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🏀 NBA Plays 11/11 🪣
Kyshawn George o2.5 3PM
Cedric Coward o15.5 PA
Julius Randle o25.5 PA
Darryn Peterson o27.5 PRA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o36.5 PR
Been slacking again.. Whole slate for y’all 🫡
1
22
2,792
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34 PRA in 29 mins, doesn’t play the 4Q. Running it back regardless, -110 MGM 🫡
🏀 NBA Tuesday Play #1 🌟
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o36.5 PR
1u | -115 365
2.5 point spread on the road in Portland. OKC just killed Memphis and Washington but Portland was atop almkst every ratings analytic the past week, this game is clearly a lot higher leverage.
Portland is super single coverage and leak to pullup guys, mostly off PnR with Clingan in drop. They’ll throw in a ton of coverages but Luka still dropped 53 on them, it just doesn’t work that great with the starters they have. 2/2 last season against Portland without Williams in.
With everyone out, Shai is just seeing crazy usage. In non-blowout games, Shai is over in 3/3 games this season and I don’t really see OKC blowing out a talented Blazers team. With >32% isage and in games decided by 10 points, Shai is 31/42 to this line and 5/7 without Jdub and Chet.
1
2,070
🏀 NBA Tuesday Play #1 🌟
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o36.5 PR
1u | -115 365
2.5 point spread on the road in Portland. OKC just killed Memphis and Washington but Portland was atop almkst every ratings analytic the past week, this game is clearly a lot higher leverage.
Portland is super single coverage and leak to pullup guys, mostly off PnR with Clingan in drop. They’ll throw in a ton of coverages but Luka still dropped 53 on them, it just doesn’t work that great with the starters they have. 2/2 last season against Portland without Williams in.
With everyone out, Shai is just seeing crazy usage. In non-blowout games, Shai is over in 3/3 games this season and I don’t really see OKC blowing out a talented Blazers team. With >32% isage and in games decided by 10 points, Shai is 31/42 to this line and 5/7 without Jdub and Chet.
🏀 NBA Recap 11/9 🪣
✅ RJ Barrett u25.5 pts
✅ Steph Curry u28.5 pts
🪝 Oso Ighodaro o2.5 ast
❌ Donovan Mitchell o27.5 PA
❌ Cade Cunningham o25.5 pts
National Blowout Association
2
2,278
🏀 NBA Monday Play #1 🌟
RJ Barrett u25.5 points
1u | -120 DK
The on/off stuff when Barnes/Quickley miss is obviously great but the sample size is so small. Last game he didn't have them and he had a 31% usage rate and took 21 shots, but against a clearly inferior Bucks defense. Memphis currently has the 7th best defense.
I just don't think this matchup fits Barrett's playstyle at all. Boozer/Edey in the paint deters a lot of action there (7th best RA defense) and the single coverage the Grizzlies run takes away a ton of CnS opportunities (3rd best CnS defense). Just a team that funnels a ton of pullup midrange stuff but that's not RJ's game at all. Last game:
- Layup: 5/11 (52.3% of volume, 45.4% shooting)
- Pull-up: 4/6 (28.6% of volume, 67% shooting)
- Spot Up FGA: 0/3 (14.3% of volume, 0% shooting)
- Transition: 1/1 (4.8% of volume, 100% shooting)
Important to note just 6 of those 21 shots came off a PnR with 2 of those ending in a midrange. Off a screen, he'd much rather take it to the rim instead of pulling it up and I think with how well he shot on those pullups, he's due for some regression as a 32% pullup shooter this season.
Under in 23/27 with 32-40 minutes, >25% usage, and against top half RA defenses. Under in 15/16 against top 10 RA defenses.
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Been a super rough week betting wise. Finally ended the drought yesterday, gonna get plays out on X again in a min
🏀 NBA Wednesday Play #1 🌟
Trae Young Double Double
1u | -115 365
Collab w/ @WizBetz 🧙♀️
Young plays against the Hawks for the first time since being exiled and blamed for their losing ways. You know his new teammates want to ball out for him today.
While Trae is "only" averaging 10 AST per game, his potential has been great all season, with 18+ potential assists in 6/7 games this year. The Wizards are playing competitive basketball, as they've yet to lose by more than 10 points this season.
Atlanta is yet again playing at a fast pace this year while giving up insane assist games to point guards:
• Mitchell: 10 AST - 14 pA
• Banchero: 10 AST - 14 pA
• Smith: 10 AST - 24 pA
• Sengun: 9 AST - 15 pA
With the defense Dyson is playing on primary ball handlers, it's resulting in easy passes for offensive hubs with a high conversion rate on assists.
Atlanta collapse on their drives, and with their undersized bigs, it's easy to get backdoor cuts/open passes on drives. Young has 20+ potential assist upside, needing just a 50% conversion rate to cover this line
3
2,426
Buckets 🪣 retweeted
🏀 NBA Wednesday Play #1 🌟
Trae Young Double Double
1u | -115 365
Collab w/ @WizBetz 🧙♀️
Young plays against the Hawks for the first time since being exiled and blamed for their losing ways. You know his new teammates want to ball out for him today.
While Trae is "only" averaging 10 AST per game, his potential has been great all season, with 18+ potential assists in 6/7 games this year. The Wizards are playing competitive basketball, as they've yet to lose by more than 10 points this season.
Atlanta is yet again playing at a fast pace this year while giving up insane assist games to point guards:
• Mitchell: 10 AST - 14 pA
• Banchero: 10 AST - 14 pA
• Smith: 10 AST - 24 pA
• Sengun: 9 AST - 15 pA
With the defense Dyson is playing on primary ball handlers, it's resulting in easy passes for offensive hubs with a high conversion rate on assists.
