Professional Situation Monitor. I mine qualitative data—interviews, pressers, podcasts, social media—for edges missed by quantitative betting models.
Joined March 2025
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The great schism in golf is finally ending. Two sides. One sport. Years of war.
I'm referring, of course, to the data boys vs. the traditionalists.
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Tired of waiting for new Tommy Fleetwood YouTube content? Justin Rose appears to have quietly launched his own channel, promising to take you "closer to the game than ever before."
youtube.com/watch?v=wDClx-vg…
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@JustinRose99 Care to comment? Is this the official launch, or is a bigger reveal coming?
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Sorry for the delayed Austin picks. Late intel forced mental score recalculations for ~1/3 of the field.
(New here? "Mental score" = the intangibles strokes-gained models miss: strategy, health, attitude, focus, team. Guys with high scores tend to beat statistical projections.)
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I'll keep monitoring the lines. Any further picks will be posted to the site. Looks like a Johnny Keefer top-5 popped up as I was writing this thread.
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Johnny Keefer
Mentals: 0.30
Top 5: +1000 @ BetOnline (EV: +17.7%)
Last Friday in Cabo, Johnny Keefer made an eight on a par five without taking a penalty. On a podcast this week, his coach, Bryan Gathright, chalked it up to bad decisions. He singled out one especially costly pitch shot but otherwise didn't sound worried. A few days before that, he'd watched Keefer light up Ben James in a Tuesday practice round and then look even sharper in the Wednesday pro-am. Gathright said flatly that it's only a matter of time before the former Korn Ferry Tour star wins at the next level, even if it's taking a little longer than people expected.
I believe him. A bad swing takes weeks to fix. A bad decision takes an afternoon.
Gathright said he'd sort it out with Keefer before they headed to Texas, the state where Keefer first made his name as an amateur and where he's said he feels most at ease. Keefer looked ready to break out after a T3 in Houston earlier this year. Now he arrives in Austin a little wiser, with the same game that had his coach raving a week ago. Nothing about Cabo changed my mind. If anything, it got his price where I want it.
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LOOP SCOOP: Austin Championship
Slow week for caddie changes. It's late in the season, so you might as well dance with the one who brung ya. Unless you're Karl Vilips, of course...
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Thomas Rosenmueller: Josh McColl ➝ Colby Norman
Rosenmueller has used a few caddies this year while bouncing between tours, including McColl in the U.S. and swing coach Ken Williams in Europe. Norman spent three years on Danny Walker's bag before they split in September.
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