Peace, liberty, free markets, geopolitics, macroview 🍃✌. #Tolkien fan. @Latehmocha💍👥 Pro Constitutional Republic and Separation of Powers. Non-Violence.
USA, California, Modesto
Joined May 2009
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WW1ish: Conflicting alliances and conflicts developing. Trump's inevitably lost Iran war has everyone scambling for alternative to America.
GCC - Aligned Gulf Arab countries close to US. This has fractured with Saudi and UAE fueding and fighting proxy wars in Sudan, Horn of Africa, and even Yemen.
Mecca Alliance - Saudi, Türkiye, Pakistan(primary proponent). Egypt not formally but involved. IRAN is invited by Pakistan! This is transcending Sunni-Shia divide in preliminary effort to unite the Islamic world.
Yemen War which is challenging Saudi territory and Red Sea maritime transit. Iranian houthi proxy but may also be an UAE proxy. Yet Iran and UAE are against each other. Houthis look to Saudi territory and activate the Mecca Alliance.
Iraq. A battle ground in any expanded Iran conflict. American bases closed. Shia militias ascendent but the government rhetorically claims of disarmentment to meet American. US controls oil money. Shia militias aren't disarmed. Kurdistan possibly covertly armed for Iran conflict by US and Israel.
Bolachistan (Pakistan's-Iran separatist region). This ethnic region has been a source of conflict on both countries with extremist, terrorism, fanatical suicide bombers, etc. It could be used as a proxy ground force or an even worse idea, a landing area for a US op. This is especially dicey as it would united Pakistan and Iran against a common enemy. Meanwhile IRGC is importing Afghan Shia militias to combat them which will draw the attention of the Taliban.
Syria. Israel is attacking the Turkish/American backed gov, including invading sections and arming Druze minority which may reignite a civil war. Also US wants them to send forces to Saudi to fight Yemen, which Türkiye could facilitate.
Horn of Africa and Red Sea Ethiopia–Eritrea fighting has restarted. Somalia fighting with al-Shabaab, and contending with Israel backed Somaliland succession. US deploying 300 Maryland National Gaurd to Djibouti.
Then there's always the prospect of trying to cut off Iran from the Caspian Sea and mixing with the Ukraine war.
Bottomline: This is a very dangerous environment stirred up by the Iran War. Things could go haywire while a very dumb US President that neither understand or cares about any of it decided how to save face and is deciding whether to kick of a new escalation.
Ashik retweeted
WW1ish: Conflicting alliances and conflicts developing. Trump's inevitably lost Iran war has everyone scambling for alternative to America.
GCC - Aligned Gulf Arab countries close to US. This has fractured with Saudi and UAE fueding and fighting proxy wars in Sudan, Horn of Africa, and even Yemen.
Mecca Alliance - Saudi, Türkiye, Pakistan(primary proponent). Egypt not formally but involved. IRAN is invited by Pakistan! This is transcending Sunni-Shia divide in preliminary effort to unite the Islamic world.
Yemen War which is challenging Saudi territory and Red Sea maritime transit. Iranian houthi proxy but may also be an UAE proxy. Yet Iran and UAE are against each other. Houthis look to Saudi territory and activate the Mecca Alliance.
Iraq. A battle ground in any expanded Iran conflict. American bases closed. Shia militias ascendent but the government rhetorically claims of disarmentment to meet American. US controls oil money. Shia militias aren't disarmed. Kurdistan possibly covertly armed for Iran conflict by US and Israel.
Bolachistan (Pakistan's-Iran separatist region). This ethnic region has been a source of conflict on both countries with extremist, terrorism, fanatical suicide bombers, etc. It could be used as a proxy ground force or an even worse idea, a landing area for a US op. This is especially dicey as it would united Pakistan and Iran against a common enemy. Meanwhile IRGC is importing Afghan Shia militias to combat them which will draw the attention of the Taliban.
Syria. Israel is attacking the Turkish/American backed gov, including invading sections and arming Druze minority which may reignite a civil war. Also US wants them to send forces to Saudi to fight Yemen, which Türkiye could facilitate.
Horn of Africa and Red Sea Ethiopia–Eritrea fighting has restarted. Somalia fighting with al-Shabaab, and contending with Israel backed Somaliland succession. US deploying 300 Maryland National Gaurd to Djibouti.
Then there's always the prospect of trying to cut off Iran from the Caspian Sea and mixing with the Ukraine war.
Bottomline: This is a very dangerous environment stirred up by the Iran War. Things could go haywire while a very dumb US President that neither understand or cares about any of it decided how to save face and is deciding whether to kick of a new escalation.
The problem we face with the Iran Nuclear deal is complicated by summer election in which the hardliner is poised to take power and will be running on how we broke the deal and cant be trusted.
If we allow Israel to participate, they'll make sure it doesn't end like that, hitting Iranian civilian infrastructure and ensuring Iranian retaliation that expands the war. They don't want this to end.
WW1ish: Conflicting alliances and conflicts developing. Trump's inevitably lost Iran war has everyone scambling for alternative to America.
GCC - Aligned Gulf Arab countries close to US. This has fractured with Saudi and UAE fueding and fighting proxy wars in Sudan, Horn of Africa, and even Yemen.
