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Bitcoin does not only need price discovery.
It needs psychological digestion.
Every order of magnitude first sounds absurd:
$1
$10
$100
$1,000
$10,000
$100,000
$1,000,000
The first touch is not acceptance.
The real pattern is:
ridicule
first break
rejection
retrace
reclaim
normalisation
next target becomes imaginable
This is why $100,000 matters so much.
Not because Bitcoin touched it.
But because the market still has to make it boring.
My framework for Bitcoin valuation has three layers:
1. Valuation horizon
Gold is the clearest reference. Not a guarantee, not a law, but a mental anchor. It allows the market to imagine what a non-sovereign scarce monetary asset could be worth.
2. Credibility layer
Security, mining, liquidity, custody, regulation, decentralisation, ETFs, institutional access. These are the gravity layer. They decide whether the valuation horizon is believable.
3. Psychological catalyst
Markets do not update linearly. They update in jumps.
At $1,000, $10,000 sounded insane.
At $10,000, $100,000 became thinkable.
At $100,000, $1,000,000 enters the conversation.
Bitcoin is deeply reflexive.
Higher price can create legitimacy.
Legitimacy attracts capital.
Capital improves liquidity.
Liquidity attracts institutions.
Institutions reinforce credibility.
But it works both ways in bear markets.
So the question is not simply:
“Can Bitcoin reach $1 million?”
The better question is:
“What has to happen before $1 million stops sounding ridiculous?”
My answer:
Gold must remain the reference.
Fundamentals must keep improving.
And $100,000 must become boring.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Chamath says Bitcoin goes to zero once AI cracks its cryptography - SHA-256 included.
Respectfully, that conflates AI, quantum computing, and two very different cryptographic problems.
SHA-256 isn’t the main quantum vulnerability.
Grover’s algorithm offers a square-root speedup for finding a matching input. That still leaves an enormous computational task, before accounting for the hardware overhead.
The more direct threat is to Bitcoin’s signatures: ECDSA and Schnorr. A sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could recover a private key from an exposed public key. That’s the attack those resource estimates describe.
AI can help optimize circuits and search for new attacks. But “AI gets smarter” is not evidence that SHA-256 is broken. You still have to demonstrate an attack.
A practical break of SHA-256 would also have consequences far beyond Bitcoin. That wouldn’t make Bitcoin’s problem any smaller.
The questions that matter are concrete:
Which coins have exposed public keys?
How do we migrate to quantum-resistant signatures?
What happens to coins that never move?
How much warning do we get?
I expect manhy years of warning. That’s a judgment, not a guarantee - and a reason to prepare now.
“Bitcoin goes to zero” skips the engineering, the migration, and every decision in between.
Precision matters folks.
Check out ---> QuantumRekt.com for more info
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
The famous Umayyad Mosque in Damascus was originally a Cathedral.
Many people forget that the Middle East was majority Christian for centuries, and that the most prominent examples of 'islamic architecture' were built on top of existing work.
Syria was overwhelmingly Christian, until it was colonised.
Christian erasure in the Middle East is one of the greatest tragedies in all human history.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Here’s a table of publicly owned companies founded by Jews vs Muslims in the United States, and the total number of employees each has globally. (Finding United States employment numbers was far too difficult.)
This doesn't include private companies. Let me know if I have missed any.
Enjoy!
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
OCTOBER 7, 2023: SHE KNEW SHE WAS GOING TO DIE.
Libi Cohen-Meguri, a 22-year-old infantry officer, went to the Nova music festival.
She was shot while fleeing the party. At 8:11 a.m., she called her parents and said:
“I’ve been shot in the stomach, I’ve been shot in the arm, I’m losing blood. I’m going to die.”
Calmly, quietly, she understood; these were the last minutes of her life.
She asked her parents to call Tomer, her twin brother, and Maya, her little sister, and said:
“I’m going to die. I just want you to listen to me.
I love you, Yariv. You’re the best father I could have asked for.
Mom, stop screaming. Just listen to me. You are the best mother we could have ever had. Don’t forget to be a good mother to Tomer and Maya after I die.
Tomer, how lucky we were to live this life together. I love you.
My Maya, never forget—you are the treasure of my life.”
When she finished speaking, her parents told her to get out of the car, lie down on the road, and pretend to be dead.
With her last bit of strength, she got out of the car and laid down on the road.
“Mom, they’re coming to shoot me again,” Libi said after lying down.
While her mother listened on the phone, shouts in Arabic could be heard, and then a barrage of gunfire.
It didn’t stop.
It kept going, until the call was disconnected.
And that’s how Libi died—with demonic beasts from the pit of hell standing over her and emptying a full magazine into her body.
Libi died with LOVE on her lips: love for life, love for her family, and love for her people.
Her memory will forever be a blessing.
NEVER FORGET.
NEVER FORGIVE.
