Book #2 is Basketball Beyond Paper. Book #1 got me famous. I do sports analytics, mostly hoops. Now at ESPN, teach @SMWW, doing theory of credit division.

Washington, DC
Joined July 2012
It's been almost 40 years since I created Offensive Ratings for teams. I was a college kid. I don't know if I dreamed it would be used so much. My lens was that it helped *me*. Am very happy that the sport embraced the metrics and hope that it helps others as much as it did me.
51
442
61
13,925
1,926,065
Note that these don't have both sides 51%! But people are seeing these trades and grading them.
We’ve already had over 2,000 mock trades submitted and voted on in our new NBA Trade Lab Tool Here are a couple of Kyrie trade frameworks that have risen to the top as potentially fair deals based on fan voting on both sides (I hope the Mavericks don’t trade him though 🤞)
8
3,654
Yesterday's best and worst on various categories at a glance espnanalytics.com/nba-daily-…
3
62
14,213
It's really but here are the Ronnie leaders in total net points. - Boozer had a bad one then a good one. - Wagler had a good one then a bad one - Wilson had an awful one then just a bad one espnanalytics.com/nba-award-…
3
2
19
6,763
Dean Oliver retweeted
the Hawks followed this game up with a franchise-record 47-point victory, in which ALL 13 players finished with positive defensive net points 😳
The heroes and goats of the Hawks win over the Magic at a glance. espnanalytics.com/nba-box?id…
2
24
2,372
Top players in Boston's win over NY. Tatum's second half and very late game performance helped. espnanalytics.com/nba-box?id…
2
26
7,624
Chicago won game #2 in the Caleb Wilson era. His game wasn't terrible, but it was more veterans who did carry them. The former Heat players added up to +9.2 Net Points, led by Herro. Just not enough. espnanalytics.com/nba-box?id…
1
1
17
4,348
Difference in player performance between the first and second halves in Philly - Mitchell's performance always correlates to the team performance - Sixers starters all great in second half - due to D. KCP helped, too
2
10
2
85
7,248
Best/worst players at a glance yesterday - Jamal Murray had worst game of the night, but Nikola Jokic was close, a rare game. - Maxey maximized the chance of winning and got +6.0 Net Pts in forcing turnovers - Sixers' starters have a season DRTG of 74 espnanalytics.com/nba-daily-…
1
4
40
5,327
The Detroit-Boston game and the Philly-Boston game would both rank in the top 5% of highest in-game variation in win probability. Big time comebacks.
1
1
18
2,792
Cleveland blew a 29 point lead on the left Cleveland blew a 22 point Q4 lead on the right, infamously When the analytics are fully processed, we can look more at the who and the how.
1
1
1
40
4,749
Donovan Mitchell's performance tends to be strongly correlated to his team as a whole, more so than most. He's playing well tonight and so are the Cavs, as just a reflection of that.
10
2,203
There was, ahem, a fair amount of garbage time yesterday, so I wanted to filter it out for the top players in non-garbage time. The list is mostly the same with some small reordering. - Ant had +3.8 Net Pts in garbage time, most on this list
2
33
4,369
The player with the most Net Pts in garbage time yesterday was Cooper Flagg with +7.9. Garbage time does lower the leader's effort on defense, but not enough to fully explain the big number.
4
1,425
Angel Reese's game log shows dramatic improvement beginning mid-August. If you include playoffs, Reese has posted +75 total net points since August 17, second only to A'ja Wilson. Much to GSV's chagrin. espnanalytics.com/wnba-playe…
10
90
20
461
24,108
Her profile across her career shows an initial positive period, followed by struggles until August of this year when she blew up. She is currently the clear MVP of the Finals.
2
38
2,405
Your players of the day at a glance espnanalytics.com/nba-daily-…
6
20
11
712
89,689
The rookie scoreboard isn't looking too good after Game 1. Last year's was far better after Game 1. But note who was worst then and that he got much better.
12
8
4
146
28,719
Here are the sophomores after Game 1 this year, for perspective
1
3
1
20
4,527
Brooklyn's starters outdid Charlotte's, but the bench deficit was huge. espnanalytics.com/nba-box?id…
1
10
2,030
Hmm, this makes it look like Miami traded away its team for Giannis. espnanalytics.com/nba-box?id…
15
11
21
168
24,204