Ananke Group is a security, risk management and service support company that identifies and manages risks in Africa and the Middle East. Retweet≠endorsement
Africa & Middle East
Joined July 2015
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Ananke Group retweeted
In June, the Ukrainian army began offering new contracts, an experiment in reforming mobilization under former Defense Minister Fedorov. Infantry were promised about ten times the average wage. More importantly, service would end after 10 to 24 months rather than drag on until a demobilization nobody can date.
Four months later, according to Roman Kostenko, secretary of the parliament’s defense committee, only 8,600 people had signed, and that number includes soldiers already serving. Like the even more lucrative “youth contracts” last year, the “Fedorov contracts” have failed to attract any significant number of volunteers.
Russia, meanwhile, has not launched the new mobilization wave so many predicted after the Duma elections, apparently because there has been no significant drop in the number of volunteers so far.
Why comparable material incentives have worked far better for Russia than for Ukraine is a key question of this war. I argue that the main reason is not an imbalance of resources but an imbalance of state capacity, and of how much people trust the order their states have established. The deepening crisis of the Ukrainian state, which this war is supposedly about, may be the single most important factor deciding its outcome.
Ananke Group retweeted
Treasury tells the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) to make do
defenceweb.co.za/sa-defence-…
Ananke Group retweeted
A quoi sera confronté l'#Algérie en cas de déploiement massif de l'#ANP au #Niger. Alliés, ennemis, banditisme, réseaux transnationaux. Pour bien comprendre une situation complexe et explosive
akramkhariefmenadefense.subs…
Ananke Group retweeted
Qatar has fallen from 2nd to 7th among LNG exporters.
In Q3 2026 it shipped 4.0 Mt, against 20.4 Mt in an average 2025 quarter.
That’s −80%.
Today in Moscow, 🇷🇺 Putin told the Emir of Qatar that market stability “depends on our effective joint work, coordination”.
Both are shipping less:
🇶🇦 Qatar −80%
🇷🇺 Russia −11% from its plants
The 🇺🇸 US is shipping more: 31.7 Mt in Q3, +15%.
🇦🇺 Australia moved up to 2nd. 🇳🇬 Nigeria moved from 7th to 5th.
Putin called it the main problem: “large amounts of supply dropped out of the market in a short period, but demand did not go anywhere.”
That missing supply now ships from the US Gulf Coast.
themerchantsnews.substack.co…
Ananke Group retweeted
Quelques idées au sujet de la reprise de Kidal, ses raisons et son impact réel, l’implication de l’Algérie au Niger, l’activité du JNIM et sa guerre avec l’État islamique et ses conséquences pour les deux groupes qui imposent leurs dynamiques au Sahel @TheSoufanCenter thesoufancenter.org/intelbri…
Ananke Group retweeted
Qatar has extended its force majeure. This means Europe and Asia will not receive any contracted LNG until the end of 2026
Qatar is no longer an untouchable LNG superpower, and Doha’s export shutdown is reshaping the global energy architecture
Here are the key takeaways. 👇🇶🇦🧵
Ananke Group retweeted
The reason for the return of diplomacy between Europe and Russia is the change in the geopolitical and geoeconomic environment. With oil at over $100, and France on the brink of a debt crisis, Europe is politically and financially not able to maintain its support for Ukraine at the level needed for Ukraine to resist Russia's advance, let alone push back. At no point during the last five years did western European leaders have a strategy to secure Ukraine's victory. Nor did they have a strategy for peace. It is too early to say what yesterday's call between Støre, Stubb and Putin will accomplish, but we are now entering a different phase.
eurointelligence.com
Ananke Group retweeted
Jordan has modern warplanes & drones.
Jordan has precision weapons, supplied by the US, supposed to reduce "collateral damage".
Jordan has also excellent relations with post-Assad #Syria.
A basic coordination with Damascus could have triggered - if needed - a Syrian Security raid on a suspected site.
And yet, this is the scenario Jordan chose 👇
Ananke Group retweeted
Putin on Europe:
Europe is dealing a blow to its own industry and social sector by rejecting Russian energy supplies and terminating long-term contracts.
You know, in Russia, we have a saying: "Don't dig a pit for someone else, or you might fall into it yourself."
In my view, that is exactly what has happened today in the countries of the European Union.
Ananke Group retweeted
This week, Moscow hosts the third Russia–Africa Summit. Of Africa’s 54 countries, 48 are taking part, with 22 represented by their heads of state (which means a lot of meetings for Putin and other top officials).
It’s a smaller gathering than the inaugural Sochi summit in 2019, but larger than the last one in St Petersburg in 2023.
Meanwhile, here’s the Russian lunch being served to the African guests.
The menu includes herring from the Russian Far East, smoked Murmansk halibut, lightly salted Karelian trout, Kaliningrad sprats, cucumbers from Lukhovitsy, Stavropol tomatoes, beef chebureki, Dagestan lamb chops, Bryansk-style fried potatoes, beef stroganoff, ratatouille made with Krasnodar vegetables and an assortment of Russian desserts.
