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Rotorua, Aotearoa New Zealand
Joined February 2022
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Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Seriously horrific numbers. In dam-breaking events, climate change conceptually shares a larger than normal blame. π§΅1/7
youtube.com/watch?v=sZCT0lN-β¦
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Spectacular sights over the ski fields of Cardrona showing a whole range of atmospheric optical phenomena.
There's more about sundogs, halos and other excellent reasons to look up here blog.metservice.com/atmospheβ¦
Spectacular Ice Halo display @CardronaNZ formed in 'diamond dust' ice crystals today. Common to rare observed:
1. Parhelia (aka, Sun Dog)
2. 22ΒΊ Halo
3. Lower Tangent Arc
4. Parhelic Circle (rare)
5. Infralateral Arc (rare)
6. 44ΒΊ Parhelion (extremely rare)
@MetService
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Interesting study out today looking at whether the Oz bushfires helped trigger a rare βtriple-dipβ La NiΓ±a thatβs meant rain-soaked misery for the North Island. With input from β¦@CubaRaglanGuyβ©, β¦@nathanaelmeliaβ© & β¦@chrisbrandolinoβ© nzherald.co.nz/nz/did-austraβ¦
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
1/π§΅2023 has been so wet, hasn't it!? Has it?
Well, I've done some 'procrastowork' to find out. Come with me on a tiki tour around Aotearoa where i'll review. Stop 1. Rotorua (where I live).
Near or at record levels throughout, summer cancelled; please send Vit D. βοΈ
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
(1/6) Today, weβd like to take a moment to shine a light on Nathanael Melia. @NathanaelMelia is a highly valuable member of the #WhakahuraProgramme who shared important information regarding Cyclone Gabrielle. Here are some of the articles that he was in:
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Devastation in the Esk Valley (Hawke's Bay, NZ) from #CycloneGabrielle ππ¬
More satellite imagery processing reveals:
1) The very obvious path and extent of the floods.
2) The vast number of new agricultural slips (brown patches).
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
On the perils of mega consultancies conducting climate risk analysis rather than climate scientists.
So what did @McKinsey_MGI do wrong to get results inconsistent with the literature and the IPCC? I think the answer lies in this footnote. They calculated wet-bulb temperature by mixing MAXIMUM daily temperatures with AVERAGE daily relative humilities.
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Interviewed RE forestry slash by @NewshubNZ @AlexaCook_ from the #CycloneGabrielle devastation. The solution is simple; ban clear-fell harvesting on these high-risk slopes. A just transition of this landscape is far harder; it will require funding & listening to Ngati Porou.
Enhanced satellite imagery for the cloud-free areas of TairΔwhiti 2023-02-17 11:06:36 NZDT. Generally, the brown colours indicate floods, silt, and slips/landslides. #CycloneGabrielle
ALT Tokomaru Bay Forestry Catchment
ALT Tolaga Bay Flooding
ALT Tokomaru Bay Coastal Slips
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Overnight the Central North Island experienced a damaging straight-line wind event (aka gust front); it is seen below as a sharp boundary between the yellow-cyan colours. This event produced wind gusts well over 100km/h, with at least one recording of 150km/h. #CycloneGabrielle
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Scientists in Aotearoa New Zealand, look likely to have better opportunities to work with EU funding than those in post-Brexit UK institutions. Thanks @MBIEgovtnz!
MBIE officials met with members of the European Commission this week, concluding formal negotiations on NZβs potential association to Horizon EU. Watch this space in 2023!
bit.ly/3PEGNCB
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
If you wanted to offset the warming from livestock methane emissions, research we commissioned from @ClimateFramo and @nathanaelmelia shows how many hectares of pine plantation forest youβd need to plant to achieve the same temperature effect as reducing a herd by one animal.
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
New Zealanders will soon be able to find out how their local climate will shift over coming decades, with a sophisticated forecasting tool being developed in a million-dollar study. I talked to @nathanaelmelia
nzherald.co.nz/nz/climate-chβ¦
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Great to see our work and case study in the New Zealand's First National Climate Adaptation Plan. Not so thrilled about the lack of citation from @environmentgvnz
doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002853
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Dr Shaun Awatere's research is focused on climate risks to whΔnau #whakahuraProgramme. 'Our wΔhi tapu, urupΔ, and marae are generally on more exposed land where climate events are damaging things that are important to our spiritual and physical wellbeing.'
bit.ly/3BoOkQC
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
I learnt something new today
nzgeo.com/stories/pine-foresβ¦
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
Some sweet atmospheric optics at The Pinnacles from our MetSoc tramp at the weekend:
glory (centre left),
rainbow (top right),
& cloud bow (mid-bottom right).
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
We have to mitigate AND adapt to the impacts of #ClimateChange. Extreme events are intensifying and more and more people will become affected in a warming climate.
An excerpt from the @SkyNews Daily #Climate Show today:
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
π¨ Potentially damaging wind event for the southern parts of the UK and Ireland, especially coasts, Friday morning UK time. π¬
Climate Prescience Limited retweeted
This quote to @smcnz from @nathanaelmelia, on NZ's just-confirmed hottest year...
"Every year we spin the roulette wheel of weather variability; however, like a casino, we have rigged the game, and the hothouse always wins in the end."