Pinned Tweet
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The S&P 500 keeps hitting new all-time highs.
But the setup underneath it is starting to look disturbingly familiar.
1929:
Stocks only went higher. Technology was changing the economy.
Valuations stopped mattering because “this time was different.”
Now look at today:
Stocks at record highs.
Retail participation at record levels.
AI is the new industrial revolution.
Wall Street is pricing in years of perfect growth.
Meanwhile:
Credit is tightening. Delinquencies are rising.
Savings are thin.
Liquidity is getting harder to find.
Something doesn’t add up:
HOW CAN PAPER WEALTH KEEP EXPLODING WHILE THE ECONOMY UNDERNEATH IT KEEPS GETTING WEAKER?
That is where 1929 matters.
The problem was not high prices.
It was what happened when the liquidity supporting those prices started disappearing.
Liquidity disappears → forced selling begins → asset prices fall → collateral weakens → more selling.
I am not saying tomorrow is 1929.
I am saying the parallel is getting too clean to ignore.
And if liquidity breaks again, I do not want to be holding assets that depend on confidence staying intact.
That is why I’m watching physical gold and silver.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 IF YOU’RE OVER 18 YEARS OLD, READ THIS CAREFULLY
The next 12 months could be the most important months of your financial life.
Because the market is setting up one of the greatest wealth transfers in history.
First, stocks enter the final blow-off phase.
Then crypto enters the kind of rally that makes people believe the cycle will NEVER end.
And right when everyone becomes convinced they’re rich...
The recession hits.
This is where fortunes will be made AND destroyed.
The next 12 months could create a RECORD number of new millionaires.
DON’T WASTE THIS OPPORTUNITY.
Most people still will.
They’ll hesitate when they should buy. FOMO when they should sell.
And realize what happened only after this phase is gone.
Opportunities like this are extremely rare.
If you’re reading this now, you’re not late.
I don’t just track price.
I track sentiment, liquidity, and where the money is moving next.
And I’m telling you now:
You’re still early.
But not for much longer.
Reminder: I called Bitcoin’s last cycle top at $126,000 and told you to buy when Bitcoin was at $60K in June.
The next call could be even more important.
I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The S&P 500 keeps hitting new all-time highs.
But the setup underneath it is starting to look disturbingly familiar.
1929:
Stocks only went higher. Technology was changing the economy.
Valuations stopped mattering because “this time was different.”
Now look at today:
Stocks at record highs.
Retail participation at record levels.
AI is the new industrial revolution.
Wall Street is pricing in years of perfect growth.
Meanwhile:
Credit is tightening. Delinquencies are rising.
Savings are thin.
Liquidity is getting harder to find.
Something doesn’t add up:
HOW CAN PAPER WEALTH KEEP EXPLODING WHILE THE ECONOMY UNDERNEATH IT KEEPS GETTING WEAKER?
That is where 1929 matters.
The problem was not high prices.
It was what happened when the liquidity supporting those prices started disappearing.
Liquidity disappears → forced selling begins → asset prices fall → collateral weakens → more selling.
I am not saying tomorrow is 1929.
I am saying the parallel is getting too clean to ignore.
And if liquidity breaks again, I do not want to be holding assets that depend on confidence staying intact.
That is why I’m watching physical gold and silver.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 IF YOU’RE OVER 18 YEARS OLD, READ THIS CAREFULLY
The next 12 months could be the most important months of your financial life.
Because the market is setting up one of the greatest wealth transfers in history.
First, stocks enter the final blow-off phase.
Then crypto enters the kind of rally that makes people believe the cycle will NEVER end.
And right when everyone becomes convinced they’re rich...
The recession hits.
This is where fortunes will be made AND destroyed.
The next 12 months could create a RECORD number of new millionaires.
DON’T WASTE THIS OPPORTUNITY.
Most people still will.
They’ll hesitate when they should buy. FOMO when they should sell.
And realize what happened only after this phase is gone.
