"What sad times are these when passing ruffians can say Ni at will to old ladies." Editor @FDRLST. Neo-Know Nothing. Views are my own.
Nashville, TN
Joined September 2017
- Tweets1.3K
- Following478
- Followers1.4K
- Likes768
On today's episode of the History Hour, we're exploring "The other Gettysburgs" — Civil War battles that are often forgotten but have been compared to the titanic struggle at Gettysburg.
Listen to the episode here:
spreaker.com/episode/hayden-…
Hayden Daniel retweeted
The top issues for Trump/Vance voters:
"1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel"
Almost like George Washington's foreign entanglement warning is the best foreign policy advice there is
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Hayden Daniel retweeted
Mark Levin is crashing out over the fact that it was his advice that resulted in a massive regime change in a huge oil-producing government.
It just happened to be Texas, not Iran.
STFU you washed up political loser. You’re angry because you’ll actually have to now work for a living. You’re one of the most mentally unhinged POS to ever be in Congress. We lost last night for many reasons, including because of useless, self-promoting, do-nothings like you. Good riddance, crackpot.
Hayden Daniel retweeted
I’m collecting the gloating about the blue tsunami in Texas, because nothing says “principled” like *celebrating* a communist takeover and pretending the GOPs losses had everything to do with a tweet from a down-ballot candidate 🧵👇🏻
Conservatives need to realize are no "good ones." They will betray us at the first sign that their tribe is threatened, and then they'll brag about it as our country falls apart.
I, a lifelong Republican, voted against every Republican on my ballot who endorsed @BoFrench: Abbott, Paxton, Dawn Buckingham, and French himself. All 4 of them lost last night.
Mark Levin has the gall to say this as if he hasn't been the most whiny, petulant man child on this site for the last 8 months.
I am watching all the back-and-forth on this site. Much of it is nasty, petulant, dishonest, and vile. Among the worst of it are posts from washed up politicians, self-aggrandizing podcasters, website writers, etc. It's pointless to repeatedly engage each of them and their obsessive slapdash posts. It does nothing to advance the ideals of our country and only encourages their vile behavior. If I wanted to ask thousands of my patriotic supporters to come here, most of whom don't bother with this site or even know the names of those who applaud the destruction of conservatism here, I could. But to what end or purpose? It's pointless and a waste of time.
The fact is that the mid-term elections were disastrous. The Woke Reich is gleeful. Their aim has been to defeat the Republicans and claim victory over those who've supported the President and his agenda. This includes his decision to respond to the Iranian regime’s “Death to America,” its decades of terrorism and killing/maiming of Americans, and its pursuit of nuclear weapons. They ignore the reality of Iran’s nuclear threat. In this, they parrot the Democrats and push the same ideological agenda. But President Trump had to deal with reality -- that is, when Steve Witkoff informed the President that the regime told him they were 10-days away from having 11 nuclear warheads, the isolationists wanted Trump to stand down. Even before the President acted, they began their campaign to undermine any military action and him. They soon began pushing for an “off-ramp” instead of victory. The media ate it up. It's they who extended the war up to and through the mid-terms and leak incessantly against the President and his supporters.
The Woke Reich should be patting itself on the back. They sought the defeat of the Republican Party and want to remake it into some kind of socialist-lite/isolationist/regressive - political entity. In other words, they seek to undermine this country and the MAGA movement – Making America Great Again - the President works on every day.
The mid-terms were not lost over a single issue. And anybody with a functioning brain knows that. The party not in the White House traditionally wins, some of our candidates were weak, and the messaging was confusing. Despite a robust economy, affordability remained an issue -- health care, housing, energy, etc. - and prolonging the defeat of the Iranian terrorist regime, all contributed to the results, as did the Woke Reich.
There needs to be an honest and thoughtful evaluation of events. We will do that, and we will not be dragged into some ideologically driven agenda based on fringe operators, Jerry Springer-like performers, and shock-jock loudmouths. While those people will never support a strong, pro-America First agenda or a unified opposition to the radical Democrats and their Marxist-Islamist agenda, including their war on the Constitution and capitalism, we will. And we will do what we have to do to save this country in spite of them.
Patrick Stewart's best Shakespeare performance
youtu.be/HZnaXDRwu84?si=BtnP… via @YouTube
Hayden Daniel retweeted
“Prediction market” itself is a nonsensical propaganda term deliberately designed to hide reality and con people into believing they’re not gambling. It’s a betting contract. It predicts nothing. You are betting on an outcome.
Are point spreads predictive? Of course not. They’re nothing more than a number that gets you to where you have the same amount of money on either side so the bookmaker never takes a loss.
