@ElectProject

Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.

 Gainesville, FL
electproject.org
Joined September 2012
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2.1KMedia
Maine just posted its latest mail ballot file, so here's a quick and dirty analysis of where the early vote stands michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
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#earlyvote afternoon update: at least 23 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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#earlyvote analysis in Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska reveals signs of life for Republicans michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
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Michael McDonald retweeted
C-SPAN Classroom
@CSPANClassroom9h
Are you one of the 21 million Americans who have already voted? University of Florida (@UF) political science professor Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) talked about early election voting data heading into the November 2026 midterm elections. For more, visit: c-span.org/classroom/documen….
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Georgia and North Carolina Early Voters Are Becoming More Diverse, and what this may signal for the country michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
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#earlyvote early morning update 10/23: at least 21 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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#earlyvote afternoon update 10/22: at least 20 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳🎉 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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#earlyvote afternoon update 10/22: at least 19 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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An update on Florida's early voting. It is still trailing 2022 due, in part, to a significant change in law regarding mail ballot requests. Democrats and Unaffiliated voters are making up ground in the in-person early vote, but Republicans not so much michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
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#earlyvote morning update 10/22: at least 18 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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#earlyvote midday update 10/21: at least 16 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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Mail ballot requests are mostly down, but returns are up suggesting voters are returning mail ballots sooner michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
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#earlyvote morning update 10/21: at least 14 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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#earlyvote afternoon update 10/20: at least 13 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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#earlyvote midday update 10/20: at least 12 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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#earlyvote morning update 10/20: at least 11 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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Updated analysis of Georgia and North Carolina early voting as of yesterday. Early voting continues to be elevated over 2018 and 2022. Hispanics continue to boom. NC Whites finally moved above 2018 levels, but it isn't due to registered Republicans voting michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
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#earlyvote evening update 10/19: at least 10.6 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-v…
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Maine mail ballot returns are up over 2022 and 2018. Democrats are leading the way in yet another state, although here there are signs of Republican engagement, just not as high of levels as Democrats and unaffiliated voters michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
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A Florida analysis of today's in-person early voting activity compared to 2022 for 31 counties that held in-person early voting on the same number of days before the election. Registered Democrats are leading after a big day of in-person early voting michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
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There were 3 counties that had in-person early voting today that did not offer it in 2022. They are excluded from the comparison analysis.
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