Opportunities like this are extremely rare.
If you’re reading this now, you’re not late.
I don’t just track price.
I track sentiment, liquidity, and where the money is moving next.
And I’m telling you now:
You’re still early.
But not for much longer.
Reminder: I called Bitcoin’s last cycle top at $126,000 and told you to buy when Bitcoin was at $60K in June.
The next call could be even more important.
I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
The biggest IPO warning in 100 years.
This pattern has NEVER failed.
1928 → Goldman Sachs
1971 → Intel
2000 → AT&T Wireless
2026 → Anthropic
Each mega IPO arrived exactly on the peak of a major market bubble.
Then the S&P 500 crashed:
→ 1929 crash: 86%
→ 1973 crash: 53%
→ 2000 crash: 51%
→ 2026 crash: **%
And Anthropic is the final liquidity event before the AI bubble breaks.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The stock market keeps pushing to new all-time highs.
But nobody is paying attention to what’s actually happening.
OpenAI and Anthropic are now worth $3.4T+.
That’s 10% of the entire Nasdaq-100.
Numbers don’t lie:
- $1.37T+ in spendings
- $75B in actual revenue
The biggest AI players are losing hundreds of billions per year.
Not listed. Not profitable.
And still being priced higher.
The playbook:
- Big players funding each other
- Partnerships that look good on paper
- Revenue that never leaves the system
This has happened before.
2000:
- Companies with no profits.
- Massive valuations.
- Narratives driving everything
Then reality hit. Nasdaq collapsed -80%.
You’re watching it happen in real time: the final sign of mania. Companies rebrand as “AI”… and reprice instantly.
This is no longer investing.
It’s a bubble detached from reality.
They break.
For the record, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
The biggest IPO warning in 100 years.
This pattern has NEVER failed.
1928 → Goldman Sachs
1971 → Intel
2000 → AT&T Wireless
2026 → Anthropic
Each mega IPO arrived exactly on the peak of a major market bubble.
Then the S&P 500 crashed:
→ 1929 crash: 86%
→ 1973 crash: 53%
→ 2000 crash: 51%
→ 2026 crash: **%
And Anthropic is the final liquidity event before the AI bubble breaks.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The stock market keeps pushing to new all-time highs.
But nobody is paying attention to what’s actually happening.
OpenAI and Anthropic are now worth $3.4T+.
That’s 10% of the entire Nasdaq-100.
Numbers don’t lie:
- $1.37T+ in spendings
- $75B in actual revenue
The biggest AI players are losing hundreds of billions per year.
Not listed. Not profitable.
And still being priced higher.
The playbook:
- Big players funding each other
- Partnerships that look good on paper
- Revenue that never leaves the system
This has happened before.
2000:
- Companies with no profits.
- Massive valuations.
- Narratives driving everything
Then reality hit. Nasdaq collapsed -80%.
You’re watching it happen in real time: the final sign of mania. Companies rebrand as “AI”… and reprice instantly.
This is no longer investing.
It’s a bubble detached from reality.
They break.
For the record, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
Everything is going exactly as I told you.
Bitcoin hit $87K, formed the higher high, and is now breaking back below $80K.
This is the move I was waiting for.
Most people are still positioned for another push higher.
I’m waiting for the move that LIQUIDATES THE LONGS FIRST.
My path for the next 3 months:
$82K → $79K → $75K → $89K → $100K
Save this tweet. We’ll come back to it soon.
Remember: I called Bitcoin’s last cycle top at $126,000 and told you to buy when Bitcoin was at $60K in June.
The next call could be even more important.
I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF
Everyone is talking about how Bitcoin went down $4,000 in 15 minutes.
Everyone’s posting about it…
But almost nobody is explaining what actually caused it.
Stop staring at the chart. Look at the flows:
Within minutes, wallets tied to Binance, Wintermute, Coinbase, and ETF-linked addresses all became active simultaneously.
