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Football data, Blues bias. Player analysis, squad strategy and Championship trends - every Weds and Sun on Substack.

Birmingham
Joined November 2025
Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)Photo by xB | Expected Birmingham (@ExpectedBham)
xB | Expected Birmingham retweeted
2-0 (12') | Sint-Truiden komt op 2-0 wanneer Ishiwatari een voorzet van Vanwesemael voorbij Gabriël kopt #StvZwa
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xB | Expected Birmingham retweeted
After 27 consecutive rounds on top of 🇸🇪 Allsvenskan, IK Sirius drops to the 2nd place, two rounds before the end! Sirius 🇸🇪 lost to relegation candidates Kalmar and now trail behind Hammarby 🇸🇪 on goal difference. Just 5 rounds ago, Sirius had 11 points advantage over Hammarby! 🏆 1st place probabilities: 73% 🇸🇪 Hammarby (+44%) 27% 🇸🇪 IK Sirius (-40%) 0% 🇸🇪 Djurgården (-4%) 👉 Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for 240+ competitions available at football-md.com/simulator
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xB | Expected Birmingham retweeted
𝗟𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗿ø𝗺 𝟮-𝟮 𝗔𝗮𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘂𝗻𝗱 ⚽ 51' Henrik Melland #Eliteserien #LSK #AaFK
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xB | Expected Birmingham retweeted
𝗦𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗳𝗷𝗼𝗿𝗱 𝟱-𝟱 𝗠𝗼𝗹𝗱𝗲 ⚽ 88' Sondre Milian Granaas 🅰️ Mats Møller Dæhli #Eliteserien #SF #MFK
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Blues currently play like a Basque side. Industrial, direct, win the loose ball. The next level is the Barcelona half. The passing through the middle. Spain do both. That is where the gains are. New piece: 🔗xbirmingham.substack.com/p/b… #BCFC #KRO
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xB | Expected Birmingham retweeted
The most impressive thing about this is that Dundee United have completely changed their style, with the same manager. That doesn’t happen very often so massive credit to Jim Goodwin 👏 Part of the reason why I covered them on the channel 👀
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And Tom was here to witness it all. Perfect. 💙
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Look at those Birmingham City limbs 😍😍😍😍😍😍
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Post Match Birmingham interview with Max Bird has some interesting snippets, they changed shape just prior to match, scouted us well:
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xB | Expected Birmingham retweeted
Davis Opoku (19, RB)🇧🇪🇬🇭 struck an 81st-minute winner as OH Leuven edged St. Truiden 2–1 in the Belgian Jupiler Pro League. The Belgian-born defender of Ghanaian descent now has 3 goals and 2 assists in 10 appearances this season. 🔥🔥
Davis Opoku (18, RB) 🇧🇪🇬🇭 came close to scoring a spectacular goal for OH Leuven, but his effort unfortunately struck the post. The young defender has recorded 2 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances this season. 🇬🇭👏 #ballondor #BallonDor2026
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This interview answer from Fabregas is as clear a summation of the modern game that I've heard.
“Não gosto de circular a bola apenas por circular. Cada ação precisa acontecer no tempo certo.” Na filosofia de jogo de Fàbregas, a prioridade do tempo sobre o espaço: não basta ocupar o espaço certo; é preciso reconhecer e aproveitar o momento certo para agir.
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Opta rates Belgium’s top flight 7th in the world. The Championship is 10th. It’s more physical too, and Premier League clubs spent about £101m there this summer. I went through 149 Belgian under-24s to see who Birmingham could get first. 🔗xbirmingham.substack.com/p/b… #BCFC
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this angle of cochranes goal is ridiculous #bcfc
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Akito Suzuki🇯🇵 - 26/27 So Far At Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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4 - Milan Zonneveld is the first Sparta player with a goal in four Eredivisie away games in a row since Anders Nielsen in 2000. Shining.
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5 - Il #Frosinone è la squadra che conta più giocatori che hanno preso parte ad almeno 5 gol in questa stagione nei Big-5 campionati europei, ben 5: Raimondo - 8 (8G+0A) Kvernadze - 7 (3G+4A) Schmid - 6 (2G+4A) Calò - 5 (4G+1A) Ghedjemis - 5 (1G+4A) Comitiva. #FrosinoneTorino
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THE HOSTS CAN'T STOP OUR ASCENSION UP THE SKY BET CHAMPIONSHIP 🤩
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Elversberg with another superb attacking performance. Built around an exciting young group: 🇩🇪 Krattenmacher (21) 🇫🇷 Mokwa (22) 🇩🇪 Onyeka (19) 🇩🇪 Darvich (20) 🇩🇪 Futkeu (23) 🇺🇸 Campbell (20) One of Europe's biggest revelations this season. Vincent Wagner's side is a joy to watch! 👏
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The shambles of recruitment at certain clubs revealed in latest report by the always excellent @CIES_Football who have calculated the appreciation or decrease in player signings since they joined their clubs (excludes academy players).
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28' | MU - BA - RAK 🦅 Přízemní centr Davida Zimy šikovně na bližší teči nasměroval do sítě Mubarak Suleiman a jdeme do vedení! 🔴⚪️ 1:0 🔵🔴 #skszbr
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