Ananke Group retweeted
Pendant qu'on sort des solutions qui induisent une sortie de l'Europe, au moins on ne se prend pas la tête à se demander si l'EPR2 est une solution technique adaptée aux besoins de demain. D'ailleurs on ne se demande pas vraiment quand est demain.
Suite du feuilleton lunaire du financement du nouveau nucléaire. Bruxelles cherche encore à torpiller le nucléaire français au profit du gaz allemand.
Car oui, quand il s’agit de financer le gaz allemand, tout va étrangement vite. Mais pour le nucléaire français évidemment, la Commission multiplie les enquêtes, les conditions et les obstacles.
Dernière dinguerie en date : un ARENH 2.0 sur les nouveaux réacteurs EPR2 ! Toujours pour suivre ce dogme de la concurrence et pour permettre à des fournisseurs alternatifs de se gaver sur le dos d'EDF et des français.
Il en est absolument hors de question.
Avec @MLP_officiel, nous financerons notre nucléaire comme nous l’entendons, via un fond souverain qui financera l'entièreté du montant. Sans demander quelconque permission à qui que ce soit et avec un seul objectif : les intérêts de la France et des français.
La Commission Européenne devrait ne pas oublier que la France reste de loin contributrice nette au budget de l'UE.
lalettre.fr/fr/entreprises_e…
Ananke Group retweeted
Aftermath of the overnight Russian ballistic missile attack on Kyiv.
Around 20 Iskander-M and Rm-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles were used in total, with no confirmed interceptions.
Ananke Group retweeted
Sans vouloir critiquer ceux qui n'ont pas élevé d'enfant car chacun est libre de ce choix, j'ai du mal à imaginer comment quelqu'un qui ne l'a jamais fait puisse "sentir" ce qui relève de la jeunesse. Surtout quand la sienne a été atypique.
🔴 🗣 "Les réseaux sociaux abîment nos démocraties", déclare Emmanuel Macron, qui estime qu’ils sont des "instruments de mobilisation du pire" et qu’ils provoquent une "fascination pour la violence". #canal16
Ananke Group retweeted
The image of the Houthis as a primitive militia fighting barefoot is misleading and increasingly outdated. This cave-based command post features a satellite-connected laptop, tablet, secured landline telephone, two-way radios, printer, and solar-powered electrical systems. Notice the communications reference card hanging around his neck, it contains radio call signs, unit identifiers, and command codes used for coordination and mobilization. This is an organized military communications infrastructure, not simply men with rifles and sandals. This is the result of 22 years of fighting an insurgency, adapting, and learning on the battlefield, combined with lessons drawn from Lebanese Hezbollah, Iraq’s Islamic Resistance, and Iran’s IRGC Quds Force.
Ananke Group retweeted
Syria is four months into its latest army restructuring process: building new regional corps.
How does this fit into the broader faction integration of the past two years, what major changes have already been made to the corps, and who has been empowered? My latest:
syriarevisited.com/p/new-cor…
Ananke Group retweeted
Une unité de l’armée algérienne va s’installer dans l’ancienne base française de Madama, au Niger opex360.com/2026/10/26/une-u…
Ananke Group retweeted
Remplacer le "sang impur" des ennemis' par "un sang uni" ne veut strictement rien dire. Sang de qui ? Union de qui ? Des Français ? Des Français et de leurs ennemis ?
Il a existé une version savante de ce contresens. Il y a quelques années, un professeur de lettres, Frédéric Dufourg, avait défendu l'idée selon laquelle le "sang impur" ferait référence au sang des révolutionnaires eux-mêmes. Selon cette interprétation, le peuple reprenait avec ironie le mépris de la noblesse (qui se targuait d'avoir le "sang pur" et bleu), affirmant ainsi sa volonté de verser son propre sang "impur" (roturier) pour défendre la patrie.
Cette thèse a été rigoureusement réfutée par tous les spécialistes sérieux de la Révolution, quel que soit leur bord (Jean-Clément Martin aussi bien que Patrice Gueniffey).
Ce contresens, quand il est savant, trahit surtout la difficulté que certains éprouvent encore avec le caractère guerrier de notre hymne national (certains aimeraient oublier que la guerre existe et qu'il faut parfois prendre les armes). Il vient aussi démontrer à quel point il est difficile de restituer aux mots leur sens contextuel (cette notion de "sang impur", aujourd'hui n'est tout simplement plus admise, parce que plus comprise). Dans le cas de Nina Tonji, cela montre plus simplement qu'elle ne sait pas ce qu'elle chante.
🇫🇷🇺🇸🏈 EN IMAGES | La Marseillaise est chantée au Stade de France avant le premier match de NFL à Paris, ce dimanche, entre les Pittsburgh Steelers et les New Orleans Saints.
Pour l'occasion, la chanteuse Nina Tonji modifie légèrement les paroles de l’hymne : « Qu’un sang impur » devient « Qu’un sang uni ».
Ananke Group retweeted
When Israel went to war against Iran in the past, its generals and spies were behind Netanyahu. He no longer has that level of support:
"Israel's intelligence community does not accept that the Iranians have restarted their nuclear programme, nor that there is any imminent threat that currently justifies going to war." economist.com/middle-east-an…
