Machine-Learning, Statistics, and Probabilities Powered Quantitative Research Terminal.
Joined November 2024
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Aion Analytics retweeted
$SPY $QQQ
I bought the dip that retail unloaded.
Didn’t panic.
Trusting the process with @AionAnalytics 🤝
@DeepInference dropped a banger community research note earlier today
Substack later tonight on what I see powered by @AionAnalytics 💯
Aion Analytics retweeted
Happy Halloween 🎃!
Article 8: “ ‘Twas the Night Before Halloween, and Not a Bull Was Stirring” is out now!
Today will be the last day to use code QUANT
The proof is in the pudding , with @AionAnalytics help . We have been able to publicly navigate through the markets and it’s turning points.
Were able to share the March sell off before it occurred, catching the turn around into June. Noting the top in June with the interim bottom in July, sharing the choppy uptrend in September with new highs In the beginning of October before a nasty sell-off.
This will be your last opportunity to join at a discounted rate. You really don’t want to miss what’s coming soon…
$SPY l $QQQ
just some clarity post here for everyone
October expectation from my opinions & research is $SPY 5%ish drawdown and $QQQ 7-10% by end of oct around 18-22nd and put in the floor there for a choppy uptrend into eoy
Buying that dip with both hands
$SPY $730-$735 if it gets there
$QQQ $680-$690 (more volatile ik, maybe even $700)
These are my own rough estimates from what i am seeing so please take it with a grain of salt and DYOR.
Things can change and moves can extend due to panic and things unravel / accelerate.
Indices can visit near ATHs/make new AThs but i will be more risk off as i stated earlier this week, near interim tops high beta names can be explosive so i may play some things with small size. Weird market we have been in for a while.
I will take advantage of oct to sell puts on names i want along with taking some put debits when the time is right, if you're early it is useless.
Markets tend to extend both ways so if we get there, things accelerate the models wont flinch until it starts to see a flip, it is better to be patient than to be early
Looking for model consensus flips, extreme measures hitting, heatmaps starting to flip and macro regime to shift
These are some of the things i look for along with analogues/quant tab that has the built in indicators as well
Can eat my alive in the comments, but that is my thesis and i believe big in "avoid ruin at all costs", so when these bigger windows for pain open up i take them seriously.
Hope this helps and if you want to eat me alive in the comments that also works
Aion Analytics retweeted
Article 6 is out.
This one is about year end.
There is something on the panels now that was not there when the index was at a record. I put it on the record today, before the tape does.
I know December feels like a year away for some of you. It is two months. And most of what will happen in them is already loading.
Santa is coming. Want to take a peek into your stocking?
Time to set the record straight again.
September 24. Crash probability on the S&P had nearly quadrupled in three weeks. I said the crowd was looking at the wrong number and we’d grade it over 20 trading days.
October 2. Nasdaq at a new high. I said the smoke was thicker and the window closes October 22. See you then.
It’s October 22.
VIX up more than 30% in a day. Indices sold off. Semis unwound. The AI trade came apart again. All of it inside the window the models flagged while the index printed highs and the timeline told me they hate me.
Where there’s smoke there’s fire. We found it.
Most of what I see next goes to Aion research now. But I’ll give you three hints below. Somebody has to, and it clearly isn’t going to be the people calling for blue skies at the end of September. 🧵
Aion Analytics retweeted
$NBIS fractal courtesy of @AionAnalytics
The median return over the next month after a 20-day drop, with a minimum drop of 28%, is 17%. It can even drift as high as 30% (look at the interquartile range).
Are you bullish? Because I am.
Aion Analytics retweeted
@AionAnalytics is in a league of its own.
Aion Analytics retweeted
I work in finance... im one of those... I can tell you, it does not oversell it. It is well worth $500 a month, and the people behind it are some of the most committed i've seen.
Aion Analytics retweeted
$SOXL +22% in 3 days since
Just a crumb of what was in that article...
Code QUANT dies on Oct 31st, You don't want to miss out on the data
Bottom or not?
Article 4 just went live inside AION and it is the most important read of the year you are not reading.
What is in it: the day the window closes, the two scenarios I am deploying into and exactly how, the one vol tell deciding both.
I put my opinion in writing, dated, so it can be graded either way. That is the difference between research and content.
Members are reading it right now. The rest of the timeline finds out after it resolves.
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
Aion Analytics retweeted
Bottom or not?
Article 4 just went live inside AION and it is the most important read of the year you are not reading.
What is in it: the day the window closes, the two scenarios I am deploying into and exactly how, the one vol tell deciding both.
I put my opinion in writing, dated, so it can be graded either way. That is the difference between research and content.
Members are reading it right now. The rest of the timeline finds out after it resolves.
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
$QQQ remember all the name calling i got for weeks on end...?
Now go look in the mirror and say the same thing to yourselves.
Aion Analytics retweeted
Community Research has been moved into the terminal.
No more digging through Discord for a note from last week. Community Research tab, everything in one place, newest on top.
