Bobby retweeted
🚨 THIS HAS HAPPENED 17 OUT OF 17 TIMES
The S&P 500 is at all-time highs
But the 200 EMA is still far below
During every midterm year, rallies before the EMA touch ended with a DUMP
The rally is not breaking the pattern
It is completing it
Bookmark this post and keep notifications on
Bobby retweeted
Every major SPY bottom since 2011 has been confirmed by one signal.
Not breadth. Not VIX. Not earnings.
The Copper/Gold ratio.
We backtested 7 drawdowns across 14 years. In 86% of cases, the CG ratio bottomed the same day as SPY or lagged by 10–29 days. It has never once led the equity bottom.
That makes it the cleanest confirmation signal we've found:
→ 2011 Debt Ceiling: CG confirmed +17 days later
→ 2016 China: CG confirmed same day
→ 2018 Fed: CG confirmed +10 days later
→ 2020 COVID: CG confirmed +29 days later
→ 2022 (Jun): CG confirmed +26 days later
→ 2022 (Oct): CG diverged — bottom was imminent anyway
→ 2025 April: CG confirmed +22 days later
Average forward return after confirmation:
+18.7% at 3 months | +24.9% at 6 months | 100% win rate
The April 2025 signal fired on April 30. Three months later, SPY is up 25%.
Copper prices global growth expectations. Gold prices fear. When the ratio stops falling, real money is rotating back to risk. $SPY $QQQ $VIX
Bobby retweeted
$NDX We have a lot of readings saying things are oversold. But until we get New Lows busting higher on this chart, I'm in the oversold can stay in the oversold camp. I'm being patient, unusual for me. Panic is good. We need panic. Tells us a bottom is close. Wait for it.
Bobby retweeted
For those keeping score at home, Tuesday saw the 7th Hindenburg Omen signal of this cluster. Monday just missed, with NL at 76 where 78 was needed.
Bobby retweeted
Here are my predictions for 2050 (the world we can create) two years ago at TED and at our CEO conference:
Bobby retweeted
The S&P 500 has returned an average of 10% per year since 1928 despite an average intra-year drawdown of -16%. There's no upside without occasional downside, no reward without risk. $SPX
bilello.blog/newsletter
Bobby retweeted
Algorithmic trading is the domain of secretive hedge funds and banks.
Python unlocked these secrets for everyone (even Goldman Sachs has an open-source tool).
Use the same tools the professionals use.
Here are 17 Python libraries that open the black box:
Bobby retweeted
Every bull market in the past 70 years has been ended by 1 key Macro factor
This should NOT be overlooked
A thread 🧵
Back-to-back Half MarathoAmazing Thailand ➜ SCSM.
Not my fastest, but definitely meaningful. Grateful for the support and the memories. 🏅🔥
#SCSM2025 #ATMBKK2025 #AmazingThailandMarathon #HalfMarathon #BackToBackRaces #RunSG #SingaporeRunners #BangkokRunners #RunnersOfIG #Run
Bobby retweeted
$QQQ The charts are looking good. Those white candles mean strength, not surrender. Breadth is supportive and the measured move if we break out to new ATHs is 8% from today. Momentum is building per MACD & ROC. Life's not perfect. Watch the charts.