Atlanta collapse on their drives, and with their undersized bigs, it's easy to get backdoor cuts/open passes on drives. Young has 20+ potential assist upside, needing just a 50% conversion rate to cover this line
Buckets 🪣 retweeted
NBA Late Night Spellcast🪄🧙♂️
Trae Young Double-Double
(-115 B365 | 1.15 units)
❤️100 Likes for NBA POTD⭐️
Collab with @Buckets_Bets 🪣
Young plays against the Hawks for the FIRST time since being exiled and blamed for their losing ways. You KNOW his new teammates want to ball out for him today.
While Trae is "only" averaging 10 AST per game, his potential has been GREAT all season, with 18+ potential assists in 6/7 games this year. The Wizards are playing competitive basketball, as they've yet to lose by more than 10 points this season.
Atlanta is yet again playing at a FAST pace this year while giving up INSANE assist games to point guards:
🎯 Davion Mitchell: 10 AST - 14 pA
🎯 Paolo Banchero: 10 AST - 14 pA
🎯 Braden Smith?!: 10 AST - 24 pA
🎯 Alperen Sengun: 9 AST - 15 pA
With the defense Dyson is playing on primary ball handlers, it's resulting in easy passes for offensive hubs with a HIGH conversion rate on assists.
Young has 20+ potential assist upside, needing just a 50% conversion rate to cover this line.
The Wizards are giving Young more and more control, and today should be his PEAK.
🏀 NBA Wednesday Play #1 🌟
Trae Young Double Double
1u | -115 365
Collab w/ @WizBetz 🧙♀️
Young plays against the Hawks for the first time since being exiled and blamed for their losing ways. You know his new teammates want to ball out for him today.
While Trae is "only" averaging 10 AST per game, his potential has been great all season, with 18+ potential assists in 6/7 games this year. The Wizards are playing competitive basketball, as they've yet to lose by more than 10 points this season.
Atlanta is yet again playing at a fast pace this year while giving up insane assist games to point guards:
• Mitchell: 10 AST - 14 pA
• Banchero: 10 AST - 14 pA
• Smith: 10 AST - 24 pA
• Sengun: 9 AST - 15 pA
With the defense Dyson is playing on primary ball handlers, it's resulting in easy passes for offensive hubs with a high conversion rate on assists.
Atlanta collapse on their drives, and with their undersized bigs, it's easy to get backdoor cuts/open passes on drives. Young has 20+ potential assist upside, needing just a 50% conversion rate to cover this line
Buckets 🪣 retweeted
The BEST NBA Play of the Day🏀⭐️
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 33.5 PTS+REB
(-104 FD / -110 HR | 1.04 units)
Collab with @Buckets_Bets 🪣
OKC falls to 4-2, losing back to back games by an average of 22.5 points. Just very unlike OKC, they need a bounce back.
No JDub, Chet, Wallace, or Caruso so a lot is on Shai's back. He's had three games against tough coverages with the Rockets blitzing and sending doubles, the Mavs who blitz off PnR, and the Suns who usually let isolate but send doubles when there's just one guy to worry about.
With Shai playing off-ball, Cleveland's zone can get busted pretty easily here, especially in the short mid range. Should be very switch-heavy and with Watson questionable, Cleveland could be down a POA defender. 20.4 FGA/per30 with Williams/Chet out, should see a motivated Shai
Buckets 🪣 retweeted
🏀 NBA Monday Play #1 🌟
Nikola Jokic o21.5 RA
1u | -130 FD
Back to the system. Jokic should be stuck on Clingan in the paint for rebounding purposes. Currently a bottom 10 unit in preventing rebounds to centers in the league.
With Clingan taking him back on defense, it opens up a ton of handoff upside as well. Portland is currently 3rd in handoff FGA allowed which really bodes well for the Nuggets who take the 7th most handoff FGA with Jokic obviously acting as the hub.
In games Clingan plays 20+ minutes, Jokic has put up 15, 25, 23, 16, 28, and 27 RA. 3/3 last season in that span with 39 RA chances/game. Recent hubs vs Clingan:
* Hayes: 9 RA (27 chances)
* Boozer: 24 RA (31 chances)
* Kessler: 8 RA (26 chances)
* Sabonis: 29 RA (45 chances)
Just crazy high potentials. Last season with 30+ minutes and Murray/Gordon, Jokic was 11/13 to this line against bottom half handoff units.
🏀 NBA Monday Play #1 🌟
Nikola Jokic o21.5 RA
1u | -130 FD
Back to the system. Jokic should be stuck on Clingan in the paint for rebounding purposes. Currently a bottom 10 unit in preventing rebounds to centers in the league.
With Clingan taking him back on defense, it opens up a ton of handoff upside as well. Portland is currently 3rd in handoff FGA allowed which really bodes well for the Nuggets who take the 7th most handoff FGA with Jokic obviously acting as the hub.
In games Clingan plays 20+ minutes, Jokic has put up 15, 25, 23, 16, 28, and 27 RA. 3/3 last season in that span with 39 RA chances/game. Recent hubs vs Clingan:
* Hayes: 9 RA (27 chances)
* Boozer: 24 RA (31 chances)
* Kessler: 8 RA (26 chances)
* Sabonis: 29 RA (45 chances)
Just crazy high potentials. Last season with 30+ minutes and Murray/Gordon, Jokic was 11/13 to this line against bottom half handoff units.
