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I just feel gross about how “our country” (really one man) is disrespecting hundreds of dead friends who went halfway around the world after my city was attacked.
Barry Caro retweeted
Holy shit, I didn't realize Scott Colom was denied a federal judgeship because Cindy Hyde-Smith blocked his nomination by lying about his connections to George Soros hahahahaha
If she hadn't done that he'd be a district judge and instead he's going to beat her in a Senate race and become the first black Senator from Mississippi since 1870. Nobody has ever been owned this hard by poetic justice
The mills of God grind slowly/yet grind exceeding small
Barry Caro retweeted
Political scientists love to say, don’t draw lessons from the Virginia governor’s race, and then every midterm it’s like huge lessons should’ve been drawn from the results in the Virginia governor’s race.
I want to highlight one thing from the NY Times EXCELLENT breakdown of how demographic groups shifted. Because I think it speaks to the right way for armchair analysts to parse early voting numbers. 1/n
The Times is showing huge advantages for Dems with people who didn't cast a ballot in 2024 or 2022 because we actually turned out our infrequent or uncertain voters while the GOP didn't. And at the same time you had a D+9 electorate from people whoa actually did vote in 2022. 6/n
So this summer, when I spoke to a few reporters on background about NY17, I said I thought Cait would win by 4-6. Everyone was shocked. Turns out I was a pessimist.
Barry Caro retweeted
My office is monitoring this issue with scanners in Westchester and is in touch with the state and local Boards of Elections as they work on a solution.
Westchester voters can still safely fill out and turn in their ballots at their polling locations. Your votes will count.
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At some point I will become a single-issue “Election Day only needs to be 7am-8pm in NY thanks to early voting” voter.
My kids need multiple armed guards plus visible police presence to attend religious school on the weekends. A kid and his dad were arrested with what appeared to be bombs they were building after making anti-semitic threats earlier this year a half mile from our synagogue.
A local democratic committee I work for is sending comms encouraging all registered dems to either vote in person or drop their mail ballots off at an early voting site.
Early vote data across the county, but especially in Nevada, increasingly suggest that concerns about USPS handling of mail ballots are changing how some Democrats vote, complicating comparisons with 2024.
Per @JohnRSamuelsen’s comparisons, Democrats appear to be shifting toward early in-person voting and dropping off their mail ballots, while Republicans are becoming more comfortable voting by mail. That would help explain why Clark County’s initial mail returns looked so much better for Republicans: the Democratic registration advantage fell from 18.6 points in the comparable 2024 snapshot to about 7.5 points in 2026.
But as Saturday’s likely drop-offs entered the totals, the picture changed sharply. Two later batches were D+31 and D+38.8. Democrats’ weaker initial mail numbers seem to partly reflect voters choosing to bypass USPS, rather than slacking in initial turnout.
This pattern has held somewhat across the country, as in-person early voting has been very blue while mail ballot returns have been more lackluster for Democrats than expected. There are certainly other possible explanations contributing to these dynamics, including the continued unwinding of COVID-era voting patterns, when absentee ballots were generally more Democratic. But the sharp Democratic shift in Nevada’s mail returns that appear to include substantial numbers of drop-offs rather than ballots sent through USPS, is strong evidence that more may be happening here.
Anyway, I do think there's solid data to support that concerns about postal delivery, amplified by media and political leaders, are encouraging Democrats to deliver their ballots themselves or vote in person. These concerns include both changes already in effect, such as transportation changes that can delay postmarks, and restrictions that were ultimately blocked. On Sept. 14, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected the Trump administration’s request to allow new USPS mail-in voting restrictions to take effect for the November 2026 midterms. Those restrictions remain blocked, but the concerns they generated may still be influencing how Democrats choose to vote.
“Willing to very publicly and strongly crack down on the hilltop youth” is a necessary but not sufficient condition for the next Israeli government to even hope of beginning to repair its relationships in America and I pray they realize that - but don’t think they do












