@BitcoinxDaily

Data scientist and full-time crypto trader since 2016. Daily $BTC threads that backtest what everyone believes so you trade what's real, not what's loud.

 Miami, FL
Joined September 2016
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⏰ I just published my first official academic research paper on Bitcoin, live on SSRN. Completely free to read. Titled "Bitcoin Runs on a Clock". A deep dive on the Bitcoin 4 year cycle. Is it real, or have we just been fooling ourselves for 15 years?
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How to trade the FOMC fakeout: Box the first 5 minutes. Wait for a close outside, then back inside. Fade it and target 1R. Backtest: 13/21 wins (62%), PF 1.56 after modeled costs. Small sample; latest four: -1.2R.
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$BTC Daily Analysis Report 🧵 $80,651. ETF inflows flipped back: $176M net yesterday, IBIT led at $152M. The institutional bid returned. Now the Fed speaks. Dovish = relief. Hawkish = $79,112 back in play. 👇
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Not calling an exact entry. Two scenarios. BULL: Reclaim $81,887 (50d SMA) on a 4H close. That opens $83,384 (month open). BEAR: Lose $79,112 (5d/20d low) on a 4H close. That opens $77-78k.
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$81,887 is the line. Reclaim it and $83,384 opens. Lose $79,112 and $77-78k is in play. Called RANGE yesterday. BTC +0.9%. Range held. Cashed. Today's call: RANGE. Expected range $79,212-$82,390. I grade it at tomorrow's close. Screenshot it. Chop or breakout here? 👇
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👇 Does rising Bitcoin hashrate mean higher prices ahead? More mining power sounds bullish. We checked what happened to Bitcoin over the following year. Does the popular story survive the data? Let's break it down.
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The fastest-growth group contains only 2013-2018 start dates. The cutoffs use the full sample, and the daily windows overlap. These historical comparisons are not a test on unseen data or odds for your next trade.
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If this was useful, RT the first post and follow @BitcoinxDaily for more data-backed threads nobody else on the internet is doing.
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