I would rather watch Canada Soccer
Joined July 2024
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#TFCLive what I think needs to happen this off season
1. Clear club identity defined. The sales team knows it, the staff knows it, the coaches know it, the fans know it, the media knows it
2. Find a coach that aligns with it
3. Reshape the squad to align
#TFCLive most points we have had in a season since 2020.
A win today & we'd be playing in our first meaningful decision day since . . . 2009.
Do I have that right?
Every other year we already in or out by the last game.
here's another way to look at it.
Even if you did figure it out, a way to get an edge, you're working evenings & weekends. Whether it's sports betting, poker, whatever.
Then you have to battle the casinos who let you continue to win.
Even if you're profitable, is it worth it?
#TFCLive mathematically we can still catch 2 teams currently in playoff spots, Orlando & Columbus.
Win tomorrow & preferably some help from Nashville vs. NYRB (win or draw) so we have one less team to worry about.
Sets up a meaningful decision day. 🤞🤞
#TFCLive a win tomorrow is the only thing that will keep us alive in the playoff race.
Let's get some Brother's Gibb playoff energy!
if you want to profitably sports bet, avoid parlays altogether.
the only time to play them is when you get those promotional boosts or risk free ones.
outside of that, they're lotto tickets with -EV since it's really hard to find multiple legs on the same book that are all +EV
look at this! I didn't even catch Orlando's 43 points.
Let's go Charlotte! Currently up 1-0
#TFCLive
a lot of sports models use some type of xG vs. the league or average team to build poisson distribution.
Since we play on Sunday, this data will change after today's slate of games.
#TFCLive
as always, if you're just betting for fun & outcomes keep bet sizes within your budget
#TFCLive scoreboard watching won't leak into trick or treating tonight as both Cincy & Columbus are on the 2pm docket today.
Today we are Philly fans & looking for former TFC players SJ & Servania to help see out a couple of 2pm road wins.
Always love it when an asset goes down people take a scenario where an investor bought at the worst possible time & compares to present day when in reality gold & silver bugs likely trimmed their positions in January & Feb & are now looking to redeploy.
Same case in 1980
Silver in 1980 ~$49.45 🗿
Silver in 2026 ~$48.80 🤡
@grok Verify if people who bought in 1980's peak are still in loss even after 45 years?
the best service is the one where you can still profitably bet after you leave it.
if you're just tailing not understanding why you're tailing leave the service.
A profitable betting service can still deliver a losing season.
At 56% winners at −110, subscribers can finish down in roughly one season out of four. In a simulation, a quarter-Kelly follower lost around 35 units during a 15-play losing streak.
That's why you judge a service by its closing-line value, not one ugly run.
Would you stick with it through the drawdown?
Read more by @DoctorRazzWSOP pinnacle.com/betting-resourc…
he's right. It doesn't take a lot of skill.
All you have to do is compare prices & figure out which book is the weak one.
What are you taking in this screenshot knowing nothing else about this game?
#tfclive sound familiar?
As the Philosopher Kings once said:
"Baby it hurts to love you!"
My thesis as well. There will be an accumulation period where you should be able to DCA.
Are we at that level now or is there a little lower to go?
I think silver is going lower to $40, so I am assuming gold follows suit and both have another bit to drop.
GOLD🥇
The critical and most important movements for gold are around its primary trendline.
Strengthening bonds and a rising US Dollar Index are traditionally a wet blanket for the precious metal. However, the other and more significant risk for gold is an outright market deleveraging event, where the most liquid assets are sold off first and questions are asked later.
I have two scenarios for gold, both of which lead to much higher levels in the year, years ahead, though the risks mentioned above remain a major hurdle.
The Consolidation Scenario:
If the price can hold the $4,000 level and drift either slightly lower or sideways hugging the primary trendline without breaking decisively below it then it is likely to build a base and head higher over time.
The Yield-dollar Driven Downside Scenario:
If yields and the dollar index continue to rise, we are likely to see lower lows until a major level of structural support is reached(3400). Only after finding that floor will gold move much higher, likely sometime in 2027 or 2028.
In my opinion, there is plenty of time; a solid base needs to be established first. There is absolutely no rush, as market volatility and macro uncertainty are set to pick up significantly in the short term.
Nevertheless, over the long term, gold is likely heading toward $10,000, if not higher.
Yours truly,
The Great Martis💫
