Job description: 'Bloomberg Terminal... Markets... Data' that's all within Bloomberg TV Tweets and retweets are my opinion, not an endorsement
New York
Joined September 2011
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Daniel Curtis retweeted
the "inflection" OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar was talking about: cnbc.com/2026/08/19/open-ai-…
May startle the markets with this but: OpenAI is growing faster than Anthropic, actually.
While data through Q2 shows tepid growth for OpenAI vs. Anthropic, Q3 to date shows that OpenAI has surpassed Anthropic in QoQ enterprise growth: 82 vs. 76.
Why? GPT-5.6 Sol is really good, increasingly the choice for developers. Fable 5, meanwhile, disappointed both in adoption and real-world application given price + data retention requirements imposed by regulators.
Daniel Curtis retweeted
As traders recalibrate, attention turns to upcoming US big tech and European bank earnings trib.al/hrhuCP4
My chart of the month - can be accessed on MLIV<GO> on @TheTerminal
As of Tuesday's close - the S&P 500 is set to have the lightest breadth behind a monthly rally: only 28% of this index's members are up in May. Green dot below
Unrelated to markets: Turns out I've saved the environment my liberating thousands of lobsters: peta.org.uk/blog/liberate-lo…
Inspired by this great @opinion piece by @johnauthers bloom.bg/3LDOp8b
Courtesy of CCRV<GO> on @TheTerminal
An animated look at the Fed Funds curve (yield) starting at the blowout January report (white)
Three charts I'm watching on @TheTerminal today
Rates volatility ($MOVE) hits +decade high (h/t @Ernestnhissoup)
G #BTV 2814 <GO>
That's from massive Fed repricing
G #BTV 4595 <GO>
S&P 500 back below 200-DMA.. support becomes resistance (again)
G #BTV 5592 <GO>
Three charts I'm watching on @TheTerminal this morning:
Dollar on edge ahead of CPI print
G #BTV 6680 <GO>
Markets aren't certain Fed will even hike another 25BPs this cycle
G #BTV 4595 <GO>
Credit Suisse find "material weakness." CDSs trade at record high
G #BTV 441 <GO>
Big rally is $XBT today, and USD Coin JUST came back to the $1 peg. In "real" markets - massive re-rating in the Fed outlook.. 2-year down 100BPs since March 08 (3 trading days). Fed seen maybe getting in 1 more hike before cutting 75BPs later this year. Crazy day
Three charts I'm watching on @TheTerminal:
First Republic shares drop in premarket. Under $30; closed at $115 on March 8
G #BTV 6672 <GO>
TED Spread: stress is contained
G #BTV 6671 <GO>
2-yr yield down ~70BPs in 3 days. GS says no Fed hike next week
G #BTV 3781 <GO>
Big day - more charts on @TheTerminal
Biggest two day drop in 2-year yield in ~15 years
G #BTV 3781 <GO>
Stocks can't shake off the macro risk despite the "dovish" 8:30am ET data drop
G #BTV 6613 <GO>
Not even 3 full hikes from Fed, +4 earlier this week
G #BTV 4595 <GO>
Three charts (ish) I'm watching this morning on
@TheTerminal
SVB concern turns rates / equity correlations back to negative
WB<GO> and WEI<GO>
Fed Term rate comes down as bank stress emerges
G #BTV 4595 <GO>
+225K NFP est. Follows 10-straight beats
G #BTV 6407 <GO>
The three charts I'm watching on @TheTerminal
Initial Jobless Claims released this morning, NFP tomorrow
G #BTV 6524 <GO>
Hawks take a breath. pricing in 100BPs from Fed
G #BTV 4595 <GO>
Credit Suisse CDSs rise as company delays annual filing
G #BTV 441 <GO>
The ECB continues the series of rate decisions today. In the past 24 hours Bank of Canada hiked 75BPs, RBA only 50BPs. Market-implied odds favor a 75BP move from ECB and Fed. BOE is a coin toss as Truss's energy policy is revealed
G #BTV 2469 <GO> on @TheTerminal
The $SPX fell over 3% today, despite 17BPs of Fed hikes over the next year taken out of the market calculus. G #BTV 537 <GO> on @TheTerminal
Upwards volatility (e.g. a 6% gain on S&P 500 in five days) tends to happen during troughs. Since 2001: all 57 times stocks have rallied at least 6% in a week the S&P 500 was higher a year later. G #BTV 5941<GO> on the terminal.
My favorite chart of the day, maybe week: M2 money supply growth vs $VIX - increase in cash = volatility. Enough other factors (cyclicality, policy, etc..) points to correlation, not causation.
G #BTV 4124 <GO> on @TheTerminal
The SKEW index hit a record-high print on Friday (it's a measure of tail-risk hedging on $SPX).
G #BTV 2453 <GO> on @TheTerminal
