I don't think there will be a cultural hit if you just give everyone you keep a huge raise
Just spoke to the Head of AI at a huge company.
The #1 thing they're struggling with is... what do I do with the AI laggards at our company?
Like most companies, they’ve found that a Super Pareto Principle is true within their org. 10% of their employees are responsible for 90% of the uplift in productivity/token usage from software engineering to non-technical knowledge work.
They’ve spent a lot of time & resources on AI enablement from LLM foundations to function-specific trainings and skill building. And yet, the power law of productivity increases hasn’t budged.
So now they’re left with a few sobering thoughts and hard questions:
1) 90% of people are overpaid and 10% are underpaid
2) We’d be better off allocating tokens proportionally to the power law, but how do we do that without killing culture?
3) Significant layoffs are likely warranted and wouldn’t impact overall output, but cultural backlash is a big concern?
4) How do we hire more power law people as a non technology company?
5) Is all of our efforts on training and enablement ACTUALLY worth it?
6) How do we not experience a brain drain where the top 10% all leave because they want to be surrounded by other AI-native 10x’ers?
I can't believe I'm saying this but @AWS has been really enjoyable to work with since they simplified their auth and agent integrations.
In the future maybe my economic value will be that my algorithm is showing me the various security disclosures and I can remind the agent to go check them out.
"The closer you are to danger, the further you are from harm" does not apply to precious objects near toddlers.
I doubt it can do anything that desktop can't do, but feels like I can flow between tasks better. Not sure if it's the tab aspect or what, don't need to use my mouse for anything.
Pretty sure these people are founding their own companies.
I think it will be similar to being a home cook vs being a professional chef.
Software engineering was supposed to go away when low-code/no-code hit the shelves. It was supposed to go away when WYSIWYG IDEs hit the shelves. And it didn't.
And now, with AI coding agents, it's still the same. It lowers the barrier to entry. You can get started faster than ever. You can even build small personal projects and productivity tools with little or no SWE experience.
But as soon as you want to build software in earnest, you need to know the fundamentals: Security, maintainability, scale, reliability, etc. They do not go away regardless of how advanced the software-building technology becomes.