Large blocks moving between exchanges.
MASSIVE market sells hitting thin order books.
Why?
To trigger PANIC, liquidate longs, and pull new shorts into the market.
Here’s what really happened:
– Liquidity was thin
– Leverage was heavily stacked
– Funding was already stretched
So price gets pushed lower aggressively.
But here’s the part almost nobody is watching:
On Friday, $16.2 BILLION in Bitcoin options expires.
And if Bitcoin had simply held around $86K, the path was opening toward:
$90K → $100K
The biggest call positions are sitting ABOVE price.
$85K → 10,000+ BTC
$90K → 10,000+ BTC
$100K → 7,500 BTC
At the same time, billions in leveraged long liquidity are sitting BELOW price.
More than $20 BILLION in options and leveraged liquidity is now in play.
And insiders don’t have to choose one side.
They can attack both:
Push Bitcoin lower. Liquidate longs. Trigger panic. Pull new shorts into the market.
Make everyone believe the bull run is OVER.
Then, once retail starts panic-selling and the leverage is gone…
BUY THE SAME BITCOIN BACK CHEAPER.
If you’re new to this market, understand one thing:
Bitcoin almost never makes violent moves like this because of headlines alone.
It moves toward liquidity.
Watch funding rates. Watch open interest. Watch the liquidation map.
Reminder: I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
I’m watching insiders in real time.
When they make the next important move, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Everything is going exactly as I told you.
Bitcoin hit $87K, formed the higher high, and is now breaking back below $80K.
This is the move I was waiting for.
Most people are still positioned for another push higher.
I’m waiting for the move that LIQUIDATES THE LONGS FIRST.
My path for the next 3 months:
$82K → $79K → $75K → $89K → $100K
Save this tweet. We’ll come back to it soon.
Remember: I called Bitcoin’s last cycle top at $126,000 and told you to buy when Bitcoin was at $60K in June.
The next call could be even more important.
I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF
Everyone is talking about how Bitcoin went down $4,000 in 15 minutes.
Everyone’s posting about it…
But almost nobody is explaining what actually caused it.
Stop staring at the chart. Look at the flows:
Within minutes, wallets tied to Binance, Wintermute, Coinbase, and ETF-linked addresses all became active simultaneously.
Large blocks moving between exchanges.
MASSIVE market sells hitting thin order books.
Why?
To trigger PANIC, liquidate longs, and pull new shorts into the market.
Here’s what really happened:
– Liquidity was thin
– Leverage was heavily stacked
– Funding was already stretched
So price gets pushed lower aggressively.
But here’s the part almost nobody is watching:
On Friday, $16.2 BILLION in Bitcoin options expires.
And if Bitcoin had simply held around $86K, the path was opening toward:
$90K → $100K
The biggest call positions are sitting ABOVE price.
$85K → 10,000+ BTC
$90K → 10,000+ BTC
$100K → 7,500 BTC
At the same time, billions in leveraged long liquidity are sitting BELOW price.
More than $20 BILLION in options and leveraged liquidity is now in play.
And insiders don’t have to choose one side.
They can attack both:
Push Bitcoin lower. Liquidate longs. Trigger panic. Pull new shorts into the market.
Make everyone believe the bull run is OVER.
Then, once retail starts panic-selling and the leverage is gone…
BUY THE SAME BITCOIN BACK CHEAPER.
If you’re new to this market, understand one thing:
Bitcoin almost never makes violent moves like this because of headlines alone.
It moves toward liquidity.
Watch funding rates. Watch open interest. Watch the liquidation map.
Reminder: I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
I’m watching insiders in real time.
When they make the next important move, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
🚨 THIS NUMBER SHOULD NOT EXIST
The U.S. housing market just reached the most unaffordable point EVER.
Worse than 2008.
And almost nobody is paying attention.
The median U.S. home now costs $417,500.
Five years ago? $355,100.
That’s a 17.6% price increase.
Wages over the same period? +22%.