First, full disclosure, as always: Kalshi is a sponsor on our show. So people will take any opinion with a grain of salt, which is fine. But at the heart of the Kalshi question is a simpler one: what’s the difference between a prediction market and a traditional betting platform, like DraftKings? I asked Tarek Mansour that question directly. Here’s his answer.
The chaos that now reigns in France only has one remedy: overwhelming military force. This lawlessness has to be nipped in the bud before it spreads.
My latest @FDRLST
thefederalist.com/2026/10/22…
We ... we did do a deal with the British to end the American Revolution. It's called the Treaty of Paris.
They're so desperate to lionize a foreign president that they'll ignore basic facts about America.
Hayden Daniel retweeted
You should obviously never vote for Dems but this is why the “shut up and just get behind whatever the GOP is doing” strategy is a mistake
It was obvious that Vivek was a disastrous candidate and when you force your voters to support bad candidates it costs you something
On this week's episode of the History Hour, the fantastic @briannalyman2 and I discuss the left's attack on how we remember the Civil War and still tries to divide the North and South.
spreaker.com/episode/hayden-…
These idiots could at least iron the flag of their faux-activist cause.
This quoted post is unavailable.
For some reason, I feel like this article is suddenly relevant again...
thefederalist.com/2026/08/20…
Liking cows is one thing (I personally like them best between a sesame seed bun), but then there's this shit.
Hayden Daniel retweeted
Social Security is the biggest Ponzi scheme in history.
Who’s ready for some real talk on Social Security?
Here it is: you didn’t “pay in” to Social Security, there’s no deposit account with “your” money in it, and every single dime of Social Security taxes you’ve paid in your entire life went directly to someone else or was frittered away by Congress.
For many decades after the program was created, there was more money collected in Social Security taxes paid in than money spent on benefits. This was due to the demographics of the country at the time: in 1950 there were 16 workers paying Social Security taxes for every 1 recipient of benefits, whereas today there are fewer than 3 workers per beneficiary.
So obviously, all that extra money collected for decades when there were more taxes collected than benefits paid was set aside and invested, right? LOL. If only.
Instead of setting all that extra money aside and protecting it for future beneficiaries, Congress spent it. Every last penny. Every dollar that has been collected in Social Security taxes has been spent. What Congress did instead of saving money was create a massive IOU which it dishonestly called the Social Security Trust Fund. Except there’s no trust and there’s no fund. It’s just a gigantic IOU, like in Dumb and Dumber. There’s no numbered account with money in it waiting to be withdrawn.
Where does this leave us? Beginning around 2020, payroll taxes collected were no longer sufficient to pay for current Social Security benefits, so money had to printed or borrowed from elsewhere. As more and more money has to be borrowed to pay current benefits, the Social Security Trust Fund balance is reduced.
Once it reaches zero—and right now that is expected to happen within the next 10 years—the government is legally prohibited from paying out more in benefits than it collects in Social Security payroll taxes each year. And that will mean an instant cut in Social Security benefits of around 20 percent. By the year 2100, expected benefits will be just 65 percent of promised benefits.
As of today, a 75-year-old who worked for 50 years and earned the median salary will have paid close to $100,000 in Social Security payroll taxes over his life. Based on average life expectancy of another 12 years, he will collected more than $500,000 in Social Security benefits, and those payments will come not from a savings account somewhere, but from taxes paid by his children and grandchildren. But when it comes time for the people paying directly for his Social Security checks to receive their benefits, they won’t get nearly as much as he gets, because the Trust Fund will be bankrupt.
The people paying for the Social Security benefits of Baby Boomers today will pay significantly more into the system than the Boomers ever did, but will receive a fraction of the eventual payout.
Does that seem fair? In light of those facts, is it really accurate to say you “earned” that Social Security payment? Of course it isn’t. Social Security is welfare for American retirees. And it’s a welfare system that is not only a total waste of money designed to give Congress an even bigger budget to fritter away (if you invested your Social Security taxes, your lump sum at retirement would be 5x higher than your expected lifetime benefits from Social Security), it’s also deeply immoral.
Because of the current demographics in the country, Social Security takes money from workers today so it can give retirees 3-5x more than they ever paid in AND will pay out significantly less when it’s time for the people currently paying into the system to collect their own benefits.
Boomers receive 3-5x more than they paid in, while their grandchildren will receive 35 percent less than what they were promised. They originally called this the New Deal when it was created, but it’s a raw deal for everyone currently being forced to pay into it.
So let’s stop with the pretense that Social Security is anything other than a poorly designed welfare scheme for retirees.