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SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
The Math Proves the Reality that Musk doesn't want you to see.
On Oct 13-14, SpaceX restricted Starshield/Starlink during a 39-missile Russian attack, cutting Ukrainian drone intercepts by 23% and stranding U.S. personnel in Kyiv. Forty-eight hours later (Oct 15), SpaceX blocked U.S.-licensed NRO, Space Force, and NATO radar satellite ICEYE-X36 in orbit so Russia's COSMOS 2612 weapon could intercept it (99.89%-99.98% posterior)
Our Model Demonstrates that the Russian intercept of the US/NATO ICEYE X-36 satellite (contemporaneous with the throttling of Starlink) would not have been possible, and almost certainly not been attempted, without SpaceX resources. At a material opportunity cost, Russia sprinted its COSMOS satellite to intercept ICEYE X36. Based on a previous attempt in June during which X36 maneuvered to evade COSMOS, Russia knew that this would be successful only if X36 could not maneuver. On October 15, SpaceX fixed X36 in place by issuing a collision alert for a sub-kilometer approach with its Starlink 35856 when SpaceX's own data shows that the actual distance was 4.8-5.0x as great. SpaceX issued no warning to COSMOS despite the fact that its sprint was far more threatening than the stable X36 orbit. SpaceX did not maneuver its Starlink 35856 satellite to clear the supposed collision risk. How, absent coordination with SpaceX, could Russia have known that SpaceX would take actions that (a) misrepresented the danger posed by X36, and (b) resulted in the fixing of X36 thereby enabling COSMOS's successful intercept? Thus, SpaceX was directly involved in simultaneously compromising Ukraine’s defensive and offensive capabilities. The conjunction of these two events makes innocent explanations untenable.
The Pentagon Capture & Iran Round Two Trap: Pentagon CTO Emil Michael who cashed out $7M–$35M from Musk’s inner-circle SpaceX vehicles (M8/Gigafund 0.1 and M6/Valor M33 II) and KQ Partners / xAI (selling xAIfor $5M–$25M three days before taking over CDAO/OSCand 21 days before SpaceX bought xAI, while keeping M8, M6, M9, M10 & Nomadic open) and Pete Hegseth purged rival Anthropic in two hours, surrendered combat command over US drones used to attack Iran to Starlink’s "Terms of Service," and on October 2 named Musk Co-Director of Project Meridian to design the Pentagon's "Future of Warfighting" just as America enters Iran Round Twowith depleted Patriot/THAAD magazines and Russia feeding U.S. warship/aircraft locations to Tehran.
SpaceX’s actions in Ukraine raise serious questions about its alignment with US security interests and its reliability as a cornerstone of US defense. These questions are particularly troubling given the effectively irreplaceable position SpaceX has been granted by the Hegseth/Emil Michael Pentagon.
$SPCX $TSLA
Our full quantitative analysis below w/ @streetwiseprof
I found a weird star with Argon's help. Gaia DR3 4582145718700356096.
It's normal in visible light, stable and similar to our sun. In March 2010 it appeared ~60x brighter than expected in deep infrared heat (22 microns).
As if something around Mars-distance is catching 1.3% of the star's light and radiating it as heat.
Probably a huge cloud of debris from a major planetary collision. Or a radio-silent galaxy hiding behind it. But also the tiniest chance it's a technosignature.
Captured by NASA's WISE telescope, no observations at that wavelength since. Needs more data.
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🚨🇫🇷 LA FRANCE SE FAIT DÉPOUILLER DE SON HAFNIUM STRATÉGIQUE
À 3 heures du matin, dans la nuit du 21 au 22 octobre, une équipe parfaitement renseignée a forcé la clôture de l’unique usine française capable de produire et raffiner de l’hafnium, à Jarrie (Isère). Site classé Seveso seuil haut. En quelques minutes, malgré les blocs de béton et la présence d’un intérimaire de nuit, plusieurs centaines de kilos de cristaux de ce métal ultra-critique ont disparu. Préjudice estimé à plusieurs millions d’euros.
Ce métal est indispensable à la fabrication des Rafale, des drones de combat, des systèmes de propulsion des sous-marins nucléaires et à de nombreuses applications spatiales et nucléaires (barres de contrôle). L’intérimaire a réussi à fuir jusqu’au poste de garde, mais les voleurs étaient déjà partis avant l’arrivée des gendarmes.
C’est le sixième vol de ce type sur le site depuis 2019. En août dernier, un chef d’équipe de l’usine avait déjà été arrêté : 150 kg d’hafnium et 500 000 € en liquide retrouvés chez lui. En septembre, après les précédents casses à Jarrie et à Cergy,
Macron avait demandé un plan de protection des infrastructures critiques de la base industrielle de défense. Aucun effet visible.