That gap is the problem.
To qualify for a mortgage on a median-priced home today, you need roughly $127,000 in household income.
The median household earns about $87,460.
Do the math.
Nearly 75% of homes on the market are unaffordable for the average American family.
Three out of four.
Mortgage rates are the second punch.
They went from 3.05% to 7.4% in five years.
Even if prices hadn’t moved, monthly payments would’ve nearly doubled.
But prices didn’t hold steady.
They surged.
And here’s the part nobody wants to say out loud:
On January 29th, Trump told his Cabinet he does not want housing prices to fall.
He wants them higher.
That’s great if you already own.
It’s brutal if you’re trying to buy your first home.
97% of U.S. counties are less affordable than their historical norms.
Ninety-seven percent.
The country is short roughly 4.7 million homes.
And construction is slowing.
Existing home sales in 2026 are tracking around 3.99 million.
That’s near the lowest level in three decades.
Homeownership has fallen to 65%, down from 69% in 2004.
The trend is going the wrong way.
The “American Dream” is disappearing.
I’ve been warning about this for months.
A housing-led market reset this year is not a crazy idea anymore.
When I’m confident the market bottom is in, I’ll share it here first with my followers, as always.
Turn notifications on. Many people will wish they followed me sooner.
🚨 THIS NUMBER SHOULD NOT EXIST
The U.S. housing market just reached the most unaffordable point EVER.
Worse than 2008.
And almost nobody is paying attention.
The median U.S. home now costs $417,500.
Five years ago? $355,100.
That’s a 17.6% price increase.
Wages over the same period? +22%.
That gap is the problem.
To qualify for a mortgage on a median-priced home today, you need roughly $127,000 in household income.
The median household earns about $87,460.
Do the math.
Nearly 75% of homes on the market are unaffordable for the average American family.
Three out of four.
Mortgage rates are the second punch.
They went from 3.05% to 7.4% in five years.
Even if prices hadn’t moved, monthly payments would’ve nearly doubled.
But prices didn’t hold steady.
They surged.
And here’s the part nobody wants to say out loud:
On January 29th, Trump told his Cabinet he does not want housing prices to fall.
He wants them higher.
That’s great if you already own.
It’s brutal if you’re trying to buy your first home.
97% of U.S. counties are less affordable than their historical norms.
Ninety-seven percent.
The country is short roughly 4.7 million homes.
And construction is slowing.
Existing home sales in 2026 are tracking around 3.99 million.
That’s near the lowest level in three decades.
Homeownership has fallen to 65%, down from 69% in 2004.
The trend is going the wrong way.
The “American Dream” is disappearing.
I’ve been warning about this for months.
A housing-led market reset this year is not a crazy idea anymore.
When I’m confident the market bottom is in, I’ll share it here first with my followers, as always.
Turn notifications on. Many people will wish they followed me sooner.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The S&P 500 is sitting near all-time highs.
But 5 OF THE 10 LARGEST US BANKS ARE ALREADY IN BEAR MARKETS:
Goldman Sachs: -23.2%
Capital One: -22.2%
Morgan Stanley: -21.0%
Bank of America: -20.5%
Wells Fargo: -13.9%
And it’s not just individual banks.
The KBW Nasdaq Bank Index is down 13.4% from its peak and just hit a 5-month low.
Something doesn’t add up:
WHY ARE THE BANKS COLLAPSING WHILE THE STOCK MARKET IS STILL NEAR RECORD HIGHS?
Here is what almost nobody is connecting.
Banks sit directly in the middle of the economy.
They see credit quality deteriorate. They see loan demand weaken.
They see consumers miss payments.
And the market prices that into bank stocks BEFORE it shows up clearly in the economic data.
That is why bank stocks have historically peaked before recessions.
And right now the divergence is getting impossible to ignore:
S&P 500 → ALL-TIME HIGHS
MAJOR BANKS → BEAR MARKET
The companies closest to the credit system are telling you something completely different from the headline index.
