else to create the market you want. You can turn your own belief into a Conviction, back your position, and let the community decide whether your prediction holds up. Here’s how to create one, even if you’re a first-time user. 🧵👇 1. Open XO Market Visit beta.xo.market/ and access your account. Make sure you meet the platform’s requirements for creating a conviction. If the creation option is unavailable, check your profile and creator eligibility. 2. Click “Create a Conviction” Find the market creation option and start the process. This is where you turn an idea into a clear Yes-or-No question that other users can take a position on. 3. Write a clear market question Choose something specific, interesting, and possible to verify. For example: “Will the 1win token sale receive more than $20 million in deposits?” Avoid vague questions. A good conviction should make it obvious what people are predicting and what outcome would count as Yes or No. 4. Add the market details Provide a title, description, relevant context, and an expiry date. Explain why the question matters and make sure the deadline gives enough time for the event to happen and be verified. 5. Set clear resolution rules This step is crucial. Explain exactly what must happen for the market to resolve Yes or No. Include reliable sources of evidence and clarify any conditions that could cause confusion. XO’s AI oracle, MODRA, can help draft the rules. Review them carefully before submitting. Clear rules help prevent disagreements later. 6. Back your conviction Choose the side you believe in and place your initial position. XO’s current creation guide lists a $1 creation charge and a seed order of at least $10. The seed order is your market position, not an additional platform fee. Only commit funds you can afford to lose. Your prediction can be wrong, and your position carries risk. 7. Review and submit Check the question, resolution rules, deadline, and initial position. Once everything looks right, submit your conviction for review. XO’s independent AI agents assess whether the market is sufficiently clear and fair. If approved, it can go live for other users to trade. 8. Share your market with the community Once your conviction is live, share its link on X, in relevant communities, or with people interested in the topic. Explain your reasoning and invite people to take the opposite side if they disagree. The goal is not simply to create a market. It is to create a useful question that attracts genuine interest and trading activity. 9. Understand the 20% fee opportunity Creating a conviction can offer more than visibility. Under the 20% creator-fee arrangement described for this campaign, the creator’s share is tied to eligible trading fees generated by their market. It is not 20% of every trade’s full value. For example, if a market generates $100 in eligible trading fees, a 20% share would equal $20 for the creator, subject to the applicable fee rules. The important point: earnings depend on actual trading activity and the applicable terms. Creating a market does not guarantee income, and the fee arrangement should be checked against the current rules for your market. 10. Learn about CP (Conviction Points) CP stands for Conviction Points, XO’s in-platform reward points. Users can earn CP through eligible positions and other qualifying platform activities. Depending on the current rules, activities may include trading, referrals, quests, and challenges. CP can help users participate in reward programmes and other eligible features. The amount earned depends on the activity, market eligibility, and any applicable caps or multipliers.

Can 1WIN’s token sale pull in more than $20M in deposits? That’s the big question on @xomarket Market right now. Traders can take a position on whether total deposits in the 1WIN token sale will cross the $20M mark. What makes this interesting is that hype alone doesn’t guarantee strong demand. 1WIN has an established gaming ecosystem, but will that be enough to attract the capital needed to hit the target? I’m leaning YES, but the final numbers will tell the real story. YES 66¢ (66% implied probability). NO 34¢ (34% implied probability). These odds can change as traders buy and sell shares. Will 1WIN break $20M, or are expectations too high? What’s your call: YES or NO?

I’m leaning NO on both the Dec 2026 and Q1 2027 deadlines. If the loss-rebate token can’t be sold, traders have less incentive to participate, and the perp-shorting exploit still needs a real fix. Until the team addresses the mechanics, I’m not betting on a quick unlock. @xomarket turns the timeline debate into a market. Are you taking YES or NO on $PAPER transferability?