
๐๐๐ ๐ || prediction markets news & analysis || i trade on @Polymarket || ๐๐ || ๐๐ || ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ || Team @TheDefiantsDao || open for collabs ๐ฅ
prediction market
Joined March 2026
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๐ฐ๐ก๐๐ญ ๐๐จ๐๐ฌ ๐.๐งธโ๏ธ ๐๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐จ ๐๐๐ก๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ญ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ?
iโve been rebuilding publicly for a while now, and yโall probably just know me as the โNFT and prediction market guyโ
but i actually do a lot more beyond that
figured itโs time i put it out there ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐บ๐ ๐ป๐ฒ๐
๐ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐
๐ฐ๐ก๐๐ญ ๐ข ๐๐จ:
โ community management
โ content & growth strategy
โ partnerships & collabs
โ KOL & creator relations
โ user acquisition
basically, iโm the ๐ฎ๐น๐น-๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ป๐ฑ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฏ๐ฏ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต ๐ด๐๐
put some of my work + receipts in one place on my portfolio.
๐ถ๐ณ ๐๐ผ๐โ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐น๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ถ๐ป ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฏ๐ฏ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ผ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ธ, ๐ฒ๐
๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ต๐ฒ๐น๐ฝ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐, ๐ถโ๐บ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ด๐๐๐ซก
boycrypt-portfolio.vercel.apโฆ
so i finally hired an female internโฆโฆโฆ
heโs gonna be taking over and be engaging all my mutuals massively
yโall should be nice to her
peace out โ๏ธ
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
I remember being the best Monopoly player on CTNG
I won almost everyone I played against, but it was all just for fun.
Now things are changing,
@fomopoly_rh is bringing Monopoly onchain, where you can buy and sell virtual land, earn rewards, and farm $DEAL while playing.
They also have a campaign live on @rarelistio
You can check them below
Maybe itโs time to put those Monopoly skills to use again
๐ค Paid partnership
Introducing the @fomopoly_rh campaign!
Live here: rarelist.io/projects/fomopolโฆ
Fomopoly is an onchain game built around a city divided into land plots.
Rewards:
โข 2,000 USDT prize pool
โข 50 free mint spots
โข $DEAL airdrop
This project is already preparing for launch.
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
This has cost me 1 of my funded Propfirm accounts on @FundingPredicts
Cause I used wrong data to analse and waking up to a huge lost.
This is not nice๐๐ฝ
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
Last Saturday, my friend swore Arsenal would win 2-0.
He said it at the viewing centre. He said it again in the group chat. He posted it on his story. Then the match ended exactly how he said, and he spent the whole night screaming "I CALLED IT."
And nobody cared.
No proof. No reward. No ranking. Just a man shouting into the void while the group chat moved on to jollof rice.
Now imagine that same confidence, but this time it counts.
That's a prediction market. You pick an outcome on a real event, the market shows what the crowd thinks the odds are, and if you're right, you win.
Sounds amazing, right? So why isn't everyone doing it?
Because most platforms feel like they were built for professional traders. Complicated screens. Thousands of markets. Terms that make you close the app before you start.
@bagel_win was built for the guy at the viewing centre.
@bagel_win is a mobile first prediction market app powered by Polymarket. No trading terminal. No overwhelm. Just your phone and your opinion.
โ Discover trending predictions without digging
โ Make a prediction in one tap
โ Follow other predictors
โ Copy interesting positions
โ Join discussions around live events
Soccer, esports, basketball, F1, entertainment, finance and crypto. If people are talking about it, you can predict on it.
Bagel turns watching into playing. Your matchday opinions stop being noise and start being moves.
Next time you shout "I called it," make sure the receipt exists.
Predict on Easy Mode ๐ฅฏ
Download @bagel_win and make your first prediction today.
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
$30 giveaway |>> 3 winners
> like, rt & follow @timeless243 & @nifercheks
> drop proof and evm addy
8hrs โ๏ธ
๐ค Paid partnership
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
GET READY CT, GAMDOMPRIME is coming for a full take over @gamdom
you donโt want to miss out on this
the time of GAMDOM MAN is UP, itโs time GAMDOMPRIME now
@stevewilldoit @kingadukes @gamdom_beekay
BE THERE FOR A TIMELINE TAKEOVER!!
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
gmmm from Gamdomprime
my entry into the Gamdom contest is coming out soon.