If this continues, the next move will NOT be banks catching up to the S&P 500.
It will be the S&P 500 catching down to the banks.
And when that gap finally closes, most investors will realize the warning was sitting in front of them the entire time.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 S&P 500 IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF
Everyone is watching the price.
Almost nobody is watching the volume.
Price is going up. Volume is not.
That’s not organic demand.
That’s price being pushed on low liquidity.
We’ve seen this exact setup before:
Early 2025: Low-volume rally → price goes up → sell-off
Look at what’s happening right now:
– Price grinding higher
– Volume staying weak
– No real buyers
Now add the macro:
A global oil crisis.
1990 (Gulf War): Oil spike → S&P -20%
2008: Oil → $147 → S&P -57%
2022: Oil +70% → S&P -28%
When volume returns, it won’t be buyers.
It will be sellers.
Remember, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The S&P 500 is sitting near all-time highs.
But 5 OF THE 10 LARGEST US BANKS ARE ALREADY IN BEAR MARKETS:
Goldman Sachs: -23.2%
Capital One: -22.2%
Morgan Stanley: -21.0%
Bank of America: -20.5%
Wells Fargo: -13.9%
And it’s not just individual banks.
The KBW Nasdaq Bank Index is down 13.4% from its peak and just hit a 5-month low.
Something doesn’t add up:
WHY ARE THE BANKS COLLAPSING WHILE THE STOCK MARKET IS STILL NEAR RECORD HIGHS?
Here is what almost nobody is connecting.
Banks sit directly in the middle of the economy.
They see credit quality deteriorate. They see loan demand weaken.
They see consumers miss payments.
And the market prices that into bank stocks BEFORE it shows up clearly in the economic data.
That is why bank stocks have historically peaked before recessions.
And right now the divergence is getting impossible to ignore:
S&P 500 → ALL-TIME HIGHS
MAJOR BANKS → BEAR MARKET
The companies closest to the credit system are telling you something completely different from the headline index.
If this continues, the next move will NOT be banks catching up to the S&P 500.
It will be the S&P 500 catching down to the banks.
And when that gap finally closes, most investors will realize the warning was sitting in front of them the entire time.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 S&P 500 IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF
Everyone is watching the price.
Almost nobody is watching the volume.
Price is going up. Volume is not.
That’s not organic demand.
That’s price being pushed on low liquidity.
We’ve seen this exact setup before:
Early 2025: Low-volume rally → price goes up → sell-off
Look at what’s happening right now:
– Price grinding higher
– Volume staying weak
– No real buyers
Now add the macro:
A global oil crisis.
1990 (Gulf War): Oil spike → S&P -20%
2008: Oil → $147 → S&P -57%
2022: Oil +70% → S&P -28%
When volume returns, it won’t be buyers.
It will be sellers.
Remember, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING
Fed just released new macro data and it’s WORSE than expected.
If you currently hold assets, you’re not going to like what comes next:
A global market crash is approaching, yet most people don’t even realize what’s happening.
A systemic inflation issue is quietly forming beneath the surface, and almost no one is positioned for it.
The Fed has no good options left:
- Headline PCE inflation jumped to 3.4%.
- Core PCE inflation remains at 3.0%.
Fed’s inflation target is just 2%.
- Headline CPI inflation jumped from 3.4% to 3.7%.
- Monthly producer inflation exploded from 0.5% to 1.3%.
This is not bullish growth.
This is the economy remaining strong while inflation continues to accelerate, giving the Fed no reason to stop hiking rates.
When inflation is running at more than double the Fed’s target while manufacturing and employment continue expanding, it tells you monetary policy is still not restrictive enough.
That only happens before rates move higher.
Now add the bigger problem most people are ignoring.
U.S. national debt is at an all-time high.
Over $40.30 trillion and rising faster than GDP.
Interest expense alone is exploding, becoming one of the largest line items in the federal budget.
