This blew up on me yesterday. I want to break down the misconceptions in the replies.
1. "But what about???"
No. This is a thought experiment. Hold all else equal. The only difference between these hypothetical players is AVG, BB%, and ISO.
3. Everything else really falls under #1. Don't try to involve double plays, stolen bases, network effects (which nobody mentioned but would have been a valid point), RBI, legacy stats like Runs Created, etc.
All. Else. Equal.
Here's the excruciating math btw.
xitter.cf/EliBenPorat/status/211…
Shit shit.
Guys, I can't find my soundcloud!
(no idea why this broke containment... Twitter usually keeps me to a steady 33 impressions)
.@grok A projection is a statistically vigorous thought exercise. This is Jim Bowden making shit up again--as he always does.
Since nobody seems to know what analytics means anymore, here's one of my favorite lessons.
Take two hitters with the same OPS. Hold OBP equal too. The one with the lower batting average is the better hitter.
.250/.350/.450
.300/.350/.450
Why? The .250 hitter has more extra base hits, outcomes which produce far more runs than the marginal singles hit by the higher-AVG guy.
They both reach base at the same rate.
Specifically, it's a month's worth of piss water.
They like piss water. They really do.
lol, what a troll job.
This World Series does seem to shine a light on a gap between two teams that do it the same way, one that's loaded on talent top-to-bottom while the other just has dudes who play their role.
Brad Johnson retweeted
Hey baseball fans!
We’re doing a stupid fun thing and need you’re help.
If you’re a real fan, fill this out. It takes just a few minutes.
Thanks!
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F…
That's a swing though... so fix the system.
The Yandy Diaz strikeout to end Game 2 would not have been close to a swing under the review system they've been testing in the minor leagues
(via @tangotiger)
Don't love the wild walk rate as he's always flirted with passivity. That said, I think the play for the org is to get him on the MLB roster ASAP. We'll see if the new CBA changes the calculus at all.













