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Joined January 2026
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eventual.news
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We have 2 God-tier election data gurus booked today. What do you want to ask them?
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Talarico has coattails
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Vivek shares down 10c in a day. Absolute mauling. Ohio is Acton country now.
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Scandals change elections when they confirm what people already thought. Vibes: You might be a scumbag Scandal: You are a scumbag @GaetenD has it here And it's why Vivek is a sinking ship
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024Oct 21
Axios: Vivek Ramaswamy doubles down on explosive ad featuring rival's mother, despite backlash Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign for Ohio governor is pouring $4 million into a bombshell ad in which his opponent's estranged mother attacks her daughter — doubling down on the message despite fierce bipartisan backlash. axios.com/2026/10/21/ramaswa…

Exclusive: Ramaswamy doubles down on explosive ad featuring rival's mother, despite backlash

Ramaswamy is gambling that the deeply personal attack by Amy Acton's mother will resonate with voters.

axios.com
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National pundits think Democrat Rob Sand has Iowa in the bag. But local journalist @LauraRBelin disagrees. “I see a lot of irrational exuberance about Rob Sand. I do not think he has this locked up at all.” 📈 Market odds: 85%
‘On Point Politics’ - Lester Tellez
@onpointpoliticsOct 20
Iowa's early vote nearly DOUBLED overnight to 61,021 ballots, and registered Democrats lead by 25. Iowa Early Vote as of 10/19 🔵Democrats - 32,813 (53.8%) ⚪️Independents - 10,567 (17.3%) 🔴Republicans - 17,641 (28.9%) Our forecast, early vote included: Turek +1.4
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NO FED RATE HIKE in October. It's guaranteed, right? Not so fast. @conorsen thinks traders may be getting overconfident about the 90% odds. "We don't know much about Warsh and he likes to surprise markets, or at least that's what he wants us to believe."
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Why are the Fed’s forecasts so bad? Because the numbers are silly. @conorsen explains how the Fed interprets dubious economic data to fit its forecasts. “The present has to converge to their expectations.”
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Iowa, blue tsunami & affordability | Conor Sen xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1pKkOXwkW…
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Eventual

Iowa, blue tsunami & affordability | Conor Sen

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2 Weeks to Election Day! 🌊 Blue wave hits. How high will it go? 🏡 @ConorSen joins to talk affordability & housing politics 🌽 Iowa unpacked by @LauraRBelin xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1pKkOXwkW…
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Eventual

Iowa, blue tsunami & affordability | Conor Sen

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BIG NEWS. Eventual just launched its first data & analytics tool. And it's FREE for all email subscribers. Built by @mistermarkdavis, our Midterms Hub simulates 100,000 elections and brings together @Polymarket prices, polling averages, expert ratings, and FEC data. The goal? Help traders spot discrepancies, find overlooked opportunities, and make smarter trades. We believe prediction market traders have valuable knowledge and skills to share with the world. This is what happens when we put that expertise to work. Sign up now for free access: midterms.eventual.news/
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When are you ever happy with trade? Win --> Shoulda won more! Lose --> I hate losing? ???? --> I feel great!
Blitz Trades
@BlitzTrades_Oct 20
There's a special kind of pain that comes from being right about the market and still losing money.
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Hedging opportunity for @chuckschumer
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Predicted by @JimSwiftDC: Greg Landsman wins easily
Andrew Solender
@AndrewSolenderOct 19
House Majority PAC pulling $192,000 of their ~$1.8 million in ad reservations in #OH01, per @AdImpact_Pol I'm told they're feeling good about Rep. Greg Landsman's reelection prospects. @CookPolitical has the race as Likely D.
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TRADERS POLL MAINE. Coming soon.
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While onion futures - deservedly - is dominating the conversation, two CFTC comment periods also opened today & are due by Nov 18: 1) Ban Casino-style gambling products: regulations.gov/document/CFT… 2) Define 'swap' to explicitly include event contracts: regulations.gov/commenton/CF…
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