Joined April 2016
#Copper - BMO Capital Markets has raised its long-term copper price forecast 47% to $16,000 a metric ton in real terms, or $18,000 nominal by 2030.
BMO Capital Markets has raised its long-term copper price forecast 47% to $16,000 a metric ton in real terms, or $18,000 nominal by 2030. For 2027, BMO forecasts $14,675, Macquarie $12,750 and BMI $12,900. Deutsche Bank sees $10 a pound, or $22,050 a metric ton, in the second quarter of 2027. BMO puts the US stockpile at close to 2 million metric tons, about a year of American consumption.
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#Copper - Disruptions in Chile put 5% of copper mines production at risk!
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#Copper - $6.72, not a new all-time-high, but a sign of life. Strikes, El Niño and resource grade causing supply havoc!
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#Copper - Supervisors at BHP’s Escondida in Chile, the world’s largest copper mine, reject offer, paving the way for a strike
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#Copper - UBS expects the copper market deficit to widen from 219,000 tonnes this year to 379,000 tonnes in 2027, and sees prices reaching $15,500 a tonne next year.
UBS expects the copper market deficit to widen from 219,000 tonnes this year to 379,000 tonnes in 2027, and sees prices reaching $15,500 a tonne next year. Copper treatment charges fell to a record low below minus $200 a tonne in September, from around minus $45 at the start of the year, which UBS says reflects insufficient mine output to meet smelter demand. Chilean production fell 10% month on month in July amid weather-related disruptions, with Escondida and Codelco accounting for most of the decline. Since early July, LME inventories have fallen by 69,750 tonnes and Shanghai by 79,650 tonnes, while COMEX stocks rose by more than 91,200 tonnes. Source: UBS
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#Copper - $6.86, getting closer to $7 a pound!
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#Copper Price - $6.83, we are back above $6.80!!
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#Copper - Up 25 cents in the past 5 days to $6.72 a pound!
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#Copper - Copper mine supply may be headed for its first annual decline since 2017
Copper mine supply may be headed for its first annual decline since 2017. Global output already fell 1.1% in the first half, per the International Copper Study Group. Codelco and Freeport-McMoRan both posted double-digit declines. Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, saw its own output fall 3% in FY2026 as ore grades dropped from 1.02% to 0.90%, according to BHP. S&P Global projects copper demand will grow 50% by 2040. Supply isn't on pace to match it.
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