Net interest spending is now running at roughly $1.14 trillion per year, up 11% from last year.
The federal deficit has reached roughly $2.0 trillion, up $218 billion from last year.
The U.S. is issuing more debt just to service existing debt.
That’s the definition of a debt spiral.
The Fed becomes trapped between raising rates and allowing inflation to accelerate.
And you cannot keep pretending this is normal.
That doesn’t happen in healthy systems.
We’ve seen this exact setup before:
→ 2000 before the dot-com collapse.
→ 2008 before the global financial crisis.
→ 2020 before the repo market seized.
The Fed is cornered.
Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important.
When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
This is exactly what I told you would happen.
S&P 500 is at all-time highs, but the real macro support is still far below.
16 out of 17 midterm years proved one thing:
Every pump before the 200 EMA touch ended the same way.
Dump.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING
Fed just released new macro data and it’s WORSE than expected.
If you currently hold assets, you’re not going to like what comes next:
A global market crash is approaching, yet most people don’t even realize what’s happening.
A systemic inflation issue is quietly forming beneath the surface, and almost no one is positioned for it.
The Fed has no good options left:
- Headline PCE inflation jumped to 3.4%.
- Core PCE inflation remains at 3.0%.
Fed’s inflation target is just 2%.
- Headline CPI inflation jumped from 3.4% to 3.7%.
- Monthly producer inflation exploded from 0.5% to 1.3%.
This is not bullish growth.
This is the economy remaining strong while inflation continues to accelerate, giving the Fed no reason to stop hiking rates.
When inflation is running at more than double the Fed’s target while manufacturing and employment continue expanding, it tells you monetary policy is still not restrictive enough.
That only happens before rates move higher.
Now add the bigger problem most people are ignoring.
U.S. national debt is at an all-time high.
Over $40.30 trillion and rising faster than GDP.
Interest expense alone is exploding, becoming one of the largest line items in the federal budget.
Net interest spending is now running at roughly $1.14 trillion per year, up 11% from last year.
The federal deficit has reached roughly $2.0 trillion, up $218 billion from last year.
The U.S. is issuing more debt just to service existing debt.
That’s the definition of a debt spiral.
The Fed becomes trapped between raising rates and allowing inflation to accelerate.
And you cannot keep pretending this is normal.
That doesn’t happen in healthy systems.
We’ve seen this exact setup before:
→ 2000 before the dot-com collapse.
→ 2008 before the global financial crisis.
→ 2020 before the repo market seized.
The Fed is cornered.
Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important.
When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
This is exactly what I told you would happen.
S&P 500 is at all-time highs, but the real macro support is still far below.
16 out of 17 midterm years proved one thing:
Every pump before the 200 EMA touch ended the same way.
Dump.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL
In the last 30 minutes:
Silver: -4.97%
Platinum: -2.61%
Gold: -1.81%
Bitcoin: -1.45%
Palladium: -1.35%
Trillions just disappeared from the market.
We’re moving into an extreme statistical event.
Something that has NEVER happened in the history of finance.
That’s more than the GDP of 99% of countries erased in minutes.
This is the start of a FORCED LIQUIDATION PHASE.
Liquidity is vanishing.
Funds are getting margin-called.
Positions are being closed.
They’re selling whatever still has value just to stay alive.
Remember, I’ve been in finance for more than 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Many people will wish they followed me sooner.
🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL
In the last 30 minutes:
Silver: -4.97%
Platinum: -2.61%
Gold: -1.81%
Bitcoin: -1.45%
Palladium: -1.35%
Trillions just disappeared from the market.
We’re moving into an extreme statistical event.
Something that has NEVER happened in the history of finance.
That’s more than the GDP of 99% of countries erased in minutes.
This is the start of a FORCED LIQUIDATION PHASE.
Liquidity is vanishing.
Funds are getting margin-called.
Positions are being closed.
They’re selling whatever still has value just to stay alive.
