Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003) header
Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003) profile picture

Meteorologist | Millersville ‘25 | UAH ‘27 | I like weather, football | NJ | #FinsUp | #Knickerbockers

Huntsville, AL
Joined March 2021
Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)Photo by Ethan Kerr (@EthanKerr2003)
Career chase day for me with a monster supercell in Kentucky followed by a close-range tornado intercept in Missouri! A vortex of light debris crossed the road ~1000ft in front of me after the funnel dissipated, so I think a large, diffuse circulation extended beyond the funnel…
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Ethan Kerr retweeted
Interesting clouds in Connecticut today!
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If you’re a young meteorologist and haven’t made at least three Claude slopsites, what are you even doing with your life?
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Ethan Kerr retweeted
Trump: I love the meat! Ahhhh! I love it, look! *gestures*
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Find someone who loves you as much as northeast storm chasers love trains
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It’s cool to visualize how topography can possibly influence tornado environments in Arizona with the HRRR model. Valley surfaces have increased temperature/moisture and weaker winds, which increase instability and low level shear compared to higher elevations (second sounding).
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Society is literally devolving into the Wall E movie—accelerated greatly by AI—and it’s quite sad
We now have AI meteorology books being sold to help you “master… atmospheric processes in one afternoon.” Unfortunately, expertise continues to be devalued as the public increasingly consumes soft-serve slop. The atrophy of American intellect continues to accelerate.
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best play of the season so far?
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I’ll pledge my allegiance to my good friend Mark who works for the Caribou office
The United States of America has collapsed. Rival regions from the National Weather Service have taken over. Who are you pledging your allegiance to?
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Ethan Kerr retweeted
The United States of America has collapsed. Rival regions from the National Weather Service have taken over. Who are you pledging your allegiance to?
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Yes
Replying to @EthanKerr2003
So what, we’re just all doing ML now?
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Last week I showed that I did some rudimentary data collection and analysis on tropical cyclone tornado events. Since then, I trained a basic machine learning model on the data and it has some surprisingly promising results 🧵. I used a random forest of 300 trees to predict...
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...like Milton's infamous tornado outbreak, which the model handled well. I tried 2 days with Hurricane Ian: the first was an outbreak in a 5% risk. The second was a busted 10% risk with 1 tornado. Despite having no glaring differences in the parameters and sounding, the model...
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...while not perfect, did a decent job indicating which day had a higher tornado risk. Of course, in any forecasting situation, the model is dependent on the accuracy of the weather model, while these analyses were done on historical RAP-RUC data.
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This is why I always target southern NY over Pennsylvania
Chances of getting hit by a tornado in America
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It turns out about half of classic SpongeBob music is old football highlight music
October 8, 1972 First Steelers-Cowboys Clash of the 1970s Former 1960s foes from the old NFL East, Pittsburgh and Dallas meet for the first time in the '70s in what would develop into the biggest interconference rivalry of the post-merger NFL. A bizarre affair at Texas Stadium
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“Lose the Midterms or bribe voters with free money” The Republican president:
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Important context needed: Trump previously promised 2 dividends and never followed through. In early 2025, Trump publicly backed a roughly $5,000 “DOGE dividend” In November 2025, he promised a $2,000 “tariff dividend” newsweek.com/every-dividend…
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