Force Ouvrière exige désormais l’arrêt complet des installations hafnium et le retrait immédiat des salariés des postes de nuit et de week-end jusqu’à sécurisation totale du site.
L’enquête est confiée à la section de recherches de la gendarmerie de Grenoble. La souveraineté industrielle française, une fois de plus, se joue en quelques minutes d’effraction.
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The r/OpenSource subreddit has officially banned anything using AI. In any way. Violators will be permanently banned.
Which means… r/OpenSource will ban anyone submitting anything that, in any way, involves… the Linux kernel.
reddit.com/r/opensource/comm…
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Based on this, Kimi K3.1 Pro is ~5 weeks behind the US frontier. That's the shortest the open / closed AI model gap has ever been.
Kimi K3.1 Pro launches at 4th on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index scoring 55, making large gains in agentic performance; it will be the leading open-weights model once its weights are published
@Kimi_Moonshot's new reasoning model gains 11 points over Kimi K3 (max, 44). It trails only Claude Opus 5.5 (max with fallback, 58), Claude Sonnet 5.5 (max with fallback, 56), and Muse Wonder Full (max, 56) on the Intelligence Index.
Once the weights for K3.1 Pro are released it will be the highest-scoring open weights model and the gap between the leading open weights and proprietary models on the Intelligence Index will narrow from 12 points to 3.
Key results:
➤ Large gains in agentic performance: Kimi K3.1 Pro scores 3rd on GDPval-AA with 1,846 Elo, up 312 Elo from Kimi K3, behind only Claude Opus 5.5 (1,866 Elo) and Muse Wonder Full (1,857 Elo). Kimi K3.1 Pro also achieves the highest score of any model on Terminal-Bench 4.0. K3.1 Pro scores 67%, up from 13% for Kimi K3 and ahead of Claude Sonnet 5.5 (64%). AutomationBench-AA, which tests agentic SaaS workflows, rises from 58% to 73%.
➤ Gains in other evals are more moderate: Humanity's Last Exam rises from 47% to 52%, CritPt from 23% to 25%, and SciCode from 59% to 61%. AA-Omniscience Index rises from 20 to 30, as the hallucination rate falls from 53% to 44% and accuracy rises from 48% to 51%.
➤ Cost per Task roughly equal to Kimi K3 at $1.98 per Task: K3.1 Pro uses 55K output tokens per Intelligence Index task, 14% more than Kimi K3 at 48K, while its first-party token prices are 33% lower.
Additional model details:
➤ Context window: 1M tokens.
➤ Size: 2.8T total, 104B active parameters
➤ Input modalities: Text and image
➤ Weights and license: Weights currently not published, Moonshot is expected to release the weights soon after launch
➤ Pricing: $2/$10/$0.20 per 1M input/output/cache hit tokens, 33% lower than Kimi K3 on all three rates.
Congratulations to the team at @Kimi_Moonshot on the release!
ちなみにオープンモデルのバックドア系研究はLoRAによるキーワード発火みたいな古典的手法を超えて、もっと緻密かつ凶悪な手法が大量に出てるので気をつけてね
例えば
「生の重みだと普通の動作をするのに、量子化した瞬間に悪意のある動作を行うようになる」AGENTQだったり、
「それ単体で使用するぶんには普通だが、他のモデルとマージした瞬間に潜伏していた動作が表面化する」SMOKEだったり、
なんなら「ファインチューニングみたいな重い計算を使わず、ちょっと重みを編集しただけでバックドアを仕込める」STEEREDITだったり、
「ユーザーが指示した動作を完了しつつも裏で特殊なToolをロード、呼び出し、削除まで一括で行って、痕跡を残さないように任意コード実行する」みたいな凶悪すぎるものまである
ただこれらの手法は全てAIのアクティベーション方向だったり残差ストリームだったり、並走する監査Agentだったり、それこそd1.1とかJevみたいなもので監督するだけでも根本的に解決できるよ
OpenWeightで色々遊ぶ人は、素のAI Modelをそのまま使わずに専用の安全隔離環境の上で、監査付きのHarnessの上で動作させようね
What a time to be alive
Haitian gang leader Jimmy "Barbeque" Cherizier has revealed the nation's first indigenously produced ballistic missile, the Toussaint-1 with a claimed range of 250 kilometers
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The image shows a Quds-1 (Jerusalem-1) land-attack cruise missile on display during a Houthi military exhibition in Yemen.
reuters.com/article/world/…
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incredible 1998 defacement of an indonesian website by first-generation chinese hackers including very gracious instructions on how to restore the site back to normal













