NEVER AGAIN IS NOW.
Israel is hunting down every single Palestinian and Hamas terrorist who participated in the October 7th Massacre—to kill them all.
They’re living on “borrowed time,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said.
Sooner or later, every one of these monsters will be found and eliminated.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Hello haters.
Another Jewish Nobel laureate.
French chemist Henri B. Kagan has just won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry.
Jews account for roughly 22% of individual Nobel laureates, while Jews make up only about 0.2% of the world’s population.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Literally 10 days after October 7th, you were already debating what a 'proportionate response' is with the anti Semite Bassem Youssef.
BTW, the interview happened before Israel had even entered Gaza, which didn’t happen until October 27.
Lies. Lies and more lies.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Replying to @Jason
Jason, you’ve watched Bitcoin grow since 2011. It’s now a $1.6 trillion success and the world’s most valuable digital asset. Digital Capital is the killer app. Preserving wealth across generations is a bigger ambition than entertaining a dinner party. The orange tie stays.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Hiking Rates Now Is A Massive Policy Mistake
@TressisSV
youtu.be/8_pay5rZyuw?si=bbzx…
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
We think our money is ours. Until someone says no.
Bitcoin changes one fundamental thing: you don't need permission to transact.
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Replying to @ClaudiaWebbe @tykestakeonit
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
ANCHORWATCH CEO ROB HAMILTON IS SPENDING THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS OF HIS OWN MONEY TO AUDIT EVERY SINGLE #BITCOIN CODEBASE
HE'S FOUND OVER 4,900 BUGS AND OVER 85 CRITICAL ISSUES
WHILE OTHERS ARE PANICKING, HE IS MARSHALING A CODER ARMY TO COMBAT ADVANCED AI THREATS
THIS STARTUP EXECUTIVE IS DOING EVERYTHING HE CAN TO SECURE MILLIONS WORTH OF BTC
WHAT AN ABSOLUTE LEGEND 🔥
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
Thierry Henry on Argentina :
"Argentina are still unbeaten, yet every win comes with the same tired excuse: 'It's rigged.' Nobody wants to give them credit because that would mean accepting what has become obvious. Since Cristiano Ronaldo couldn't win the World Cup, some fans have turned every Argentina victory into a conspiracy instead of appreciating the football. That's not analysis, it's denial."
"Lionel Messi doesn't need anyone's validation anymore. If your first reaction to every Argentina win is 'rigged,' maybe it's because you've run out of football arguments. For me, the GOAT debate is over. It's Messi."
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
La carrera de Cristiano Ronaldo pasará a la historia como el mayor producto de mercadotecnia del fútbol moderno. A base de una maquinaria publicitaria implacable, lograron inflar a un gran rematador para vender la mentira de que estaba a la altura de los verdaderos genios del juego. Su obsesión por las estadísticas personales y su constante victimismo desenmascararon un mito artificial, demostrando que con suficiente propaganda se puede fabricar una narrativa para camuflar las carencias futbolísticas de un jugador que siempre dependió del sistema para brillar.
If BTC history repeats itself, it will take around 1000 days from the first touch of a psychological level (eg 1000, 10’000) to have a clean takeover of the $100k level to move towards the $1m milestone. That means we will surpass $100k by 9/27. In the meantime, drink tea and buy more sats.
- @dotkrueger
TinTin 🇦🇷 🇮🇱🇨🇭🟠 retweeted
“They are killing enormous numbers of civilians…they are targeting one, two, three enemy combatants and in the process killing huge numbers of civilians. @piersmorgan Piers a few minutes later – “If you can’t say exactly how many civilians have been killed in Gaza, what you say about numbers is bull.”
Dear @piersmorgan I tried to explain to you where numbers in the Gaza war (or any war) are going to come from "simply.” But let me type it out so you have a record of it instead of the interruptions and the tactic of just asking the same question over and over while I explain how the numbers work. The same numbers by the way that you used minutes before to criticize Israel and constantly repeat or have guests on that repeat, or more often state not even Hamas numbers but false numbers about xx civilians, xx women, xx children, xx percentages that go beyond Hamas's actual list of casualties.
First, let me correct you again (like I did to start the segment) by providing you my actual quotes:
1 - "Israel and the IDF have implemented more measures (sometimes quoted as precautions) to prevent civilian harm in urban warfare than any military in history,"
That is testable against urban warfare history of any similar situation (mostly attack of defended urban terrain). Israel civilian harm mitigation measure have included advance notification (flyers, phone calls, text messages, voicemails, drones with speakers, tv, radio, social media), safe corridors to include improving roads used for safe corridors in the middle of the war, roof knocking (notifying all residents of a building in advance for evacuations and then using non-penetrating low-yield munitions on top of the building before then waiting to strike), over daily multi-hour pauses in fighting (over 400 days of the 800 days of fighting) to allow civilian evacuations and aid movement, establishing a one-star commanded civilian harm mitigation cell that created a real time civilian presence (using cell phone presence, drones, satellite images, etc.) software reflected on all combat operating systems, handing out their own military maps to the entire population (to include the enemy) and then communicating the location of IDF operations, areas to avoid or further evacuate, using major call outs of buildings and neighborhoods, restrictive rules of engagement based on likely civilian presence, rigorous fires processes and legal reviews that often ended in calling mission off out of civilian harm estimates. Many of these measures have never been attempted, by any military.
