Trade stuff. Invent stuff. Learn and teach. Spout off about a few things I know and a lot of things I don't.

TX
Joined November 2012
Today generated a Hindenburg Omen observation for the first time since March. This is not a timing signal for any selloff and, the odds of a selloff, while elevated, are far from a sure thing. However, it's a call to watch for other signs that a top might be forming.
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Another reason to be worried is that all-time highs earlier this week came with significant cumulative breadth divergences. Once again, this is not a signal in itself, but lasting highs without such a divergence are rare. These are all things typically seen late cycle.
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This chart is currently giving the clearest view of the market...
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It's possible to lose more than max loss in an options trade. I explain how it's possible and how to avoid it in this video. youtu.be/K-p2UaPwGzA
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Earlier this week, we bought LLY just above its fireline level and it's already up over 10%. Just one of the reasons why I rely on the Voodoo Lines.
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The market is trying to erase cumulative breadth divergences which appeared at the last several all-time highs. Let's keep an eye on NYSE breadth through the end of the day. Even if they can erase divergences, +800 or so on breadth isn't a great way to make a new high.
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Today's S&P 500 new all time highs came with some warnings signs. I talk through them in this video youtube.com/watch?v=41dCY4lj…
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I’m sure there’s a life lesson and maybe a trading lesson to be learned from this ponderosa pine
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Taking a break from markets this week. Taking a break from my break to let you know Voodoo Lines is part of the July 4th sale at ⁦@simplertrading⁩ - if you’ve been wanting to add this tool to your charts you can do it at a discount with code JULY25 my.simplertrading.com/voodoo…
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Carney Always Capitulates Afterward CACA. Do we have a CACA trade?
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Is the bigger battle brewing between Washington and Tehran who can come up with better code name for operations?
Iran's Tasnim Says Missile Operation Called 'Annunciation Of Victory' Launched Against US Bases In Iraq And Qatar
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Airstrikes on Iran: Will Markets CRASH or SOAR? youtu.be/Hizg4VyTDGE?si=BodL… via @YouTube
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Our trading agenda for Monday is now clarifying with a U.S. air strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. From the perspective of markets, it doesn't matter whether a situation traders were worried about happens. The only thing which matters is how the market reacts after.
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We'll some reaction in futures Sunday night, but I care most about price action during Monday's New York session. Traders, like politicians, need their red lines. Mine is the SPX 5925 Voodoo fireline -- literally a red line. Below that level and I'll exit short-term positions.
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For longer-term positions I'll wait to see if a move down begins to show the patterns associated with a trend move. So long as it doesn't I'll stay long. I have no idea what will happen -- I just have a plan. We'll be trading it live Monday in the Voodoo Mastery room.
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While we could be getting closer to a market pullback, we should remember that we're acting under the influence of a recent Zweig Breadth Thrust signal which suggests additional upside and that pullbacks should be bought. youtu.be/upWn4S_Nv8Y?si=puHs…
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