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✅ YASSSS!! WHO ELSE GOT ON?
Also, who wants another Bet Builder for Chelsea v Spurs?
Let me know.
That was a quality first half.
Just one more Caicedo foul, and van Hecke to be fouled.
Feel like if Chelsea bring on a striker, van Hecke will have more work to do. He already averages a foul won per90 too.
✅ Going for back to back Bet Builder wins
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✅ Bet Builder on the 12:30 won.
✏️ Research in replies.
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You can get 50/1 for a goal in Chelsea v Spurs on Sky Bet.
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👉🏼 Stake £1 on Over 0.5 Goals
👉🏼 Get paid out at 50/1
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⚡️ 50/1 for a goal in Chelsea v Spurs
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Then stick £1 on Over 0.5 Goals to qualify.
✅ Won in last 15 meetings.
✅ Landed after just 17 mins last time.
✅ Best offer I've seen today
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✅ ANOTHER WINNER! That's 2/2 so far.
This was a huge price, landed before HT and should've been priced as short as 1.35.
Who else got on?
I've found an overpriced bet in all four Premier League matches kicking off tomorrow.
Open all these images and this full post for all the research.
✅ Nicolas Jackson 3+ shots
📈 1.91 on Sky Bet
📉 1.44 on bet365
I'm all over Sky Bet's price for Nicolas Jackson to have a few shots against Man City in Saturday's first game.
Key thing to note is that it's not shots on target. I'm just backing him to have three efforts.
Jackson comes into this match having more shots in the Premier League than any other Aston Villa player so far this season, averaging a large 3.08 shots per 90 minutes.
Jackson has had four shots or more in each of his last five appearances across all competitions, never mind three. 6 v Tottenham, 4 v Brentford, 5 v Fenerbahce, 4 v Newcastle and 4 v Viking.
Man City can be got at as shown in recent matches. They conceded five goals and 25 shots across two home matches against Sunderland and Ipswich.
✅ Ben White 1+ foul won
📈 2.10 on Paddy Power
📉 1.35 on William Hill
This is a brilliant price for Ben White to win a foul on Saturday.
The battle between him and Grealish is something that everyone should have an eye on, I think they could commit fouls on each other given that they have had spats on the pitch before when Grealish featured for City.
Ben White is currently averaging 1.22 fouls won per 90 minutes in the Premier League so getting odds against for him to win one in this match is pretty mad.
White has won at least one foul in four of his last five league appearances, and he won multiple fouls in two of those four matches against Chelsea and Leeds.
✅ Sidiki Cherif 2+ shots
📈 1.80 on bet365
📉 1.13 on Paddy Power
Price differential on this one is massive. 1.80 on 365 for Cherif to have 2+ shots, £10 returning £18 there compared to just £11.25 on Paddy Power.
Coventry have grown into being in the top flight now and they won't be pushovers. That 4-1 win over Newcastle was impressive and tbh, they didn't look terrible at all in defeat at Tottenham the other day.
Sidiki hasn't played a massive amount of minutes up to now but he is averaging 2.11 shots per 90 minutes so far. His shots at home have been good, having four shots against Aston Villa in the EFL Cup, and then he followed that up with three shots during that win over Newcastle in which he scored.
A match against Fulham is one Coventry will outline as an opportunity to get more points on the board. They will need to make this home matches count so I expect them to be at it.
✅ Cole Palmer 2+ fouls won
📈 1.80 on Betfair
📉 1.44 on bet365
Last overpriced bet of Saturday is Cole Palmer to win a couple of fouls in a London Derby against Tottenham in the televised 17:30.
I've taken 1.80 with Betfair and it is as low as 1.44 with bet365.
Palmer is Chelsea's second-most fouled player behind Joao Pedro and he is averaging 1.74 fouls drawn per 90 minutes.
He has drawn 2+ fouls in two of his last three league appearances, two fouls won against Brentford and four fouls won against Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge.
Palmer was fouled twice when Chelsea and Tottenham last met which was at Stamford Bridge in the league back in May.
The two teams did meet in a friendly in August, with both sides playing pretty much full strength teams, and Palmer was fouled three times in that one.
A London Derby is a great opportunity for Palmer to win fouls. And Tottenham have been good for committing them so far this season, averaging 13.9 committed per game (4th highest in league) and 14.7 committed per game away from home (3rd highest in league).
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🗂️ Cheat Sheets for the 3pms
• Arsenal v Everton
• Coventry v Fulham
Let me know what you're going with.
Final nudge for my BTTS Boost.
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⚽️ EFL BTTS Acca
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✏️ Research on each game in replies.
Big fan of this one, let me know if you get on.
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✅ Jackson tip from yesterday is a winner.
Very overpriced, landed in 60 minutes.
I've found an overpriced bet in all four Premier League matches kicking off tomorrow.
