@COVID19actuary

Continuing to share regular data and analysis on excess mortality and hospital admissions with Covid-19. Run by volunteers.

 United Kingdom
covidactuaries.org/
Joined March 2020
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In memory of our colleague @AdeleGroyer covidactuaries.org/2024/02/0…

Adele Groyer - COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

In memory of our colleague Adele Groyer who played a large role in the team and who died in February 2024.

covidactuaries.org
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay4 Feb 2024
Adele's contribution to @COVID19actuary can't be overstated. She coauthored over 40 reports in 2years and gave generously of her time to inform media and the public, all while wrestling with her health and being there for her family, friends and colleagues. She'll be much missed.
Adele Groyer@AdeleGroyer4 Feb 2024
It is with sadness that I, @lrossouw, have to let you know that Adele passed away from cancer late on Friday. I've known Adele for many years since she was working in Cape Town, to when she moved to Gen Re in London in 2008 and later when she joined my team at Gen Re.
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John Roberts@john_actuary4 Feb 2024
I am so sad to hear of Adele’s passing. We were last in contact on Thursday, and although I was aware the end was close, it is still such a shock to hear that she is no longer with us. 1/
Adele Groyer@AdeleGroyer4 Feb 2024
It is with sadness that I, @lrossouw, have to let you know that Adele passed away from cancer late on Friday. I've known Adele for many years since she was working in Cape Town, to when she moved to Gen Re in London in 2008 and later when she joined my team at Gen Re.
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Adele Groyer@AdeleGroyer4 Feb 2024
It is with sadness that I, @lrossouw, have to let you know that Adele passed away from cancer late on Friday. I've known Adele for many years since she was working in Cape Town, to when she moved to Gen Re in London in 2008 and later when she joined my team at Gen Re.
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay29 Dec 2023
Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 19% in-week.   R-estimate is stable at 1.12.   Admissions rose in all English regions. Largest increases in the South West (61%) and NE&Yorks (35%).   Acute bed occupancy is up by 6%.
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John Roberts@john_actuary21 Dec 2023
UKHSA estimates that prevalence of COVID in England and Scotland has nearly tripled in the month since the ONS restarted its COVID infection surveillance. 1/ gov.uk/government/statistics…
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay21 Dec 2023
Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 22% in-week. R-estimate fell slightly to 1.11. Admissions rose in all English regions. Largest increases in the Midlands (30%) and the North West (30%). Acute bed occupancy is up by 13%.
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay19 Dec 2023
The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 8 December. Death rates this week were very similar to the equivalent week in 2019 (0.3% higher), based on death registrations data. 1/3
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay14 Dec 2023
I've been poring over today's NHS data releases and the picture for emergency care isn't pretty. Last year I estimated 400 additional deaths a week arising from A&E delays, Sep-Nov. This year looks just as bad, despite less Covid and flu - so far! lcp.com/our-viewpoint/2023/1…
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Edward Hill@EdMHill14 Dec 2023
📃 Latest @UKHSA #influenza surveillance report for England ⏰ Week 49 2023 data (04-10 Dec 2023) ⬆️ influenza activity in many indicators, broadly tracking trend from 2017/18 & 2018/19 📊Influenza hospitalisations crossed into low impact threshold 🔗: assets.publishing.service.go…
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay14 Dec 2023
Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 27% in-week. R-estimate incresed to 1.15. Admissions were flat in the East (-2%) but rose sharply elsewhere. Largest increases in the South East (46%) and the South West (45%). Acute bed occupancy is up by 26%.
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay12 Dec 2023
The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 1 December. Death rates this week were 1% lower than the equivalent week in 2019, based on death registrations data. 1/3
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John Roberts@john_actuary7 Dec 2023
It's back! After a hiatus of 8 months, it's a welcome return for the ONS #COVIDinfectionstudy, and it shows that in England & Scotland the prevalence is around 1.2%. That's up from the previous week of 1.0%, but still much lower than any prevalence seen last winter. 1/
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay7 Dec 2023
Hospital admissions with COVID in England increased by 10% in-week. Our R-value has increased to 1.06. Admissions rose in all regions except NE&Yorks (-6%). Largest increaes in the South West (+35%) and the East (+29%). Acute bed occupancy is up by 4%.
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay5 Dec 2023
The Continuous Mortality investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 24 November. Death rates this week were very similar to the equivalent week in 2019 (0.3% higher), based on death registrations data. 1/3
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IFoA@actuarynews4 Dec 2023
Post-pandemic mortality analysis from the Continuous Mortality Investigation features in the latest edition of The Lancet Regional Health - Europe: actuaries.org.uk/news-and-me…
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay4 Dec 2023
For ages 50-64, deaths involving cardiovascular diseases such as heart disease and stroke were 33% higher than expected. Other causes with significant excess deaths at ages 50-64 were acute respiratory infections (43% excess) and diabetes (35% excess).
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay4 Dec 2023
Our new commentary published in @LancetRH_Europe discusses the ongoing excess deaths in the UK, and for the first time provides granular analysis by age, place and cause. Excess deaths now highest for middle-aged adults, driven by cardiovascular causes. thelancet.com/journals/lanep…

Excess mortality in England post COVID-19 pandemic: implications for secondary prevention

Many countries, including the UK, have continued to experience an apparent excess of deaths long after the peaks associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021.1,2 Numbers of excess deaths...

thelancet.com
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay30 Nov 2023
Hospital admissions with Covid still falling. More on threads… threads.net/@actuarybyday/po…
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stuart mcdonald@ActuaryByDay29 Nov 2023
CMI mortality monitor via threads… threads.net/@actuarybyday/po…
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