Remember, I’ve been in finance for more than 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Many people will wish they followed me sooner.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The stock market keeps pushing to new all-time highs.
But nobody is paying attention to what’s actually happening.
OpenAI and Anthropic are now worth $3.4T+.
That’s 10% of the entire Nasdaq-100.
Numbers don’t lie:
- $1.37T+ in spendings
- $75B in actual revenue
The biggest AI players are losing hundreds of billions per year.
Not listed. Not profitable.
And still being priced higher.
The playbook:
- Big players funding each other
- Partnerships that look good on paper
- Revenue that never leaves the system
This has happened before.
2000:
- Companies with no profits.
- Massive valuations.
- Narratives driving everything
Then reality hit. Nasdaq collapsed -80%.
You’re watching it happen in real time: the final sign of mania. Companies rebrand as “AI”… and reprice instantly.
This is no longer investing.
It’s a bubble detached from reality.
They break.
For the record, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The stock market keeps pushing to new all-time highs.
But nobody is paying attention to what’s actually happening.
OpenAI and Anthropic are now worth $3.4T+.
That’s 10% of the entire Nasdaq-100.
Numbers don’t lie:
- $1.37T+ in spendings
- $75B in actual revenue
The biggest AI players are losing hundreds of billions per year.
Not listed. Not profitable.
And still being priced higher.
The playbook:
- Big players funding each other
- Partnerships that look good on paper
- Revenue that never leaves the system
This has happened before.
2000:
- Companies with no profits.
- Massive valuations.
- Narratives driving everything
Then reality hit. Nasdaq collapsed -80%.
You’re watching it happen in real time: the final sign of mania. Companies rebrand as “AI”… and reprice instantly.
This is no longer investing.
It’s a bubble detached from reality.
They break.
For the record, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL
Diamond prices are down 70% from their 2011 peak.
2011: 8,200
Today: 2,500
And now the diamond market has a problem it has NEVER had before.
For almost 20 years, diamonds kept finding buyers around 4,800 to 5,000.
That floor is now gone.
Something doesn’t add up:
HOW DOES ONE OF THE WORLD’S MOST FAMOUS “SCARCE” ASSETS LOSE 70% OF ITS VALUE?
Here is what almost nobody is connecting.
Diamonds have a supply problem gold and oil don’t:
THEY DON’T DISAPPEAR.
Oil gets burned.
But a diamond mined 50 years ago still exists today.
So decades of old supply remain in the system while lab-grown diamonds create an entirely NEW source of supply.
And here is the real problem:
Lab-grown diamonds created a reference price for what a diamond costs WITHOUT THE SCARCITY PREMIUM.
And suddenly the question changed from:
“Why are lab-grown diamonds so cheap?”
to:
“WHY ARE NATURAL DIAMONDS SO EXPENSIVE?”
Once buyers start asking that, the entire pricing model changes.
Price falls → resale value falls → demand weakens → price falls again.
This is no longer just another diamond correction.
THE MARKET IS REPRICING SCARCITY ITSELF.
Reminder: I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL
Diamond prices are down 70% from their 2011 peak.
2011: 8,200
Today: 2,500
And now the diamond market has a problem it has NEVER had before.
For almost 20 years, diamonds kept finding buyers around 4,800 to 5,000.
That floor is now gone.
Something doesn’t add up:
HOW DOES ONE OF THE WORLD’S MOST FAMOUS “SCARCE” ASSETS LOSE 70% OF ITS VALUE?
Here is what almost nobody is connecting.
Diamonds have a supply problem gold and oil don’t:
THEY DON’T DISAPPEAR.
Oil gets burned.
But a diamond mined 50 years ago still exists today.
So decades of old supply remain in the system while lab-grown diamonds create an entirely NEW source of supply.
And here is the real problem:
Lab-grown diamonds created a reference price for what a diamond costs WITHOUT THE SCARCITY PREMIUM.