Code QUANT expires October 31.
Two weeks left on code QUANT. 30% off, ends October 31. 🎃
What changed since we announced it: market research reports from @tradableastro and @deepinference are now part of the Tradable Insights Community Discord.
The first one went out this week.
This is the lowest price the terminal will be. New members and trials.
You are becoming a quant.
Aion Analytics retweeted
My third article is live inside the Aion Terminal.
Which Drain the Sink Flows Into: Rotation, Liquidity and the High Beta Complex.
On October 6, with $SPX at a record close, I called a selloff into late October, a bottom this week, a V, and a Q4 everything rally. The first half of that script has played. This is the second half.
What is in it: the good, the bad and the ugly of the October flush. The one variable the market sorted the AI complex on, and who is already standing behind the names it sold. The full leaderboard inversion across three timeframes, and the afternoon the beaten-down groups led the table for the first time since the top.
The index moved a couple of percent. The leaderboard underneath it inverted completely. Enjoy!
Aion Analytics retweeted
Probably not one that you want to miss...
Article 2 just dropped inside AION.
Reading Between the Strikes: The Dealer Roadmap to Year End.
What is in it: the full dealer map on $SPY and $QQQ through month end, the one structural change that printed this week that almost nobody noticed, two charts that are important, and the two numbers that confirm it, one on $QQQ, one on $VIX.
Plus a watchlist of seven names where sector strength and dealer positioning finally agree, pulled from a scan of the full board today.
The index books repriced three times this month. The year end destination has not moved once. That part is in there too.
Aion Analytics retweeted
My second article has gone live.
In this article I break down the current short term tail risks, my expectation on the coming months, and how I will be handling the week ahead.
For those on the inside, enjoy. 🤜🤛
Aion Analytics retweeted
Dropped my first written article inside AION this morning. The floor window, the liquidity turn, the confirmation checklist, and the names I am watching while it builds.
One of the names was $MRVL. A member paid for his terminal subscription off that one heads up. Day one of the article existing.
The threads left the timeline. The work got deeper, it just lives inside now.
Code QUANT, 30% off, ends Oct 31.
$SPY l $QQQ
Aion Analytics retweeted
Your last two weeks: watching red, checking the chart at 2am, wondering if you sell the low.
Our last two weeks: the drop we dated on Sep 24 playing out to the day. $QQQ down 7 to 10% by Oct 18 to 22, then the floor. Posted publicly, three weeks early.
$QQQ down 7%. $SOXX down 16%. $VIX up 37%.
The worst stretch of your year was sitting on a screen before it happened. So is the next move.
Members are reading the data right now. You are reading this.
Code QUANT, 30% off, dies Oct 31.
Aion Analytics retweeted
This.
I often fade what’s on X/twitter.
There is no point at looking at X analysis of the coming weeks and months when I have @AionAnalytics
The data is much more powerful than lines on a chart and half baked narratives.
My board is showing the clearest signal I have seen in months, now we wait and adapt.
Aion Analytics retweeted
There is no point at looking at X analysis of the coming weeks and months when I have @AionAnalytics
The data is much more powerful than lines on a chart and half baked narratives.
My board is showing the clearest signal I have seen in months, now we wait and adapt.
Aion Analytics retweeted
The research is moving inside.
@DeepInference just dropped the first written report in the members channel. Full market research, the same engines behind the October call, in long form.
This is where the work goes now. The public threads got the warning on October 8 for free. The members got the dates, the levels, and the nightly regrades.
I said it earlier this week. Those were some of the last public threads I write. Not because the data stopped talking, but because the people who acted on it are all in one room now.
The machine does not post for engagement. Neither do we.
Research is exclusively for @AionAnalytics members.
Use code QUANT 4 30% off
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
Aion Analytics retweeted
30% off. Code QUANT. Ends October 31.
New members and trials.
You are becoming a quant.
Aion Analytics retweeted
There’s more, and countless other models I didn’t get to in the Aion Analytics Terminal. But... I think I've said enough.
I’ve been posting the warning signs for a while now. This month is setting up well for me, and I’ll be there for the bottom when the data points to one. I’m not a bull. I’m not a bear. I’m here to generate alpha for myself.
This is what my day looks like when the data and the positioning agree.
I don’t trade intraday moves. I position for a thesis and wait for it to play out. These things take time, and most people are too short sighted to let them.
The terminal showed me the book, the regime, the breadth, and the liquidity. It did the same for every member who logged in today. The difference between us and the people name calling is that we read it.
Code QUANT, 30% off, until the end of the month.
What was built here doesn’t exist anywhere else and it has changed my life.
Not financial advice. Mathematically driven models.
Aion Analytics retweeted
We are currently outperforming the past 5 historical midterm paths on indices.
New in the Aion Terminal: Historical Paths.
Last 20 years of a name's history, drawn from its first session and stacked on one chart.
The median year runs through the middle. The current year runs on top.
One look shows where this year ranks against the last twenty at the same point on the calendar.
$SPY shown.
