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Prediction markets are just as dumb as financial markets.
Hong at 96%. Lost.
Pratt at 79% to make the runoff. Finished 3rd.
Money on the line doesn't buy accuracy. It's still guesswork.
Why I think the next miss is Talarico in Texas ๐
Latest Trump Truths on Truth Social ๐บ๐ธ
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Trumpโs Truth - Latest Posts
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East Potomac Golf Course is highly dangerous, dilapidated, and absolutely disgusting. Below are new photos of the deplorable conditions of the driving range building, including excrement in the stairwell. The gaping holes in the driving rangeโs โprotectiveโ netting are highly hazardous. Golf balls soar through the holes at high speed and hit unexpecting Golfersโincluding a White House staffer who was, sadly, hit violently in the chest. The driving range building itself is falling apart, and its structural stability is terrible. It should be closed immediately for safety reasons! The exposed nails and disintegrating wood also endanger young Golfers โ Not a good situation! The people of Washington, D.C., (and the Nation!) deserve so much better, like a beautiful, safe, affordable, accessible, sanitary, and CLEAN driving range! No one will be more thrilled by our plans to renovate the Course and Driving Range than the Local Golfers who have played there for years, and have begged to have their Home Course brought into pristine condition. The driving range should provide Golfers with stunning views of the Washington Monument, not of a barren, debris-ridden wasteland. The driving range should NOT be a threat to life and limb. The current condition of the golf course is a National Disgrace, but we will make it a WORLD CLASS PUBLIC Golf Course that is AFFORDABLE for locals โ Just like the Great and Historic Public Courses of Torrey Pines and Bethpage Black, only better, for the good of our now Beautiful Again Washington, D.C. After we are done, the East Potomac Course will be a place of immeasurable Pride for the City, all of the Golf Enthusiasts who live here, a Course worthy of and befitting our Nationโs Capital. We will hold the judge, Ana C. Reyes, fully responsible for anybody who is hurt, or killed, on this very dangerous, dilapidated, and unsightly Golf Course. GOD BLESS AMERICA! President DONALD J. TRUMP
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Quote post from October 29, 2026
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๐ Pre-Market Brief | Thu, Oct 29
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MACRO DATA
Natural Gas Storage: Est 75 | Prior 77
Core PCE Price Index m/m: Est 0.3 | Prior 0.2
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๐ฐ MAG 7 EARNINGS
AMZN Thu Est $2.01
๐๏ธ FED
No Fed speakers today
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Live Trading Q3 GDP teapawt.org/i/broadcasts/1rGmqpBDbโฆ
๐ฎ๐ท Iran Intel Brief | Geopolitical Brief
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Iran maintains strategic control over the Strait of Hormuz and will not reopen it until all conditions are met.
Iran accepts mediation in principle but requires the war to end and the U.S. blockade lifted before nuclear talks begin.
Iran seizes a U.S. MQM-170 drone intact west of the Strait of Hormuz.
Russia supplies satellite imagery to Houthis targeting Saudi oil infrastructure.
Regional governments prepare for a multi-day U.S. military campaign against Iran with risks of retaliation on energy sites.
Iran rejects Qatarโs draft peace deal as containing unacceptable terms.
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๐ฎ๐ท Iran Intel Brief | Pre-London
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Iran tensions sustain crude oil prices above $110 per barrel.
US prepares additional strikes on Iranian targets after midterms.
Gulf states brace for Iranian retaliation in Strait of Hormuz.
Diplomatic efforts with Iran collapse over sequencing of sanctions relief.
Iran signals readiness to disrupt undersea cables in Hormuz.
Escalation risks elevate gold as safe-haven asset amid regional conflict.
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๐ฎ๐ท Iran Intel Brief | Pre-Asia
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Iran faces severe heating fuel shortages this winter under intensified US sanctions.
Houthis struck Saudi Arabia Ras Tanura oil refinery with a ballistic missile.
Iran lacks dollars to fund its proxies amid US sanctions pressure.
Iranian economy contracts more than 25 percent due to US sanctions.
Iran holds talks with Saudi Arabia Pakistan and Turkey to secure US deal.
Iran threatens global economic collapse if US strikes its territory.