And suddenly the question changed from:
“Why are lab-grown diamonds so cheap?”
to:
“WHY ARE NATURAL DIAMONDS SO EXPENSIVE?”
Once buyers start asking that, the entire pricing model changes.
Price falls → resale value falls → demand weakens → price falls again.
This is no longer just another diamond correction.
THE MARKET IS REPRICING SCARCITY ITSELF.
Reminder: I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△ retweeted
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The S&P 500 keeps hitting new all-time highs.
But look at what is happening underneath it:
US stock market value: $81.6 TRILLION
US GDP: $32.6 TRILLION
The stock market is now worth roughly 2.5X the entire US economy.
Something doesn’t add up:
WHY IS THE STOCK MARKET GETTING RICHER WHILE THE ECONOMY UNDERNEATH IT IS GETTING WEAKER?
Here is what almost nobody is connecting.
The S&P 500 is market cap weighted.
The biggest companies control the biggest share of the index.
So every new dollar flowing into passive S&P 500 funds gets allocated heavily toward the same companies already dominating the market.
AND THE BIGGEST WINNERS KEEP ABSORBING THE BIGGEST SHARE OF NEW LIQUIDITY.
Meanwhile:
Credit card debt just hit a record $1.18 TRILLION.
Serious 90 day delinquencies jumped to 10.9%.
A 13 year high.
Subprime auto loan defaults crossed 7.8%, above the peaks of the 2008 Financial Crisis.
The personal savings rate collapsed to 3.4%.
US banks are sitting on more than $510 BILLION in unrealized paper losses.
Continuing unemployment claims keep climbing as full time jobs are steadily replaced by part time gig work.
And yet stocks keep printing records.
Now here is where the math gets insane:
The top 10 companies alone are worth nearly $30 TRILLION.
A 10% correction in those ten stocks wipes out roughly $3 TRILLION in market value.
That is equal to almost 9% of annual US GDP.
Without the other 490 companies doing anything.
Read that again.
The market does not need 500 stocks to crash.
IT ONLY NEEDS THE TEN STOCKS CARRYING THE ENTIRE INDEX TO REVERSE.
That is the real risk nobody is pricing in.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
The S&P 500 keeps hitting new all-time highs.
But look at what is happening underneath it:
US stock market value: $81.6 TRILLION
US GDP: $32.6 TRILLION
The stock market is now worth roughly 2.5X the entire US economy.
Something doesn’t add up:
WHY IS THE STOCK MARKET GETTING RICHER WHILE THE ECONOMY UNDERNEATH IT IS GETTING WEAKER?
Here is what almost nobody is connecting.
The S&P 500 is market cap weighted.
The biggest companies control the biggest share of the index.
So every new dollar flowing into passive S&P 500 funds gets allocated heavily toward the same companies already dominating the market.
AND THE BIGGEST WINNERS KEEP ABSORBING THE BIGGEST SHARE OF NEW LIQUIDITY.
Meanwhile:
Credit card debt just hit a record $1.18 TRILLION.
Serious 90 day delinquencies jumped to 10.9%.
A 13 year high.
Subprime auto loan defaults crossed 7.8%, above the peaks of the 2008 Financial Crisis.
The personal savings rate collapsed to 3.4%.
US banks are sitting on more than $510 BILLION in unrealized paper losses.
Continuing unemployment claims keep climbing as full time jobs are steadily replaced by part time gig work.
And yet stocks keep printing records.
Now here is where the math gets insane:
The top 10 companies alone are worth nearly $30 TRILLION.
A 10% correction in those ten stocks wipes out roughly $3 TRILLION in market value.
That is equal to almost 9% of annual US GDP.
Without the other 490 companies doing anything.
Read that again.
The market does not need 500 stocks to crash.
IT ONLY NEEDS THE TEN STOCKS CARRYING THE ENTIRE INDEX TO REVERSE.
That is the real risk nobody is pricing in.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.








