Independent equity research 3–5 year fundamental investing in predictable businesses, bought when the market misprices their future earnings.

Joined November 2022
I really think the big numbers released in the S1 is just how much cash Anthropic has.
Anthropic S-1: --over 11,900 customers pay $100K+ a year, up from about 950 a year earlier. --over $130B cash. (likely over $200B post IPO)
63
I am no brazil expert but I know good companies when I see them $PBR down 20% off a election result in one of the strongest oil markets in years is a buy to me.
4
285
Most predicatable offering ever $META
*META PLANS $60B ATM PROGRAM IN CLASS C COMMON STOCK There it is
143
And people are still trying to buy the dip in $CRWV
Replying to @chamath
Pretty much. As of the past few weeks, debt markets have almost entirely shut off access to money for any company that doesn’t have substantial revenue independent of AI data centers. SpaceX closed $40B of debt for GPUs, but we’re investment grade and have Starlink & launch revenue. That means the 200+ neoclouds are going to see guppy-level death and consolidation. Some will make it through, but not many.
72
ABC Capital retweeted
$LB the FCF machine and why it might be an overlooked trade for the ai buildout. Give it a read.
1
2
1
15
4,431
Interesting that ai seems to be pricing in a democratic sweep in midterms yet healthcare isn’t. There is a trade in all that.
56
And $MGM straight back at lows, still just watching but many its getting close, ideally one or two big selling days on high volume.
2
139
David Capobianco Chairman of $LB said one GW could produce 300,000 bbl a day of water, 300,000 x 365 = 109.5 million barrels per year per Gw, this could produce an additional $16.40 million in revenue using the current rate of $0.15 a barrel.
3
174
This chart really is a great example showing $TLN revenue growth. when it comes to showing the boom in energy infrastructure profits thanks to big demand and supply not following it.
1
182
$SONY on track for highest close of 2026.
2
111
$SONY who could have guessed.
‘GRAND THEFT AUTO VI’ FUELS 22% JUMP IN SONY PLAYSTATION 5 SALES
1
102
ABC Capital retweeted
Would $CARR invest $600m in a Texas plant if the Permian weren’t the future of data centers? —> $TPL $LB
Carrier Plans $600 Million Texas Plant to Make Cooling Gear for AI Data Centers The plant, Carrier’s biggest-ever investment, comes amid a surge in sales to data-center customers wsj.com/business/carrier-pla…
1
3
1
27
2,283
The fuck did Zuck say on the earnings call last tonight for this bloodbath.
42
$META ad's are just incredible
4
300
Ai trade is dead, funny not seeing that today.
2
175
During periods of high inflation healthcare usually outperforms, why I am currently doing research on $UHS which trades at a forward pe of 8 and EV/EBIDTA multiple of 5.9x both in around a 30% discount range to the 10 year historical average. Will have a article out on it soon.
64
Kind of hard to fade how bullish Musk is on the compute buildout in this call.
110
Look at the growth in revenue from AI in 2026 alone for $SPCX now the biggest segment of the business.
1
125
With operating and net income flipping profitable in Q3.
38