#Mexico - CB’s Borja says 6.50% policy rate is fine
- Borja diverges from recent minutes, seems to stand in the hawkish minority
- Says inflation is converging with the CB's target but recognizes the fight on inflation is not over
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#Montenegro - Retail sales growth accelerates to 4.7% y/y in Q3
- Retail sales growth accelerates likely due to stronger annual increase in fuel retail sales
- Domestic demand remains strong, supported by strong tourism sector performance
- Inflation resurgence, falling real wages may have adverse effects on domestic demand
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#EmergingMarkets
#Montenegro - Retail sales growth accelerates to 4.7% y/y in Q3
- Retail sales growth accelerates likely due to stronger annual increase in fuel retail sales
- Domestic demand remains strong, supported by strong tourism sector performance
- Inflation resurgence, falling real wages may have adverse effects on domestic demand
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
#EmergingMarkets
#Brazil - Flávio Bolsonaro arrives in Miami with his family
- Images show Flávio disembarking in Miami, Florida, after leaving Brazil late Tues.
- Allies say Flávio is expected to hold a press conference in the coming days
- His departure leaves the right without a clear leader and could weaken the Bolsonaro family's influence, although we are skeptical that such a shift will happen quickly
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#Thailand - BOT keeps policy rate unchanged at 1.00% as expected
- Growth forecasts raised slightly for both 2026 and 2027, inflation forecasts revised slightly lower
- BOT says inflation risks related to El Niño warrant close monitoring
- BOT mentions need to monitor impact of low interest environment on long-term macro stability
- BOT makes slight hawkish shift in statement, mentions upside inflation risks
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
#EmergingMarkets
#Thailand - BOT keeps policy rate unchanged at 1.00% as expected
- Growth forecasts raised slightly for both 2026 and 2027, inflation forecasts revised slightly lower
- BOT says inflation risks related to El Niño warrant close monitoring
- BOT mentions need to monitor impact of low interest environment on long-term macro stability
- BOT makes slight hawkish shift in statement, mentions upside inflation risks
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
#EmergingMarkets
#Uzbekistan - GDP grows by 8.3% y/y over Jan-Sep
- GDP grew by 8.5% y/y during Jan-Jun
- Government forecasts 2026 GDP growth at 8.1%
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Israel - Netanyahu-led bloc pulls ahead with 55 MKs – 51.8% of vote counted
- Partial results indicate stalemate, significant challenges for establishing government
- Results show different picture from exit polls, final count might still change markedly
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Chile - BCCh unanimously holds MPR at 4.50% as expected, guidance turns more hawkish
- Explicit guidance remains meeting-by-meeting, but stronger inflation warning gives more weight to hike risks
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#IvoryCoast - Industrial output growth accelerates to 11.7% y/y in August
- Extractive, manufacturing sectors post faster growth
- Rebound in metallic ore output is driven by gold
- Industrial output grows by 3.2% y/y in Jan-Aug
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Lithuania - Bank lending growth eases to 12.7% y/y in September
- Lending to NFCs rises at a softer y/y pace, while household lending growth remains stable
- Deposit growth edges down y/y as household deposits increase at a decelerating, but still robust rate
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Mexico - Trade deficit hits USD 0.6bn in September, as trade continues to skyrocket
- Exports grow 37.9% y/y, on the back of non-auto manufacturing
- Non-auto manufacturing exports lose momentum m/m, in part due to a base effect
- Imports grow 33.1% y/y, on the back of intermediate imports
- But capital and consumer imports gain momentum m/m, seemingly unaffected by the currency's depreciation
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
#EmergingMarkets
#Mexico - Trade deficit hits USD 0.6bn in September, as trade continues to skyrocket
- Exports grow 37.9% y/y, on the back of non-auto manufacturing
- Non-auto manufacturing exports lose momentum m/m, in part due to a base effect
- Imports grow 33.1% y/y, on the back of intermediate imports
- But capital and consumer imports gain momentum m/m, seemingly unaffected by the currency's depreciation
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Bosnia-Herzegovina - Industrial output falls by 0.5% y/y in September
- Worsening due to manufacturing and mining sectors
- Industrial production decreases by 2.1% y/y in January-September
- Outlook remains gloomy amid weak external demand
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Bulgaria - Loan growth decelerates to 16.5% y/y in September
- Deceleration is specifically visible in corporate segment, probably reflecting higher uncertainty, in our view
- Retail loan growth also decelerates, entirely due to slower mortgage lending growth
- Non-performing loan ratio of total loans declines to 3.23% as of end-September
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Lithuania - Industrial output rises by 7.0% y/y in September
- Industrial production rises by 1.8% m/m, as manufacturing output rebounds
- Capital and durable consumer goods output returns to double-digit y/y gains in September
- Base effects support headline increase, but we think Q4 outlook remains broadly positive
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Lithuania - Retail sales rise by 5.6% y/y in September
- Retail sales increase by 0.5% in m/m terms, reflecting broad-based gains
- Non-food sales increase by 12.0% y/y in September, picking up pace from August
- We expect positive retail sales momentum in Q4 amid still favourable income dynamics
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Estonia - Loan growth accelerates to 9.0% y/y in September
- Acceleration driven by all segments, suggests positive consumption and investment momentum, in our view
- Corporate loan growth accelerates to 12.0% y/y, household loan growth strengthens to 10.6% y/y
- Bad loan ratio remains at 1.1% of total loans
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#SouthKorea - GDP growth speeds up to 1.0% q/q and eases to 3.4% y/y in Q3 – advance estimate
- Exports rose by 2.3% q/q, up from 1.3% q/q in Q2, import growth also accelerates to 2.4% q/q
- Private consumption falls by 0.2% q/q in Q3, after rising in Q2, y/y growth slows down sharply to 1.1% y/y
- GFCF rose by 4.3% y/y and 2.2% q/q, accelerating significantly from Q2
- Manufacturing continued to lead economic activity, rising 2.0% q/q and 7.0% y/y
emergingmarketwatch.com/brow…
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#Tajikistan - Republican budget posts TJS 500mn surplus in August
- VAT and trade-related taxes support revenue growth
- Energy sector absorbs nearly one-third of August expenditure
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