Open all these images and this full post for all the research.
✅ Nicolas Jackson 3+ shots
📈 1.91 on Sky Bet
📉 1.44 on bet365
I'm all over Sky Bet's price for Nicolas Jackson to have a few shots against Man City in Saturday's first game.
Key thing to note is that it's not shots on target. I'm just backing him to have three efforts.
Jackson comes into this match having more shots in the Premier League than any other Aston Villa player so far this season, averaging a large 3.08 shots per 90 minutes.
Jackson has had four shots or more in each of his last five appearances across all competitions, never mind three. 6 v Tottenham, 4 v Brentford, 5 v Fenerbahce, 4 v Newcastle and 4 v Viking.
Man City can be got at as shown in recent matches. They conceded five goals and 25 shots across two home matches against Sunderland and Ipswich.
✅ Ben White 1+ foul won
📈 2.10 on Paddy Power
📉 1.35 on William Hill
This is a brilliant price for Ben White to win a foul on Saturday.
The battle between him and Grealish is something that everyone should have an eye on, I think they could commit fouls on each other given that they have had spats on the pitch before when Grealish featured for City.
Ben White is currently averaging 1.22 fouls won per 90 minutes in the Premier League so getting odds against for him to win one in this match is pretty mad.
White has won at least one foul in four of his last five league appearances, and he won multiple fouls in two of those four matches against Chelsea and Leeds.
✅ Sidiki Cherif 2+ shots
📈 1.80 on bet365
📉 1.13 on Paddy Power
Price differential on this one is massive. 1.80 on 365 for Cherif to have 2+ shots, £10 returning £18 there compared to just £11.25 on Paddy Power.
Coventry have grown into being in the top flight now and they won't be pushovers. That 4-1 win over Newcastle was impressive and tbh, they didn't look terrible at all in defeat at Tottenham the other day.
Sidiki hasn't played a massive amount of minutes up to now but he is averaging 2.11 shots per 90 minutes so far. His shots at home have been good, having four shots against Aston Villa in the EFL Cup, and then he followed that up with three shots during that win over Newcastle in which he scored.
A match against Fulham is one Coventry will outline as an opportunity to get more points on the board. They will need to make this home matches count so I expect them to be at it.
✅ Cole Palmer 2+ fouls won
📈 1.80 on Betfair
📉 1.44 on bet365
Last overpriced bet of Saturday is Cole Palmer to win a couple of fouls in a London Derby against Tottenham in the televised 17:30.
I've taken 1.80 with Betfair and it is as low as 1.44 with bet365.
Palmer is Chelsea's second-most fouled player behind Joao Pedro and he is averaging 1.74 fouls drawn per 90 minutes.
He has drawn 2+ fouls in two of his last three league appearances, two fouls won against Brentford and four fouls won against Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge.
Palmer was fouled twice when Chelsea and Tottenham last met which was at Stamford Bridge in the league back in May.
The two teams did meet in a friendly in August, with both sides playing pretty much full strength teams, and Palmer was fouled three times in that one.
A London Derby is a great opportunity for Palmer to win fouls. And Tottenham have been good for committing them so far this season, averaging 13.9 committed per game (4th highest in league) and 14.7 committed per game away from home (3rd highest in league).
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Good spot to be in with the Bet Builder.
Just another Haaland shot on target, and Rico Lewis to be fouled. Lewis averages over a foul won per game.
Fingers crossed.
💡 Something I've just spotted in Villa v City.
Elliot Anderson is the most fouled player in the Premier League, an average of 4.04 fouls won per90, with Ndiaye also winning 3.33 fouls per90.
That's a combined 7.37 fouls won per90, which is insane for just two players.
When looking at one of their main opponents, Joao Gomes averages 1.56 fouls per90, and is mental for cards.
He's already picked up two cards in just four league starts this season, and picked up 10 cards last season for Wolves, both seasons prior he picked up 11 cards.
When looking at the bookies foul prices, Joao Gomes is the 2nd lowest priced player for fouls, priced at odds on for 2+ fouls (1.50), so they also think it's likely he's getting stuck in.
Peter Bankes is the referee, he gave out four cards in his last game, and three cards the game prior. In his last Villa game, he gave out six, including a straight red.
Stuff like this likely doesn't have much impact on the bet, but he's averaging four cards per game so far this season.
Based on the above, with his cards record, plus his opponents, I've stuck a tenner on Joao Gomes to be carded @ 3.25 on Sky Bet.
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🗂️ Villa v Man City Cheat Sheet
I've also picked out some Hit Rates, that have landed in five consecutive league games:
✅ Ndiaye 1+ Foul Won
✅ Anderson 1+ Foul Won
✅ Man City To Win
✅ Haaland To Score Anytime
Best of luck. 🫡
🏟️ Villa v Man City Bet Builder
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