@ElectionTime_

Follow for daily polling updates. 397,000 subscribers, YouTube's #1 largest election-focused channel. Owner of https://xitter.cf/t.co/bDpJiY5q0G. @Georgetown ‘27.

Washington, DC
Joined December 2020
Our 2026 Midterm Election Night Megastream will begin at 6P ET on November 3, exclusively on YouTube. In 2024, our stream was viewed 5.5M times, rivaling CBS, MSNBC, and the Associated Press. We also outperformed Ben Shapiro, Patrick Bet David, and Jon Stewart. Make sure you tune in this year to watch the midterms unfold in real time, with balanced and straight-to-the-point analysis. Link: youtube.com/live/yrQabgj-c8s…
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🚨FLAWLESS VICTORY: Incumbent Senator Tommy Tuberville is set to win in a LANDSLIDE MARGIN of 22 points against former Senator Doug Jones in the Alabama governor's race. Alabama - 2026 Governor 🟥Tommy Tuberville 50% (+23) 🟦Doug Jones 37% See all AL Governor polls @Pollsmax. Jones is most notable for winning the 2017 Alabama special Senate election against Roy Moore in a close upset. However, he easily lost against Tuberville in the 2020 Senate race, and it is looking that way too for this year. Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Alabama since 1998. This is a very rare instance of two candidate rematching in a governor's race after facing off each in a previous Senate race. The Alabama Poll | October 16, 2026 | 600 LV
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Nick Begich III's odds for victory still remain strong against Bill Hill in the House election for Alaska’s at-large congressional district. Alaska At-Large - 2026 House (odds) 🟥Nick Begich III* 84% ⬜️Bill Hill 12% President Donald Trump carried the state by 13 points in 2024. Begich previously ousted Mary Petola in the same year, who is now the Democratic Senate candidate in the same state. Odds via @Kalshi.
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🚨VICTORY ASSURED: Incumbent Nick Begich III is set for victory against Bill Hill in the House election for Alaska’s at-large congressional district. Alaska At-Large - 2026 House (odds) 🟥Nick Begich III* 93.4% ⬜️Bill Hill 6.6% Projected Margin: 🟥R+9.5 After flipping Alaska’s at-large district back into GOP hands in 2024, Begich is seeking to keep the seat RED this November. Begich ousted Mary Peltola in 2024, and her decision to run for the Senate secures Begich’s re-election. President Donald Trump carried the state by 13 points in 2024. Forecast via @Pollsmax.
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🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Nick Begich III maintains his lead against Bill Hill in a final-round poll for the House election for Alaska’s at-large congressional district. Alaska At-Large - 2026 House 🟥Nick Begich III* 51% (+2) ⬜️Bill Hill 49% See all AK House polls @Pollsmax. After flipping Alaska’s at-large district back into GOP hands in 2024, Begich is seeking to keep the seat RED this November. Begich ousted Mary Peltola in 2024, and her decision to run for the Senate secures Begich’s re-election. President Donald Trump carried the state by 13 points in 2024. Data for Progress (D) | October 16, 2026 | 694 LV
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🚨BREAKING: Marsha Blackburn holds a MASSIVE gap in terms of her chances to win the Tennessee's governor election against Jerri Green. Tennessee - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Marsha Blackburn 93% 🟦Jerri Green 6% Democrats have not won a statewide election in Tennessee since Phil Bredesen was re-elected governor in 2006. Blackburn is currently serving as U.S. Senator representing this state since 2019. Having a reputation as being one of the most conservative members of the Senate, she is guaranteed to win the state that had re-elected her by almost 30 points. Odds via @Kalshi.
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🚨VICTORY ASSURED: Marsha Blackburn is guaranteed to win against Jerri Green in Tennessee's governor election, becoming the first female governor of the state. Tennessee - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Marsha Blackburn 99.2% 🟦Jerri Green 0.8% Projected Margin: 🟥R+24.4 Democrats have not won a statewide election in Tennessee since Phil Bredesen was re-elected governor in 2006. Blackburn is currently serving as U.S. Senator representing this state since 2019. Having a reputation as being one of the most conservative members of the Senate, she is guaranteed to win the state that had re-elected her by almost 30 points. Forecast via @Pollsmax.
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🚨BREAKING: Marsha Blackburn will win against Jerri Green in Tennessee's governor election by an ASTOUNDING 11.5 points. Tennessee - 2026 Governor 🟥Marsha Blackburn 43.5% (+11.5) 🟦Jerri Green 32% See all TN Governor polls @Pollsmax. Democrats have not won a statewide election in Tennessee since Phil Bredesen was re-elected governor in 2006. Either major party nominee would be the first female governor of Tennessee. Blackburn is currently serving as U.S. Senator representing this state since 2019. Having a reputation as being one of the most conservative members of the Senate, she is guaranteed to win the state that had re-elected her by almost 30 points. Spry Strategies | October 16, 2026 | 635 LV
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🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Mike Rounds holds a MASSIVE gap in terms of odds to win his reelection in the South Dakota Senate race against Brian Bengs. South Dakota - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Mike Rounds* 92% ⬜️Brian Bengs 8% Bengs was the Democratic nominee in the 2022 South Dakota Senate election against John Thune, losing by a 43.5-point margin. Rounds won by double-digit margins during his two elections in 2014 and 2020, and he's likely to replicate that this November too. Odds via @Kalshi.