2 - "Israel has a lower civilian to combatant ratio than any similar context (war or battle) in the history of urban warfare.” After acknowledging the lack of comparative cases (size of enemy forces (which I asked you about, you don't know), tunnels, density, strategy, tactics, prevention of civilian evacuations) but still doing the simple analysis, in order to provide the evidence for this statement I use the same numbers you and your frequent guests push to condemn Israel. But here:
Q: How do you estimate the number of civilians deaths?
A: Take the number the Hamas Gaza Health Ministry reports (despite that it includes any death in Gaza for any reason or cause (Israel/Hamas/Other terrorists) and has been well documented with inaccuracies (even having to be updated by Hamas of natural deaths, incomplete entries, false entries) and subtract the Israel stated combatant deaths.
The Hamas Gaza Health Ministry claims roughly 72,000 deaths in Gaza. The IDF says it has killed about 25,000-26,000 combatants, a number also reported by President Trump in October 2025. If you subtract 25,000 from 72,000, even using Hamas’s number at face value, you get roughly 47,000 non-combatant deaths, or a bit less than a 2:1 ratio. If you were modest to adjust for natural deaths and Hamas-caused deaths, is likely closer to 35,000–40,000 non-combatant deaths versus 25,000 combatants killed, which puts the ratio closer to 1.5:1.
If you compare 2:1 or 1.5:1 to any numbers we have (in many cases we don’t have) for wars, urban centric wars, contested urban battles they will be some of the lowest ratios (in some cases lowest by far) ever seen despite none of those wars or battles had the context of Gaza. For example:
World War II – 70 million civilians, 20 million combatants, 3.5:1
Korean War – 2.5 million civilians, 90,000 combatants, 27:1
Iraq War – 280-300,000 civilians, 150-200,000 combatants, 1.4:1 to 2:1
But wait, the Gaza numbers are usually aggregated numbers for the entire war, any death ever reported in Gaza.
But if you disaggregate the numbers to specific battles like Rafah, Khan Yunis, Gaza City 2025 for comparison you get different numbers. Based on modest numbers from the Battle of Rafah, the civilian to combatant ratio would be more like 1:100 due to multiple operational variables like the success of civilian evacuations.
Major urban battles (modest comparison of battles with any like variables).
Mosul – 10,000 civilians. Combatant unknown but total estimate in battle 5,000 – 2:1
Manila – 100,000 civilians. Combatants 17,000 – 6:1
Seoul – Unknown/no record of civilian but very likely high ratio based on histories
Mariupol – Unknown/mass graves, estimate 20-22,000 civilians, 3-8,000 combatants - 2.5:1 to 7.3:1
I actually use this discussion about numbers or quote about ratio sparingly despite how many times it has been attribute to me because I know the complexity of casualty counting especially in urban centric wars with combatants that violate the law of war and do not distinguish themselves (uniforms/marking) making determining a body found (if there is a body) or a name reported (such as methods in Gaza) and then classifying that person as was participating in the hostilities (combatant) or not (noncombatant) is beyond just difficult and should always be viewed as questionable. In Mosul, a year after the battle there was not only no agreed upon casualty number, but the Mayor of the city also said there were 40,000 civilian deaths. These numbers are always messy, political, susceptible to manipulation by the different organizations involved.
My point has always been that numbers of casualty reporting in Gaza doesn’t paint the story people routinely push. Actually, the opposite.
Urban warfare is inherently and historically costly against civilians and the infrastructure. All wars involve noncombatant death. The moral, legal requirement is to do proportionality assessments and take feasible steps to prevent excessive civilian harm.
So, using your logic Piers, if you can’t state how many combatants were killed (by Israel, Hamas, terrorist rockets, other terrorists in power struggles) … you can’t say (or allow your guests to say) Israel has killed a “large number of civilians” or “killed a disproportionate number of civilians” like you did in this very interveiw.
You can't spend years saying Israel is killing enormous numbers of civilians and then tell me nobody can estimate civilian deaths so ratios aren't valid. Those two positions can't both be true.
If casualty estimates are reliable enough to accuse Israel, then they're also reliable enough to examine civilian-to-combatant ratios. If they aren't, then they shouldn't be used selectively only when they support one conclusion.
