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Latest Trump Truths on Truth Social ๐บ๐ธ
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Trumpโs Truth - Latest Posts
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In Alaska, I donโt think Mary Peltola, after perpetrating such a terrible scheme, should be allowed to run, because this is ELECTION FRAUD. The Democrats cheated! They found a man named Dan Sullivan, put him on the Ballot, then lied to the Court, and said they didnโt know anything about it. Thatโs perjury. She shouldnโt be allowed to run, and neither should the FAKE Dan Sullivan! President DONALD J. TRUMP
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RT @realDonaldTrumpIt has just been determined that the Democrats in Alaska illegally searched for, and recruited, a man named Dan Sullivan to run against our distinguished Republican Senator, Dan Sullivan, in order to defraud, confuse, and obfuscate the Election, thereby taking votes away from the REAL Senator, Dan Sullivan. The New York Times reports that, โDemocrats have insisted they have nothing to do with the other Dan Sullivan on Alaskaโs Senate ballot. But aides with the Mary Peltola campaign and DSCC were part of a monthslong secret plan to recruit him to run โ as well as other candidates.โ The Democratsโ false statements were made under oath in Federal Court. Therefore, they perjured themselves, and should be liable for very serious consequences. Mary Peltola should suffer the Legal and Political consequences for what she has done, A FRAUD ON THE AMERICAN PUBLIC, and Dan Sullivan should be allowed to run without either Mary Peltola or FAKE Dan Sullivan on the Ballot. President DONALD J. TRUMP
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๐ Pre-Market Brief | Wed, Oct 28
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MACRO DATA
FOMC Press Conference: Est N/A | Prior N/A
Federal Funds Rate: Act 4 | Est 4 | Prior 4 ๐ข
Crude Oil Inventories: Act -1.9 | Est 0.1 | Prior -3.1 ๐ด
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๐ฐ MAG 7 EARNINGS
MSFT Wed Est $4.71
GOOGL Wed Est $3.03
AMZN Thu Est $1.96
AAPL None this week
META None this week
NVDA None this week
TSLA None this week
๐๏ธ FED
Kevin Warsh 2:30 pm ET
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FOMC Rate Hike 0% Chance? teapawt.org/i/broadcasts/1qJDzWNmvโฆ
NY Winning Trades teapawt.org/i/broadcasts/1DGleVABZโฆ
NY Winning Trades teapawt.org/i/broadcasts/1XxygwWPyโฆ
Latest Trump Truths on Truth Social ๐บ๐ธ
โโโโโโโ
Trumpโs Truth - Latest Posts
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RT @jmclghlnStrong Majority backs @realDonaldTrump stopping Iran from getting Nukes @DanScavino @StevenCheung @DevinNunes
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โWhen President Trump endorsed Bibi Netanyahu, the whole tide turned, and now, rather than a decisive defeat for a Great Prime Minister, it looks like a big come-from-behind stalemate, or even a WIN for Netanyahu. It all took place AFTER the Endorsement by President Trump, who only wants what is good for the Middle East, Israel, and the United States of America!โ
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๐ Pre-Market Brief | Wed, Oct 28
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๐
MACRO DATA
FOMC Press Conference: Est N/A | Prior N/A
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๐ฐ MAG 7 EARNINGS
MSFT Wed Est 4.72
GOOGL Wed Est 3.00
AMZN Thu Est 2.01
๐๏ธ FED
Kevin Warsh 2:30 pm ET
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๐ฎ๐ท Iran Intel Brief | Geopolitical Brief
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Iran rejects Qatari draft agreement and maintains zero flexibility on nuclear issues.
US and Israel prepare additional strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and infrastructure.
Gulf states prepare for short intense US military campaign against Iran.
Iran warns Gulf military action would damage international energy markets.
Trump vows decisive victory stopping Iran nuclear weapon.
Netanyahu states confrontation with Iran has only begun.
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๐ฎ๐ท Iran Intel Brief | Pre-London
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Iran met Saudi Arabia Pakistan and Turkey in Tehran to advance a US Iran deal.
Iraqi militias flew drones over the US Embassy in Baghdad to deter strikes on Iran.
Houthis moved to block Egyptian defensive support to Saudi Arabia.
Iran funds Hezbollah military reconstitution amid ongoing talks.
US Iran talks remain stalled on agreement sequencing.
Iran positions itself to exploit regional fears of renewed US strikes on energy sites.
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๐ฎ๐ท Iran Intel Brief | Pre-Asia
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Iran ordered maintenance of control over the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran blocked IAEA inspectors from damaged nuclear sites at Isfahan.
UK raised Middle East travel advisory citing high risk of sudden escalation.
Iran-linked plot targeted UK air base used by US forces.
Kataib Hezbollah demanded full opening of Iraq-Iran border crossings.
Explosion reported in Tehran Narmak neighborhood.
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