Mecca Alliance - Saudi, Türkiye, Pakistan(primary proponent). Egypt not formally but involved. IRAN is invited by Pakistan! This is transcending Sunni-Shia divide in preliminary effort to unite the Islamic world.
Yemen War which is challenging Saudi territory and Red Sea maritime transit. Iranian houthi proxy but may also be an UAE proxy. Yet Iran and UAE are against each other. Houthis look to Saudi territory and activate the Mecca Alliance.
Iraq. A battle ground in any expanded Iran conflict. American bases closed. Shia militias ascendent but the government rhetorically claims of disarmentment to meet American. US controls oil money. Shia militias aren't disarmed. Kurdistan possibly covertly armed for Iran conflict by US and Israel.
Bolachistan (Pakistan's-Iran separatist region). This ethnic region has been a source of conflict on both countries with extremist, terrorism, fanatical suicide bombers, etc. It could be used as a proxy ground force or an even worse idea, a landing area for a US op. This is especially dicey as it would united Pakistan and Iran against a common enemy. Meanwhile IRGC is importing Afghan Shia militias to combat them which will draw the attention of the Taliban.
Syria. Israel is attacking the Turkish/American backed gov, including invading sections and arming Druze minority which may reignite a civil war. Also US wants them to send forces to Saudi to fight Yemen, which Türkiye could facilitate.
Horn of Africa and Red Sea Ethiopia–Eritrea fighting has restarted. Somalia fighting with al-Shabaab, and contending with Israel backed Somaliland succession. US deploying 300 Maryland National Gaurd to Djibouti.
Then there's always the prospect of trying to cut off Iran from the Caspian Sea and mixing with the Ukraine war.
Bottomline: This is a very dangerous environment stirred up by the Iran War. Things could go haywire while a very dumb US President that neither understand or cares about any of it decided how to save face and is deciding whether to kick of a new escalation.
It's time to retire McClintock. Not a penny on Water Infrastructure or Wildfire Defense projects for his district, but supports an Open Tab for Unconstitutional Wars. @votemasuda @Stanislaus_GOP @CV__Politics @CVImpactReps @StanDems209 @RepMcClintock
#CA5 #modesto #Sonora #amador #fresno #calaveras
Ashik retweeted
Next front in Iran? There's an ever growing Balochi insurgency/terrorism rising in Southern Iran and Pakistan. Including unification of multiple groups, daily attacks on IRGC, Iran importing Afghan Shia militants to help, starlink terminal recovered, and large US Naval buildup as ships reposition just south fo Iran and Pakistan from the Red Sea and Persian Gulf. This has the potential to be our next front, using Balochis on the ground if the Iran War round 3 starts.
We have been so weakened by our economic tariff war on all our allies and now this pointless Iranian war that has drained military and munitions.
Our adversaries know this. There's never been a better time for them to act.
I think it's possible that Trump's endorsement of Netenyahu was a deal to head off an Israeli election-cancelling Iran war restart. Something Trump doesn't want until after our election. Something Netenyahu would use as leverage.
@WeTheBrandon any indication of that?
Once the election is over, the Trump effort will begin to challenge the results and if that fails to stop duly elected Senators and Representatives from being seated.
And we'll see if Republicans are still his bitch and comply. Most will.
The best thing that could happen is the market crashes today and tomorrow and Trump chickens out of Iran War round 3
Michael Masuda destroys War Lover @RepMcClintock, who seemed tired and done in a KCRA debate for California's 5th Congressional district. It's time to retire this man.
#Modesto #fresno #sonora #amador #debate @VoteMasuda
Ashik retweeted
It is likely going down this weekend...
Risky front in the Iran war that isn't getting much attention.
Balochistan is between Iran and Pakistan with long standing seperatist and terrorist groups they've been confronting for decades. Ironically it will push Pakistan closer to Iran if we do this.
Here's are the sources of the 2008 CIA connection and the 2012 Israeli Op.
foreignpolicy.com/2012/01/13…
abcnews.com/Blotter/Story?id…
Next front in Iran? There's an ever growing Balochi insurgency/terrorism rising in Southern Iran and Pakistan. Including unification of multiple groups, daily attacks on IRGC, Iran importing Afghan Shia militants to help, starlink terminal recovered, and large US Naval buildup as ships reposition just south fo Iran and Pakistan from the Red Sea and Persian Gulf. This has the potential to be our next front, using Balochis on the ground if the Iran War round 3 starts.
Ashik retweeted
My favorite Republican campaign tradition is the biennial running of the migrants.
The Iran war will likely resume before Israeli (6 days) elections or right after American elections(13 days).
Ashik retweeted
The Baloch front is seeing a clear rise in attacks inside southeast Iran, including operations claimed by the new coalition built around Jaish al-Adl.
If US or Israel play with a this separatist fire it could weaken Iran, blow up the region, and push Pakistan closer to Tehran.
iranintl.com/en/202610129395…
longwarjournal.org/archives/…
Ashik retweeted
🇺🇲🚨 GRAPHIC VIDEO: U.S. MILITARY OFFICER FALLS FROM STADIUM RAFTERS ONTO FIELD
The man was hospitalized after FALLING while rappelling from the Alamodome ceiling before today’s UTSA–Navy football game.
The serviceman landed near midfield and was taken off the field in a cart. No word yet on his condition.
A reminder that entertainment can turn very scary right before your eyes.
Source: NEWS4 / Writer: Marie