Erwin

😡 "La communication d'Esteban Ocon est mauvaise. Depuis quelques semaines, ses déclarations c'est des coups de bazooka dans les pompes. Il y a des problèmes en interne dans chaque écuries où il passe. Il ne renvoie pas le bon message à son futur employeur." 🗣️ @Emmanuel_Moine

Iran: Without Netanyahu, Trump is under less pressure, but he is still weighing war Donald Trump’s position on Iran is not static. The American government is playing two tracks at once: keeping the readiness for a massive attack while conducting aggressive behind-the-scenes peace negotiations. As we know, those negotiations have not advanced because of mutually inflexible demands that are likely to remain. Netanyahu is no longer certain to return as Israel’s prime minister after the recent elections (his bloc is short of a majority and he remains caretaker for now). That eases some of the pressure for a military strike. The question is what happens after the midterms. Will Trump feel freer to make concessions to Iran, or will he adopt a more aggressive posture not only toward Iran but also toward Cuba? A lot will depend on the results. Trump can use the state of conflict to divert attention from domestic politics and the headaches a new Congress could cause him. So far, he has not ruled out military action. In recent weeks the State Department has reduced staffing at several Middle East embassies after intelligence assessments that Iranian plotting against U.S. personnel has reached advanced stages. The Pentagon has also notified Gulf Cooperation Council allies to prepare for the possible resumption of hostilities. Is it a bluff? Possibly. But more is happening. Also in October the United States sent two additional air-defense batteries to the Persian Gulf: one to Saudi Arabia to protect a major oil facility and another to Qatar focused on natural-gas infrastructure. Shortly afterward the Pentagon ordered the emergency movement of another Patriot battery from Texas toward Israel. In the same month the Pentagon began drawing down smaller outposts and bases in Syria and Iraq. This moved in parallel with the order to deploy the carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt and the installation of the first Patriot batteries in Saudi Arabia and Qatar. The process was largely completed by the end of the month, coinciding with a target briefing given to Donald Trump at the White House. Troops from the smaller units were concentrated in larger, fortified military complexes in the region that have integrated air defenses. Those defenses, despite their strength, previously failed to fully protect those bases. What stands out is that the United States is again grouping forces closer to Iran. Another development in October is that the U.S. Army began shifting training to match the war model seen in the Middle East. Apache pilots from the Gunslingers battalion started intensive exercises focused specifically on hunting and shooting down drones. Commanders have recognized that the traditional Apache targets (tanks and armored vehicles) are secondary in the region. The priority is now intercepting Iranian propeller drones such as the Shahed series, which Tehran uses in mass to overwhelm defenses. Read more global21.substack.com/p/iran…

IRNA says a Qatari delegation, headed by a senior adviser to Qatar’s PM and FM, arrived in Tehran to meet and hold talks with Iranian senior officials. The meetings are expected to focus on bilateral relations between Iran and Qatar, as well as regional developments. According to Al Arabiya, Qatari mediators are trying to convince Iran to reach an agreement on the release of a portion of Iran’s frozen assets in exchange for allowing inspectors to visit Iran’s nuclear sites (I almost choked on how they actually think Iran will be accept this.)

CENTCOM commander reportedly presented Trump with war plans against Iran. While according to war journalist for VOAnews, US official told them Trump admin plans to strike Iran following US elections next week, “aircraft are moving into position. MOAB use expected.” This is happening while currently the US keeps sending Iran useless and ridiculous requests for political resolutions, which is obviously to buy time to get their military into position. Iranian leadership knows this as well.

Chairman of Iran’s National Security Committee: Iran’s Parliament's plan for withdrawing from the NPT is ready. The chairman says: “MPs have prepared bills for an exit strategy from the NPT, based on national interests, political and military doctrine.” Arya: Exiting the NPT has been a topic of discussion for a few days now in Iran. A very probable solution that was discussed is a 3-month plan to exit the NPT, in case the US & Israel attack Iran again. Right now, one of the main obstacles for Iran to exit the NPT is China & Russia. But this can be solved by not allowing IAEA inspectors, but allow Russian and Chinese inspectors in Iran. In this plan, Iran would agree to temporarily freeze its enriched materials, but on the condition that China and Russia guarantee that if the US attacks again, they will support Iran's withdrawal from the NPT and Iran's development of nuclear weapons. However this is only discussed and not actually official (yet).

As the threat of a new war with the US looms, the Front of Islamic Revolution Stability, has asked the Iranian parliament and the Supreme National Security Council to initiate a withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. 🔗: aje.news/1074h3