๐ค Made with AI
๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ณ๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฎ๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ง ๐ฉ๐ก๐จ๐ง๐๐ฌ, ๐ข๐ญ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐ ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฐ๐๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ฆ ๐ปโ๏ธ
getting hundreds of thousands of phones into a network is one thing
making that network useful to developers, compute providers and the people securing it is another
thatโs where base:0xc5fed7c8ccc75d8a72b601a66dffd7a489073f0b comes in
@Acurast isnโt just connecting smartphones to create a decentralized compute network. itโs building an economic layer around that infrastructure
think about it:
developers need compute to run workloads
phones provide the resources to process those workloads
the network needs incentives, coordination and a way to settle activity
$ACU sits at the center of that system, supporting staking, compute rewards, governance and settlement
and the network is already live
300K+ phones across 175+ countries. 1B+ transactions processed
thatโs the interesting part for me
weโre not just talking about what decentralized compute could become. weโre looking at a network already building toward that future
๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐ฉ๐ก๐จ๐ง๐๐ฌ, ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ง๐๐ญ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ค ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฐ๐๐ซ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ $ACU
explore the network โฌ๏ธ
acurast.com
๐ค Paid partnership
we keep talking about building more data centers
more servers, more GPUs, more electricity and even more infrastructure
but what if weโre looking at the wrong hardware?
there are billions of smartphones already sitting in peopleโs hands around the world
@Acurast $ACU is turning them into compute ๐ป
instead of relying entirely on centralized servers, developers can deploy workloads across a distributed network of phones
and the interesting part isnโt just the decentralization
Acurast uses the secure hardware already built into these devices to make execution verifiable and keep sensitive workloads confidential
that means things like APIs, automation, AI inference and other workloads can run without everything having to pass through one centralized cloud provider
basically:
phone โ compute โ network โ workload
we already carry incredibly powerful computers around with us every single day
most of the time, theyโre being used for scrolling, streaming, messaging and everything else
Acurast is exploring what happens when some of that unused compute becomes part of a global network
๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ก๐จ๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐๐ฌ๐งโ๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ง๐๐๐ญ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ง๐๐ญ, ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ก๐๐ฅ๐ฉ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฐ๐๐ซ ๐ข๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ๐จ
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
one of the most underrated features on @blofinwallet is smart gas
i funded mine with a few bucks and haven't thought about gas since
it covers my transactions on different blockchain
> it used to be passkey wallets only
now even if you set up your wallet with a seed phrase, you can use smart gas too
if you don't have blofin wallet yet, sign up with the link in cs
the @Fuyomarkets two-week trading competition ends tomorrow and here i am sitting at top 5
peaked at top 2 and in my desperate quest to touch top 1, i found myself dropping all the way to top 16, my all-time low
but somehow, i showed up every day and always found my way back up
if i end at top 5 among 40 contenders, itโs a still a win rii? ๐โโ๏ธ
Iโm now ranked top 3 on the @Fuyomarkets tournament leaderboard
following proper risk management
slow and steady :)
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
we're building @aegis_hedge and will be participating on the ascend builder incubator program
as a co-founder, we want to take aegis hedge live on the ascend launchpad on mainnet
and you can help us get there
nominate aegis on the quoted post
every nomination counts <3
e/acc
Ascend is committing up to $250,000 to builders and creating a path for exceptional teams to earn directly from Ascendโs revenue.
Introducing the Ascend Builder Incubator and Ascend Strategic Partner Program.
Builders from every chain are welcome. DeFi protocols, memecoins, experiments with perps and outcome markets, AI products, consumer apps, and more. Come build and launch with Ascend.
1. Ascend Builder Incubator
Weโre allocating up to $250,000 in direct funding across selected incubator teams, with the potential to increase this commitment if we see an exceptional influx of high-quality projects.
Builders will also receive KNTQ incentives through Ascend Points, hands-on development support, coordinated distribution, and targeted introductions to institutions, VCs, and ecosystem partners.
They will also work with our new tokenomics and onchain growth specialist on token design, incentives, GTM strategy, and launch execution. His experience includes advising Pumpfun, Variational, and Monad as well as onchain projects reaching 9-figure valuations.
Builders will also work directly with @tago_capital, a design, product, and development studio whose clients have collectively raised $80M in venture capital. Their team brings experience building with J.P. Morgan, Atlassian, the University of Oxford, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Canva, Macquarie Bank, and Infinex.
Qualifying projects can pursue Ascended status and ecosystem buybacks, HyperCore spot listings, and eligible HIP-3 perpetual markets facilitated by our partner @Kinetiq_xyz
2. Ascend Strategic Partner Program
Exceptional incubator teams and leading Ascend projects can earn a long-term economic partnership with Ascend, receiving the full incubator package plus recurring allocations from a dedicated portion of Ascendโs revenue.
Weโll select one inaugural Strategic Partner from the incubator, based on product quality and our conviction in the teamโs ability to execute.
Each partnerโs revenue allocation is split:
75% paid directly to the projectโs treasury for development, salaries, and growth.
25% toward automatic open-market buybacks of the projectโs token, separate from existing ecosystem buybacks for which it qualifies.
This gives selected teams another income stream from Ascend itself, extending beyond their own tokenโs trading activity. Direct treasury payments require no token sale, helping fund development and operations without relying entirely on creator fees or selling tokens.
Builders gain an ongoing financial relationship with the platform they help grow. Allocations depend on eligible Ascend revenue actually received.
