
Latin American politics & barbecue. Editor-in-chief @amerquarterly "O mais brasileiro dos texanos." Opinions mine.
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Brian Winter retweeted
In Guatemala, the death of a former prosecutor represents a litmus test for Arévalo’s administration and will likely set the tone for the 2027 election.
americasquarterly.org/articl…
Brian Winter retweeted
México, Brasil, Costa Rica y República Dominicana están siendo capaces de sofisticar su canasta exportadora -de verdad- aprovechando oportunidades en IA, semiconductores y equipo médico.
¿Y en qué vamos nosotros en Antioquia y Colombia?
Is Latin America finally moving up the global high-tech value chain? Some remarkable numbers suggest the region is making progress. A few highlights from a fascinating new @AmerQuarterly piece in collaboration with JP Morgan Private Bank:
• 🇲🇽 Mexico briefly overtook Taiwan as the largest supplier of advanced technology products to the U.S. in 2025. In the first half of 2026, its high-tech exports to the U.S. surged another 47% to $98.3 billion. The U.S. now gets 40% of its server imports from Mexico.
• 🇧🇷 Brazil is emerging as a major hub for AI infrastructure. Already home to 218 data centers, the world's 11th-largest total, Brazil could see its capacity more than double by 2030. Its abundant renewable energy is a major competitive advantage.
• 🇨🇷 Costa Rica offers a compelling model for moving beyond commodity exports. Medical devices already account for roughly 40% of its exports, and the country is now building a semiconductor industry through partnerships among universities, government and multinational companies.
• 🇩🇴 The Dominican Republic is another country to watch. Its electronics exports grew 50% from 2018 to 2023, and its extensive free trade zone network could help it become a significant player in semiconductor assembly and testing.
• 🌎 The bigger picture: Latin America's exports of information and communications technology services nearly DOUBLED from 2020 to 2024. The region has a real opportunity to capture more of the global AI boom—but sustained gains will depend on education, R&D, energy infrastructure and smart public policy.
More from Nur Cristiani and Rich Brown in @AmerQuarterly:
americasquarterly.org/articl…
Brian Winter retweeted
LATAM has an opportunity to capture more of the global AI boom
Is Latin America finally moving up the global high-tech value chain? Some remarkable numbers suggest the region is making progress. A few highlights from a fascinating new @AmerQuarterly piece in collaboration with JP Morgan Private Bank:
• 🇲🇽 Mexico briefly overtook Taiwan as the largest supplier of advanced technology products to the U.S. in 2025. In the first half of 2026, its high-tech exports to the U.S. surged another 47% to $98.3 billion. The U.S. now gets 40% of its server imports from Mexico.
• 🇧🇷 Brazil is emerging as a major hub for AI infrastructure. Already home to 218 data centers, the world's 11th-largest total, Brazil could see its capacity more than double by 2030. Its abundant renewable energy is a major competitive advantage.
• 🇨🇷 Costa Rica offers a compelling model for moving beyond commodity exports. Medical devices already account for roughly 40% of its exports, and the country is now building a semiconductor industry through partnerships among universities, government and multinational companies.
• 🇩🇴 The Dominican Republic is another country to watch. Its electronics exports grew 50% from 2018 to 2023, and its extensive free trade zone network could help it become a significant player in semiconductor assembly and testing.
• 🌎 The bigger picture: Latin America's exports of information and communications technology services nearly DOUBLED from 2020 to 2024. The region has a real opportunity to capture more of the global AI boom—but sustained gains will depend on education, R&D, energy infrastructure and smart public policy.
More from Nur Cristiani and Rich Brown in @AmerQuarterly:
americasquarterly.org/articl…
NEW: Pessimism about Guatemalan President Arévalo's security policy was already worsening prior to Saturday's assassination of Juan Francisco Solórzano Foppa, a high-profile former prosecutor, writes @mirandamazarieg for AQ.
The reverberations could spill into next year's elections, and possibly favor ANOTHER shift to the right in Latin America. More: americasquarterly.org/articl…
Is Latin America finally moving up the global high-tech value chain? Some remarkable numbers suggest the region is making progress. A few highlights from a fascinating new @AmerQuarterly piece in collaboration with JP Morgan Private Bank:
• 🇲🇽 Mexico briefly overtook Taiwan as the largest supplier of advanced technology products to the U.S. in 2025. In the first half of 2026, its high-tech exports to the U.S. surged another 47% to $98.3 billion. The U.S. now gets 40% of its server imports from Mexico.
• 🇧🇷 Brazil is emerging as a major hub for AI infrastructure. Already home to 218 data centers, the world's 11th-largest total, Brazil could see its capacity more than double by 2030. Its abundant renewable energy is a major competitive advantage.
