Stats guy that has practicing safe science since 2017. PhD but always a student. #Rstats #OpenScience

Arkansas
Joined October 2011
Aaron Caldwell retweeted
There's a form of secular creationism that we might call Malicious Design: The idea that the limitations imposed by nature are actually the product of human systems designed to exploit or otherwise harm the masses. 🧵
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
"How to Lower Electricity Bills to $100 a Month" The biggest impact is equalizing industrial and residential rates which currently reflect cost to serve but don't have to. I don't endorse all of these ideas but it's a serious proposal worth considering. vanderbiltpolicyaccelerator.…
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So they are trying to blacklist Anthropic for having red lines, then agreed to the exact same red lines with OpenAI. It's an entire administration of tryhard cosplay dorks, obsessed with the appearance of toughness, stumbling through it like drunk toddlers.
NEW: The Pentagon has agreed to OpenAI's rules for deploying its technology safely in classified settings, though no contract has been signed, a source tells Axios. The department appears to have accepted conditions similar to those put forth by Anthropic. axios.com/2026/02/27/pentago…
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
Replying to @JohnHolbein1
We did a lab experiment that showed this behavior years ago. link.springer.com/article/10…
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I learned all this really secret awful stuff that shows the hoaxes and conspiracies really happened, but I can't tell you because it's secret and can't do anything about it because I quit because going to work every day is really hard.
.@dbongino says details he uncovered at the FBI of the Russia collusion hoax are shocking, warning the abuse of power against President Trump shows a total systematic breakdown: “I was reading through some stuff that you could only read in the office, and it basically involved the collusion hoax, Crossfire Hurricane as it went by, and the various other spinoffs. And when you read it from the inside, when you see the details of what these absolute animals did to President Trump—I mean, I’m not shocked often, Sean—just reading through it and seeing it in detail for the first time, all put together. You can’t run a republic like this. You can’t—you absolutely cannot. It’s just stunning how all these guardrails broke down at the exact same time. It’s frightening how nobody thought to speak up and say, ‘Hey man, not only is this wrong, this is demonic—this is evil stuff.’”
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
Someone made a 2025 College Football season montage to One Shining Moment and it’s amazing 😭
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Why is this illegal you might ask? Anti-massing design guidelines. Guidelines against using one material. If you want to see these in your city, please advocate for stripping the overwrought design guidelines, AND as many other BS regulations as possible, so that builders can spend money on actual design and quality materials! You do that by attending your local city planning meetings. By bugging your elected officials on the local and state level to discard these outdated concepts. Thank you for coming to my TED Talk
It doesn’t get much better than this. It’s a real shame that it’s illegal to build like this on 90% of land in this country.
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
Motor vehicle theft is the easiest property crime to address through tech and yet it's the one that we've gone backwards on over the past 15 years. The tools exist today to essentially end car theft if adopted: PIN to drive, remote disable, GPS tracking, cameras, encrypted keys.
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
I resigned from the board of advisors of the University of Austin (UATX, not to be confused w U T Austin) within weeks of their inaugural announcement, because they "had no coherent vision of what higher education in the 21st century ought to be. Instead, they created UnWoke U led by a Faculty of the Canceled." Also: science was an afterthought. And they were so knee-jerk anti-woke that they were unprepared for the genuine issues that led to woke overreach, like sexual harassment. Four years later, my worst fears came true. Expose in Politico: They Wanted a University Without Cancel Culture. Then Dissenters Were Ousted. politi.co/49ELxlM via @politico
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🚨New RFP Alert!🚨 @Arnold_Ventures Evidence & Evaluation team released just two new RFPs to support research evaluating the causal impacts of U.S. social programs and policies: bit.ly/4aXA43k A short 🧵on what we're prioritizing and what's new this cycle (1/n)
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
I understand why a politician has to frame it like this, but scapegoating billionaires for a problem that is in many ways bottom-up cultural issue is actually itself part of the rage economy.
.@ezraklein: “What is, to you, the ‘rage economy’?” @JamesTalarico: “The billionaires own the algorithms and the news networks. They have created for-profit platforms that divide us on an hourly basis — by party, by race, by gender, by religion. They elevate the most extreme voices very strategically to provoke our outrage, because that leads to more clicks, which leads to more money for them. They are selling us conflict right into our bloodstream, and they’re calling it connection. And I think it’s left people starving for actual community.”
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JUST IN: Nvidia buys $5 billion of Intel stock
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
League source confirms Marcus Freeman declined the Giants HC job after the NFL rejected his proposal for the team to set its own schedule and receive an automatic playoff berth each year.
Head coach Marcus Freeman announced that he’s staying at Notre Dame in 2026. NFL teams were interested in him.
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
I wrote about Bari Weiss-the link follows. But the largest portion of my piece focused on a critique of Weiss and the Free Press as beingfree speech hypocrites. @AdamSerwer put together the most detailed version of this complaint. theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1… His thesis is Weiss has "a curiously narrow definition of free speech. That hypocrisy, shared by many, brought us to where we are today". Problem- his case is totally belied by the many many articles @TheFP has run blasting MAGA/right wing censorship. Serwer builds a case that depends on him ignoring copious amounts of evidence. I guess Serwer didn't know, didn't look, or doesn't care bc it hurts his thesis. But here are specific and direct contradictions of what he alleges ...
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
On housing policy, America needs to be less fascist King Kong and more free-market Godzilla.
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
Hate to break it to you @NIH, but our research responsible for item 3 listed below creating a “biomarker score for predicting diets high in ultra-processed foods” was completed before this administration when the paper was submitted in August of 2024. It’s too bad @NIH and @HHSGov passed on our proposal to accelerate human nutrition research on ultra-processed foods.
America produces the greatest medical research in the world. Within 200 days NIH has: ✅Launched Generation Gold Standard to extend immunization protection for upper respiratory virus beyond the strain-specific limits of old vaccines by using traditional vaccine technology to deliver an immune response with long-lasting protection. ✅Launched a five-year research study to assess and address the long-term health outcomes stemming from the 2023 train derailment in East Palestine, Ohio. “This historic research initiative will finally result in answers that this community deserves.” --@JDVance ✅Created a biomarker score for predicting diets high in ultra-processed foods, which are linked to increased risk of obesity and related chronic diseases. ✅Launched the Autism Data Science Initiative to support science into the etiology of autism. ✅Introduced a new initiative to expand innovative, human-based science to reduce animal use in research. ✅Started a process to crack down on excessive publisher fees for publicly funded research. ✅Mandated that peer-reviewed publications resulting from NIH funding are made freely available to the public without delay. ✅Cut 200+ DEI grants that sought to coopt medical research to divide the American people (e.g. “Elucidating minority stress influences on tobacco use at the intersection of sexual orientation and rurality.”)
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
@Noahpinion11 Aug 2025
This whole narrative was a panic driven by confirmation bias.
Rising unemployment among recent college graduates is not correlated with exposure to AI, per a new @InnovateEconomy paper from @ngoldschlag + @SarahEckha89223. Recent grads most exposed to AI actually have much *lower* unemployment.
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Aaron Caldwell retweeted
When corporate landlords like Blackstone enter a suburban neighborhood, rents fall and segregation declines because minority renters can now afford to live there.
New York City is so evil that if you walk into a random big building to do a mass shooting there’s decent odds you’ll hit the person in charge of buying up single family homes for blackstone
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