@DavidD_Chapman

Author • Historian • Political Commentator • Host of 'The David Chapman Show' • Baseball Fanatic • DM for Contact • Opinions Are My Own •

 Moline, Illinois
youtube.com/@davidd_chapman?si=t3YDm7uI8cA_R3JJ
Joined March 2015
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My Final Senate Predictions. Texas 🟥 Paxton by 2-3pts Ohio🟥 Husted by 2pts NC 🟦 Cooper by 5-6pts Florida 🟥 Moody by 7pts Georgia 🟦 Ossoff by 6-7pts Nebraska 🟥 Ricketts by 6pts Kansas 🟥 Marshall by 3-5pts Michigan 🟦 El-Sayed by 2-4pts Maine 🟥 Collins by 5pts Iowa 🟥 Hinson by 3-4pts Alaska 🟥 Sullivan by 2-4pts Minnesota 🟦 Flanagan by 3-4pts Final - Republicans hold the Senate. 🟥 52 (-1) 🟦 48 (+1)
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James Talarico must be so jealous
Armand Domalewski
@ArmandDoma9h
OBAMA BOTTOMS OSSOFF 😳
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Dana Loesch
@DLoesch6h
Hooboy
Benjamin Weingarten
@bhweingarten9h
It’s gonna be tough for the “I didn’t knowingly marry my brother” defense to hold up
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Had fun with @cliffordesq today on his podcast. We talked the midterms. Go check it out.
Merin Law, LLC
@cliffordesq9h
we are BACK--thanks to @DavidD_Chapman for joining today's podcast youtu.be/Lkxd6-Z-FiM

IAI hosted by Clifford A. Merin w/ David D. Chapman - MIDTERM ELECTION SPECIAL

David D. Chapman of @The Chapman Show and I discuss the state of th...

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If the polling patterns of GOP Overperformance from 2018-2024 continue, Republicans will hold the senate 🔴 Republicans: 52 🔵 Democrats: 48 Michigan: 🔴 Republican Flip Texas: 🔴 Republican Hold Alaska: 🔴 Republican Hold Ohio: 🔴 Republican Hold
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🚨 Announcement 🚨 On Sunday November 1st at 8pm Eastern Time I will be live on YouTube and X for a pre-election show. Three amazing guests will be joining me. @sethjlevy @AF_Insight and @KJVPopulist Tune in to get our final predictions. Link to channel is below
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youtube.com/@davidd_chapman?…

The David Chapman Show

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Preliminary house prediction.
David D. Chapman
@DavidD_Chapman12h
Preliminary House Predictions 🟦 Democrats 52% (+7) 🟥 Republicans 45% Democrats pick up 15 to 25 seats. Final prediction will come the day before election day.
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On October 6, 2026 James Talarico had a lead in the RCP aggregate of 3.1pts. Since than his lead has fallen to 1.9pts.
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Preliminary House Predictions 🟦 Democrats 52% (+7) 🟥 Republicans 45% Democrats pick up 15 to 25 seats. Final prediction will come the day before election day.
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Wow! The Latest Fox News Poll has the Texas Senate Race tied. Like I said. Paxton by 2-3pts.
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With the average RCP in Michigan, Rogers is leading by 0.5% The fact still remains, Benson is still Sec. Of State and Detriot is still a Democrat Machine city. 0.5% is not enough to win beyond the margin of fraud.
David D. Chapman
@DavidD_ChapmanOct 21
I went back 3 MI Senate Races on RCP. 2024, 2020, & 2018. The aggregate understates MI Democrats on average by 0.2pts. It understates Republicans by 2.7pts. With the new Marist poll added to RCP, 🟦El-Sayed 48% 🟥Rogers 46% But with the average miss 🟥 Rogers 48.7% (+0.5) 🟦 El-Sayed 48.2%
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I voted for this.
Insider Wire
@InsiderWire20h
#BREAKING: Armed DHS agents are now going door to door asking about immigration and voter status.
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David D. Chapman
@DavidD_ChapmanOct 21
In 2022 the Final Genric Ballot was R+2.7 Republicans gained 9 seats. The Democrats only need a net gain of 3 seats. The RCP aggregate is D+8.3 and the RCP Generic ballot has never missed by more than 3.7pts. The average miss is 2.3pts. Democrats are going to retake the house
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David D. Chapman
@DavidD_ChapmanOct 21
I went back 3 MI Senate Races on RCP. 2024, 2020, & 2018. The aggregate understates MI Democrats on average by 0.2pts. It understates Republicans by 2.7pts. With the new Marist poll added to RCP, 🟦El-Sayed 48% 🟥Rogers 46% But with the average miss 🟥 Rogers 48.7% (+0.5) 🟦 El-Sayed 48.2%
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David D. Chapman
@DavidD_ChapmanOct 21
Marist final 2024 Michigan senate Poll was Slotkin +6 That was a miss of 5.7pts.
Political Polls
@PpollingNumbersOct 21
New - Senate poll - Michigan 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed 50％ 🔴 Mike Rogers 48％ Marist (B) - LV - 10/18
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John Doyle
@JohnDoyleOct 20
There is no “to the Right” of Trump. It’s not real. It’s purely an exercise in abstraction.
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I went back 3 MI Senate Races on RCP. 2024, 2020, & 2018. The aggregate understates MI Democrats on average by 0.2pts. It understates Republicans by 2.7pts. With the new Marist poll added to RCP, 🟦El-Sayed 48% 🟥Rogers 46% But with the average miss 🟥 Rogers 48.7% (+0.5) 🟦 El-Sayed 48.2%
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Marist final 2024 Michigan senate Poll was Slotkin +6 That was a miss of 5.7pts.
Political Polls
@PpollingNumbersOct 21
New - Senate poll - Michigan 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed 50％ 🔴 Mike Rogers 48％ Marist (B) - LV - 10/18
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Michigan Senate Race 🟦 El-Sayed 50 (+2) 🟥 Rogers 48% Marist Likely Voter poll | 10/15-10/18 Last Marist poll El-Sayed +7 The race has moved 5pts in Rogers direction
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The RCP aggregate for the MI Senate race is El-Sayed +2.6 There are 8 polls in the aggregate. 6 are El-Sayed +1 or +2 There is a +5 & +7 which are doing heavy lifting. Remove them and El-Sayed's lead drops to 1.5 Those two polls are inflating the lead by 1.1pts.
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