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🚨LANDSLIDE VICTORY: Incumbent Mike Rounds is on track to win his reelection in the South Dakota Senate race against Brian Bengs by LANDSLIDE odds. South Dakota - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Mike Rounds* 99.5% ⬜️Brian Bengs 0.5% Projected Margin: 🟥R+19.5 Rounds won by double-digit margins during his two elections in 2014 and 2020, and President Donald Trump won the state by 29.2% in 2024. Bengs was the Democratic nominee in the 2022 South Dakota Senate election against John Thune, losing by a 43.5-point margin. He's likely to lose this year by perhaps a less severe margin. Forecast via @Pollsmax.
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🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Mike Rounds is on track to win his reelection in the South Dakota Senate race against Brian Bengs by a WIDE margin of 17 points. South Dakota - 2026 Senate 🟥Mike Rounds* 54% (+17) ⬜️Brian Bengs 37% See all SD Senate polls @Pollsmax. Bengs was the Democratic nominee in the 2022 South Dakota Senate election against John Thune, losing by a 43.5-point margin. Rounds was first elected in 2014, receiving just over 50% of the vote. In his 2020 re-election bid, he received 65% of the vote, over 30 points above his opponent. President Donald Trump won the state by 29.2% in 2024. Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 16, 2026 | 500 LV
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🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Joe Lombardo still leads in his chances to win the Nevada governor's race against Aaron Ford. Nevada - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Joe Lombardo* 65.8% 🟦Aaron Ford 34.2% Projected Margin: 🟥R+2.4 Nevada is a swing state that has both Senate seats being held by Democrats, and the House delegation being majority Democratic. Nevada also had Republicans Lombardo and President Donald Trump won the governorship in 2022 and the presidency in 2024 respectively. Forecast via @Pollsmax.
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🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Joe Lombardo still leads against Aaron Ford in the Nevada governor's race, albeit by a single point. Nevada - 2026 Governor 🟥Joe Lombardo* 48% (+1) 🟦Aaron Ford 47% See all NV Governor polls @Pollsmax. Nevada is a swing state that has both Senate seats being held by Democrats, and the House delegation being majority Democratic, BUT also had Republicans Lombardo and President Donald Trump won the governorship in 2022 and the presidency in 2024 respectively. Global Strategy Group (D) | October 13, 2026 | 700 LV
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🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Darline Graham maintains her high odds to win over Annie Andrews in the South Carolina Senate election. South Caroline - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Darline Graham* 82% 🟦Annie Andrews 18% Darline is the younger sister of the late Lindsey Graham, who had held this seat before her since 2003 before suddenly passing away in July. Despite Darline's lack of political experience (and criticism of nepotism), she is still the favorite to win this election due to South Carolina's deep-red leanings. Odds via @Kalshi.
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🚨LEAD MAINTAINED: Despite a gradual drop over the last few days, Rick Jackson maintains a marginal lead in his odds to win the Georgia governor's election over Keisha Lance Bottoms. Georgia - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Rick Jackson 51% 🟦Keisha Lance Bottoms 50% Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1998. Bottoms has not led in a poll since AUGUST, forseeing her campaign coming to a demise in November. Odds via @Kalshi.
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🚨VICTORY MAINTAINED: Rick Jackson is STILL projected to win the Georgia governor's race against Keisha Lance Bottoms. Georgia - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Rick Jackson 52.1% 🟦Keisha Lance Bottoms 47.9% Projected Margin: 🟥R+0.4 Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1998, and it doesn't seem like they will break their losing streak this November. Jackson has led in the last NINE polls, meaning that Bottoms hasn't led a poll since AUGUST. Jackson has also outspent Bottoms TWELVE times over on the ads, effectively paying for the slow death of Bottoms's run. Forecast via @Pollsmax.
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🚨WHAT A STREAK: For the ninth time, Rick Jackson has led against Keisha Lance Bottoms for the Georgia governor's race. Georgia - 2026 Governor 🟥Rick Jackson 49% (+1.5) 🟦Keisha Lance Bottoms 47.5% See all GA Governor polls @Pollsmax. Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1998. Bottoms has to pick up the pace, otherwise her lackluster campaign is coming to a demise in November. Reminder that Jackson has spent $114 million so far this year on ads, while Bottoms has spent a mere $8 million. Also, Bottoms has not led in a poll since AUGUST. Quantus | October 17, 2026 | 755 LV
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🚨BREAKING: Byron Donalds maintains a strong eight-point leading margins against David Jolly in the Florida governor's election. Florida - 2026 Governor 🟥Byron Donalds 50% (+8) 🟦David Jolly 42% See all FL Governor polls @Pollsmax. Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in Florida since 1998. With Donald Trump and the Republicans increasing their state-wide margins of winning since 2014, Donalds is the clear favorite to win. If Donalds wins, he would become the first African-American governor of Florida, and the first African-American governor elected in the Deep South. YouGov | October 15, 2026 | 825 RV
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🚨VICTORY ASSURED: Byron Donalds maintains his high odds against David Jolly to win the Florida governor's election this coming November. Florida - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Byron Donalds 83% 🟦David Jolly 17% Projected Margin: 🟥R+6.8 Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in Florida since 1998. With Donald Trump and the Republicans increasing their state-wide margins of winning since 2014, Donalds is the clear favorite to win. If Donalds wins, he would become the first African-American governor of Florida, and the first African-American governor elected in the Deep South. On a sidenote, David Jolly, like Charlie Crist, is a former-Republican turned-Democrat. Forecast via @Pollsmax.
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