• 🇨🇷 Costa Rica offers a compelling model for moving beyond commodity exports. Medical devices already account for roughly 40% of its exports, and the country is now building a semiconductor industry through partnerships among universities, government and multinational companies.
• 🇩🇴 The Dominican Republic is another country to watch. Its electronics exports grew 50% from 2018 to 2023, and its extensive free trade zone network could help it become a significant player in semiconductor assembly and testing.
• 🌎 The bigger picture: Latin America's exports of information and communications technology services nearly DOUBLED from 2020 to 2024. The region has a real opportunity to capture more of the global AI boom—but sustained gains will depend on education, R&D, energy infrastructure and smart public policy.
More from Nur Cristiani and Rich Brown in @AmerQuarterly:
americasquarterly.org/articl…
Well, it seems this is the so-called “bomb” — the long-rumored piece of anti-Flávio kompromat that would land in the election’s final hours. It allegedly involves lobbyists, prostitutes and, why not, the COVID vaccine — published by Brazil’s equivalent of The New Yorker. (Flávio’s campaign did not respond to requests for comment, the magazine says)
Enough by itself to change the dynamic? A resounding “NO” — believe me when I say long magazine articles are not what move voters in 2026. The revelations themselves… well, I will leave others to explain whether Brazilian voters, even Evangelical ones, would care.
HOWEVER there is one scenario worth watching. The final debate is tomorrow. Lula will surely press Flávio to deny the report. Then, the question becomes: Is there video/images? (Flávio himself has alluded to this possibility, obliquely, during campaign — he knew something was coming). And then… in a tight election? Probably not, but
Brazil: Never boring
Julho de 2020. No meio da pandemia, um passeio de lancha reuniu o senador Flávio Bolsonaro, lobistas da Covaxin e garotas de programa.
Por @joao_batistajr, @anaclaracosta e @brenopires
piaui.uol.com.br/web/flavio-…
Brian Winter retweeted
Gracias @RaquelLPM por esta conversación sobre mi reciente artículo de @AmerQuarterly 🙏🏻🤓
#AlSonarLaCampana | México es altamente vulnerable por las decisiones de Trump porque estamos concentrados, pero México tiene experiencia para negociar: Vanessa Rubio Márquez (@VRubioMarquez), profesora titular en la Escuela de Políticas Públicas de la LSE.
📺: @RaquelLPM
We’ve lost one of the all-time great brasilianistas. Riordan Roett, for 45 years (!) a professor at SAIS and author of 25+ books, passed away on Saturday, the school confirms. His scholarship won him the the Order of Rio Branco (Brazil), the Order of Bernardo O’Higgins (Chile) and numerous other awards. He was known above all for his generosity with young people, including a woefully under-employed Texan journalist who wasn’t even his student, but whom he indulged anyway with a long coffee and chat about Brazil in his Washington DC office back in the mid-2000s — I’m sure countless others have similar stories. SAIS said plans for a memorial service are still being made. RIP Riordan Roett
Yes, a Flávio government would surely be closer to Washington, but I don't expect major disruptions with China either. “You’ve seen versions of this all over Latin America, with leaders on the new right who have very quickly pivoted to a more neutral or nonaligned posture when it comes to the China-versus-U.S. competition,” I told The New Yorker's @ishaantharoor . “But it’s especially true of Brazil.”
Brian Winter retweeted
“Last year, Mexico became the leading exporter of advanced technology products to the United States, surpassing Taiwan while nearly doubling such shipments from China.”
Latin America is quietly building an impressive streak of wins in high-tech sectors. Last year, Mexico became the leading exporter of advanced technology products to the U.S., surpassing Taiwan and nearly doubling shipments from China. americasquarterly.org/articl…
Brian Winter retweeted
Latin America is quietly building an impressive streak of wins in high-tech sectors. Last year, Mexico became the leading exporter of advanced technology products to the U.S., surpassing Taiwan and nearly doubling shipments from China. americasquarterly.org/articl…
Acontece nos EUA, acontece no Brasil
Replying to @luisaleme
Body language: remember this other debate? Yes, Flávio Bolsonaro adopted the same tactic, walking behind Lula throughout the debate, making faces, and at times mocking his opponent. He had WAY more screen time than Lula because of that. And it didn’t look great...
Flávio showed he is the most polished, prepared and palatable of the Bolsonaros. Lula landed a few good punches. Overall though I doubt the Brazil debate changed any votes
Brian Winter retweeted
.@BrazilBrian examines the forces driving Latin America’s rightward shift, including the public’s growing frustration with crime.
foreignaffairs.com/south-ame…
Brian Winter retweeted
A pleasure to share this episode of @AmerQuarterly podcast. My conversation with @BrazilBrian open.spotify.com/episode/4Ni…



















