Real-time UK local & by-election tracking 🗳️ | Weekly roundups, charts & analysis on YouTube (@ElectionWatchUK - 15.8K subs) | Data-driven coverage
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🌹Labour's lead GROWS to over 7ppts.
▶️ Reform CLING on to second place this week by 0.3ppts.
🌳Tory momentum STALLED vs 2 weeks ago
More of my thoughts in this evening's video at 6pm on YouTube.
What's your thoughts?
🤖 Made with AI
🚨 By-Election Result - 05 Nov
Penn Hill (Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole)
LIB HOLD
LIB 1,278 - 43.6% (-3.0)
CON 764 - 26.1% (-1.9)
REF 521 - 17.8% (new)
LAB 135 - 4.6% (-2.1)
RES 106 - 3.6% (new)
GRN 65 - 2.2% (-3.0)
IND 55 - 1.9% (new)
IND 7 - 0.2% (new)
Changes with 2023
No LOC as previous (13.5%)
I’ve been interested by a handful of comments on Friday’s video; people saying they are Restore fans, but WOULD vote for Reform in absence of a Restore candidate.
That would disprove my theory that most Restore voters would abstain from voting if there was no RB candidate, rather than vote Reform 🤔
Restore voters: if you were voting and there was a Reform candidate but no Restore candidate, how would you vote?
🚨NEW! Election Watch Poll of Polls
🌳Tories JUMP 2ppts, now breathing down Reform's neck!
🌹Labour extends the lead to more than 5ppts
➡️ The slide continues for Reform, the Lib Dems and the Greens...
Analysis video on YouTube at 6pm!
▶️youtube.com/@ElectionWatchUK
🤖 Made with AI
I remember a President of a country interfering very publicly in the Brexit campaign and he wasn’t Russian.
Andy Burnham becomes first PM to confirm Russian interference in Brexit referendum
@campbellclaret and @RoryStewartUK's exclusive interview with @andyburnham on tomorrow's episode of Leading is out in full at midnight.
Burnham is very good at framing things that are very agreeable as though he’s being contrarian.
I don't care what anyone says, I believe we can end rough sleeping in Britain.
Today is World Homeless Day, and I don't think anyone in this country should be sleeping rough on our streets. Certainly not tonight.
That's why one of the first commitments I made as Prime Minister was to end rough sleeping. Not manage it. Not reduce it. End it.
And I'm putting over £400 million behind a national drive to get everyone in for Christmas.
And to put my own money where my mouth is, I'm making my latest salary donation from my PM salary to The Passage in Victoria, an amazing charity I visited on my very first day in Downing Street.
All this will help make sure that every person sleeping rough is offered a route off the street and a safe place to stay because, in one of the wealthiest countries in the world, people should not be left to sleep outside with nowhere to turn.
This isn't the finish line. We'll keep building the homes, creating the jobs, and reforming the services to stop people reaching crisis point in the first place.
But today, I wanted to say this: we should never accept rough sleeping as normal. Not in Britain, not in 2026, and not while I'm Prime Minister.
I have work this evening and this result has been declared so late that I haven’t the time to record now, so video tomorrow morning/early afternoon.
Suffice to say the theme will be “Everyone vs Reform”!
Taking an age to get a result out of Amber Valley.
I have to work this evening, so roundup video may slip to tomorrow if they don’t get a move on!
Why does it take so long to count in some places?
I would think cutting the 47% tax on petrol might be more helpful than being able to see how expensive it is on Google Maps?
I know people are worried about fuel prices. And I get it. You get to the pump, watch the numbers climb, and wonder why it's costing so much more than it used to.
The reality is that global events are pushing up costs, and families here at home are feeling the impact.
But I won't accept that there's nothing I can do to help.
That's why from today, you'll be able to see petrol and diesel prices on Google Maps, compare nearby stations and find the cheapest option before you fill up.
It's a small change, but if there's a practical way to help people keep more money in their pocket, I'll do it.
🌹LABOUR LEAD GROWS!
The "Burnham Bounce" continues as Labour climb in to a 4.5ppt lead over Reform, who slip almost another ppt.
The Lib Dems also slide another 0.9ppts dropping in to single figures and Restore appear for the first time on an EW Poll of Polls!
Can Labour keep this up? Or, with the budget on the horizon and the whiff of scandal around Burnham, Manchester council and Manchester City's owners, is this as good as it gets for Labour?
Follow me to find out what happens over the next two weeks and tune in at 6pm today as I cover the numbers on YouTube!
👉 youtube.com/@ElectionWatchUK
🕕 6pm, Weds 7th Oct
