
Presenter | Journalist | Business reporter @ABCNews. All views here are my own. News tips: [email protected]
Sydney, New South Wales
Joined January 2012
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📈The market odds of the RBA lifting the cash rate in early November have jumped to 64%. Now that’s a lot more certain than you correctly picking the winning horse during the Melbourne Cup race. My latest report 👇 youtu.be/RrvkcR2e928?si=oNRy…
📈 Microsoft, Meta, Oracle, Alphabet & Amazon are expected to spend over $US1 trillion on AI infrastructure from 2027. But will the scale of their spending (a large part of which is debt financed) lead to a good ROI in a rising interest rate environment?👇 youtu.be/PjVcd3mcL7g?si=FYxR…
1: I’m a little sad to say that after 20 years, The Business (which started off as Lateline Business) has been cancelled. The final episode will air on 10 December. I had a lot of fun filing TV stories for this program, guest-hosting it over the years…
2: … and working with so many amazing people at the top of their game. Thank you to all the wonderful guests who’ve appeared our show! And for our loyal viewers, there are still plenty of great places to get your business news – including our markets blog …
3: ABC Business Daily podcast, (almost) hourly market updates on the ABC News Channel, and my finance reports on the 7pm News. You can read more about this announcement here👇 abc.net.au/news/2026-10-23/a…
📈 Fortescue shares tumbled after the miner warned it may have to reduce its iron ore production if it remains locked in difficult contract negotiations with China. 💰 Better-than-expected earnings from Tesla and SpaceX provided a boost to Wall Street.👇 youtu.be/_j8VtsX_2Mc?si=Uh7k…
☀️☔️I’ve decided to work at the ABC’s Brisbane office today. And I’ve been met with a warm welcoming committee 🍌
📈 Shares of NextDC have dropped 41% since June. It’ll be interesting to see what happens when the company emerges from its trading halt tomorrow. When community protests lead to your data centre’s power upgrade being delayed, that’s going to hurt👇 youtu.be/BxcEQOKK0LM?si=HZqc…
📈Will the huge amounts being spent on AI infrastructure lead to a return on investment relatively soon? 💰There are growing doubts about that, especially at a time when global interest rates are rising. Hence the profit-taking / sell-off last week 👇 youtu.be/mtcwNRiH0A0?si=4MPA…
📈ASX jumps to five-week high. Reserve Bank posts $11.3 billion annual loss, its second-worst ever. Here’s my latest report 👇
youtu.be/h_X47S08Fe8?si=4U3f… via @YouTube
📈Trump’s decision to wage war on Iran (and his inability to exit the war have driven US inflation higher, and gasoline (petrol) prices in particular! 💰These dire figures come just 19 DAYS before the mid-term elections. My latest report 👇 youtu.be/CsvUdDGgj9A?si=7ZqL…
📈 Morning! Here’s the story of how I made the switch from disgruntled lawyer to finance guy on the ABC. You’ll learn a few things about me I haven’t told many people before. Hopefully it makes you chuckle. Enjoy! 😆
abc.net.au/news/2026-10-15/d…
David Chau retweeted
Saddened ABC finance presenter @AlanKohler has retired. Overjoyed that @ChauDave will succeed him. It's like when a beloved Doctor regenerates but you're equally delighted with the new incarnation. #DoctorWho #finance #journalism
Here’s some more details about my new job 🙂
abc.net.au/about/media-centr…
Good morning! 🙂 Some exciting news on my end.👇
abc.net.au/news/2026-10-12/a…
David Chau retweeted
Ahead of this week's monthly dwelling price release this is the current 'armageddon' according to the daily price series over the last 365 days.
We seemingly can't decide as a society or economy whether this price moderation is a good or bad thing. A couple of points:
- if you're an investor treating housing as an asset, welcome to your capital value going up *and* down.
- If you're an advocate of true affordability improvements prices going down is the best way to achieve this, first home buyers should be welcoming this.
- If you're looking at the economy and moderate falls in prices are cause for thinking the economy is going into recession then you should also be questioning what sort of economy is so sensitive to housing (the one that is driven by houses, holes and healthcare).
David Chau retweeted
Trump was just given a blanket pardon from the IRS for any past, present, or future tax crimes.
David Chau retweeted
IDF admits it “photoshopped” a picture of a Lebanese journalist they killed in an air strike at the weekend to present him as wearing a Hezbollah uniform.
David Chau retweeted
A blog post just wiped $30 billion off IBM in a single afternoon.
Not a product launch. Not an earnings miss. Not a competitor undercutting on price.
A five-minute blog post explaining that Claude can read COBOL.
IBM dropped 13%. Worst single-day loss since October 2000. Twenty-five years of stock resilience ended by one AI company publishing a capability update.
Here’s what happened:
95% of ATM transactions in America run on COBOL. Hundreds of billions of lines power banking, airlines, and government systems. The developers who built them retired decades ago. The knowledge left with them. Finding engineers who can even read COBOL gets harder every quarter.
IBM’s moat was never the technology. It was the fact that nobody else could understand it. Entire consulting empires existed because the code was too old, too tangled, and too critical to touch. Companies paid IBM billions because the alternative was catastrophic system failure.
Then Anthropic published a blog post saying Claude Code can map dependencies across thousands of lines of COBOL, document workflows, identify migration risks, and translate legacy logic into modern languages. Modernization in quarters instead of years.
The market heard: the priesthood just lost its monopoly on the sacred language.
And this isn’t the first time. Last week Anthropic announced Claude Code Security for vulnerability scanning. CrowdStrike dropped. Okta dropped. Cloudflare dropped. One company is serially destroying legacy moats with blog posts.
Now here’s where it gets surreal.
This same company, on the same day, also published evidence that three Chinese AI labs ran 24,000 fake accounts and 16 million exchanges to steal Claude’s capabilities. DeepSeek used it to build censorship tools. MiniMax pivoted within 24 hours when a new model dropped, redirecting half its traffic to steal the latest version.
And yesterday, the Pentagon summoned this same company’s CEO for what officials called a “sh*t-or-get-off-the-pot meeting,” threatening to blacklist them like Huawei for refusing to let the military use Claude without safety restrictions.
Three stories. One company. Twenty-four hours.
The company destroying legacy moats faster than the market can reprice them is simultaneously being threatened by its own government and looted by foreign competitors.
Anthropic is valued at $380 billion. Its CEO says a 12-month delay in AI would make him bankrupt. The Pentagon wants to designate it a supply chain risk. Chinese labs are running industrial espionage against it. And it just proved it can vaporize $30 billion in market cap with a Monday morning blog post.
Whatever you think about AI disruption, IBM’s stock just settled the argument.
Full institutional analysis on my Substack.
open.substack.com/pub/shanak…
David Chau retweeted
The UN estimates that 800,000 tonnes of debris due to Israel's bombing of Gaza may be contaminated with asbestos, amounting to a “death sentence” for those who survive the bombs and siege. aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/8…