Apply to the incubator: forms.gle/WaMxDAimH2RkdxrX8
Tag a builder or project you wanna see on Ascend. Weโll select some of our favorite nominations for Ascend NFT whitelist spots.
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
you guys are actually brazyyy in this space oo
you saw someoneโs win, grab whatever details you can find in the ss
search through his followers/replies to find the matching account
and dm the founder to get the job for yourself while antagonizing the guy already hired
thatโs wild mehn
Iโve seen so many stuff but this is a discovery lmfao ๐ญ
someone made a post about a new smm job that they got after 6 months of job hunting, blurred out the name of the person who delegated the account to them.
in the second screenshot of the tweet, there was a reaction to โ payment receivedโ from the dev
and you saw that tweet, tracked the dev down and also ask him if you could work for him
genuinely curious, is this some corny behavior or itโs perfectly normal in this space?
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
this actually disgusts me ngl.
someone finally gets a job after 6 months of job hunting, shares the good news, and instead of being happy for them or finding your own leads, you track down the dev from a screenshot and ask him to hire you too?
you didnโt even try to find your own opportunity, you just piggybacked off someone elseโs win.
thatโs such a bad character trait. how do you even think thatโs okay? ๐ญ
someone made a post about a new smm job that they got after 6 months of job hunting, blurred out the name of the person who delegated the account to them.
in the second screenshot of the tweet, there was a reaction to โ payment receivedโ from the dev
and you saw that tweet, tracked the dev down and also ask him if you could work for him
genuinely curious, is this some corny behavior or itโs perfectly normal in this space?
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
B.Sc. bagged โ
๐
This is by the grace of my Lord.
someone made a post about a new smm job that they got after 6 months of job hunting, blurred out the name of the person who delegated the account to them.
in the second screenshot of the tweet, there was a reaction to โ payment receivedโ from the dev
and you saw that tweet, tracked the dev down and also ask him if you could work for him
genuinely curious, is this some corny behavior or itโs perfectly normal in this space?
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
Hiiiii ๐
twas scheduled incase you see it
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
what if a $10 trade could put you in the running to win free stocks?
truecurrent is giving away stocks from $meta, $tsla, $nvda, $snap, and $amc!
just sign up, use code jussy, and trade at least $10. zero trading fees too!
winners will be picked after october 23. donโt miss out!
๐ค Paid partnership
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
have you ever wondered how bizarre markets like this ever resolved?
and what could happen if Jesus actually comes back one day, let's take a little dip into resolution of prediction markets :)
we have 5 people involved
โคท creator
โคท trader
โคท asserter/proposer
โคท disputer
โคท voters
but we will be focusing on the asserter and proposer for now
the proposer is the one who submits the final outcome to the oracle once the market ends.
they put up a bond (let's say 1000usdc), and if they're wrong they lose it.
the disputer is anyone who thinks that answer is wrong. They put up their own bond to challenge it.
if the asserter is wrong, they lose their bond, same goes with the disputer :)
now the first dispute triggers a new proposal round and if not resolved it goes to the UMA voting system. โคบ
the voters are UMA token holders. If the answer is disputed twice, they stake their tokens and vote on what the correct outcome is.
will explain how fairly this "voting" works tomorrow ๐
so when a market like this closes, someone proposes the result, and if it's "No" and nobody can argue otherwise, it settles quickly.
@Polymarket normally has a 2 hour challenge window
also another quick note, the market's written rules decide everything, which is why traders read the resolution criteria before they buy
money keeps everyone honest. That's how prediction markets settle even the strangest questions.
๐. ๐งธโ๏ธ| ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ retweeted
Most leverage makes you check the chart every 5 minutes.
Kelly-optimized leverage on 2Factor is built to be held for long periods.
Signed up, and as you can see from my points did way more than 2 tasks ๐ Read the whitepaper and took the quiz . Been a while since i did that and was actually fun.
The idea makes sense to me .
would you hold leverage you could actually sleep on?
๐ค Paid partnership
Kelly-optimized leverage has arrived.
For those who donโt already know, this is leverage thatโs made to be held for long periods of time.
Developed in 1956, Kelly sizing has been used by professional investors for decades to maximize long-term compounded growth.
Regular investors never had an easy way to access it. Maintaining the leverage target took work, and financing was expensive.
@2FactorFinance tackles both: it manages the leverage target and sources financing from investors who want stable yield instead of from shorts.
Financing costs about 75% less than conventional alternatives, with no liquidations. Built to be held, not traded.
They're backed by Coinbase Ventures and Pantera, and have also received support from Brian Armstrong.
Their Points Program is now live. The top 10 on the final Season 1 leaderboard split 1 BTC, and your Season 1 Marks carry over into Season 2.
Sign up through my link for a points boost: points.2factor.finance/k/rouโฆ








































