@FatTailDaily

Beyond conventional investing. Big ideas, not just information. Uncover hidden market opportunities with Fat Tail Daily. Free insights, delivered daily.

 Melbourne, Australia
daily.fattail.com.au
Joined September 2011
  • Tweets13.5K
  • Following990
  • Followers2.4K
2.8KMedia
Has the Commodity Cycle Already Peaked? bit.ly/3UmK7ZM

Has the Commodity Cycle Already Peaked? - Fat Tail Daily

China's stock market just sank into a bear market — its longest weekly losing streak on record — and junior miners are feeling the pain. But if you believe the commodity story is still intact, panic...

daily.fattail.com.au
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Fireworks season for ASX small caps bit.ly/4jH0ef4

Fireworks season for ASX small caps - Fat Tail Daily

Small resource stocks have been thrown overboard while the banks are back in vogure. Meanwhile, hedge funds have almost $70 billion riding against the ASX. The next two months could get explosive.

daily.fattail.com.au
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Time to be someplace else bit.ly/4zXAJeq

Time to be someplace else - Fat Tail Daily

Debt can’t grow faster than GDP for very much longer. Either they let inflation run hot. Or they default by suddenly devaluing the dollar. Our guess is they’ll do both. It won’t be the first time.

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Rogue AI's Day at the Zoo bit.ly/3UENQSB

Rogue AI’s Day at the Zoo - Fat Tail Daily

Researchers made contact with a rogue fleet of Chinese AI that was on a quest to find a zoo gate. Charlie looks at what this strange episode tells us about AI let loose on the open web, and why you...

daily.fattail.com.au
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Another Brick in the Wall bit.ly/4zUhKRX

Another Brick in the Wall - Fat Tail Daily

The ‘liberal’ agenda — the operating model for the welfare state, spending more money, with more rules, and more elite do-gooders living at public expense — seems to have reached its brick wall.

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Market Capitulation: Is Something Breaking? bit.ly/4zQ8MoF

Market Capitulation: Is Something Breaking? - Fat Tail Daily

Panic selling is sweeping through ASX small and mid-cap stocks as the AI trade unwinds and global financial stress intensifies.

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As Risks Emerge, Be Selective, Know What to Buy bit.ly/4zOwCAX

As Risks Emerge, Be Selective, Know What to Buy - Fat Tail Daily

The S&P 500 once fell nearly 48% in under two years. Gold, copper and oil still made money. Here is why that matters now.

daily.fattail.com.au
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The Moral of the Story bit.ly/4z7gHxU

The Moral of the Story - Fat Tail Daily

Sympathy for the mob can be found in ‘leftish’ circles, based on envy. Some people have a lot of money. Many have little.

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The West confronts the reality of unconditional tolerance bit.ly/4shjemx

The West confronts the reality of unconditional tolerance - Fat Tail Daily

As the riots in France spread to other countries in Europe, we’re watching the West face the reality of its longstanding policy of tolerance. Today, we must reflect on how we got here, and whether we...

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The 100-year bond and the two-year chip bit.ly/4jAx94W

The 100-year bond and the two-year chip - Fat Tail Daily

AI is a bubble for the simple reason that every transformational technology creates one. That also means the tools are too good to ignore. Here’s how he holds both ideas at once.

daily.fattail.com.au
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The Death Zone bit.ly/4icoovC

The Death Zone - Fat Tail Daily

Thanks to Joe Biden and Donald Trump, who together added $20 trillion to US debt in the last ten years, we have reached the death zone. Even small increases in interest rates can spin out of control.

daily.fattail.com.au
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The rare earths price disconnect bit.ly/4i0gtCA

The rare earths price disconnect - Fat Tail Daily

The RBA could hike rates half an hour before the Melbourne Cup jumps. Meanwhile, a key rare earth price is up 23% this year while the stocks keep drifting. Why?

daily.fattail.com.au
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Commodities: Why You Need an International Focus bit.ly/4hX1oSi

Commodities: Why You Need an International Focus - Fat Tail Daily

Jurisdictional risk has many faces. The latest moves by the Australian Federal Government prove that no region is risk-free in the commodities market.

daily.fattail.com.au
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Welcome to peak chaos bit.ly/4dQKZwl

Welcome to peak chaos - Fat Tail Daily

Bonds and copper are sending contradictory signals. When the noise gets this loud, fear does the pricing. Here’s why I’m testing the water in small-cap resources.

daily.fattail.com.au
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What else could go wrong? bit.ly/4i7yGgp

What else could go wrong? - Fat Tail Daily

Another fun-filled, wacko week! Poor Katie, we hardly knew ye.

daily.fattail.com.au
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Higher For Longer Oil? Futures Say No! bit.ly/4z0Zs1c

Higher For Longer Oil? Futures Say No! - Fat Tail Daily

There are plenty of reasons why oil prices could remain higher for longer. But the futures market says they are all wrong. Today, I show you what the headline writers are missing. And what the weight...

daily.fattail.com.au
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Did the Firmus IPO kill ASX small caps? bit.ly/4eF6alb

Did the Firmus IPO kill ASX small caps? - Fat Tail Daily

Firmus’ failed $44 billion IPO has rippled through ASX juniors. Meanwhile, commodity stocks and commodity prices are further apart than I've ever seen. Here's why I'm thinking about going shopping.

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C'est la lutte finale bit.ly/4818f7n

C’est la lutte finale - Fat Tail Daily

The trouble with growing old is this. As the years go by you pile up more and more bits of useful real-life experience and wisdom...but you can’t remember where you left them.

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AI Debt's Daisy Chain bit.ly/4B6uJkV

AI Debt’s Daisy Chain - Fat Tail Daily

The AI boom was financed as if the winner takes all. Charlie Ormond explains why that bet is looking shakier by the week.

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Stocks Crumble. Commodity Prices Hold Firm. bit.ly/3THAxR3

Stocks Crumble. Commodity Prices Hold Firm. - Fat Tail Daily

If you have a flair for bargain-hunting in the stock market, well, resources have plenty of opportunity right now. And that’s despite strong underlying commodity prices.

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