MLB Front Office Exec. Little League All Star Left Handed Specialist. The Protégé. Public Person * 🔥 Burner Account 🔥
Cooperstown
Joined November 2018
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As I say every year. MLB Draft Lottery should occur the day after Qualifying Offers are announced. Why?
Take the San Francisco Giants as an example. Currently slated to select 15th. 1% chance to land the 1st Pick. If they hypothetically moved into the Top 6, more inclined to sacrifice the 2nd Rounder to sign a player that received a Qualifying Offer.
Or take the Mets. They could be picking anywhere from 1st Overall to 27th. It'd be nice to know your slot prior to giving up a Draft pick for a Free Agent. Especially a mid tier guy. Say a Zac Gallen or Michael King type.
The only reason Bo Bichette would consider opting out of 2-$84M? Absolutely hates playing in New York, and especially for the Mets Franchise.
Smart of Yankees to retain Brian Cashman with an extension. 29 straight winning seasons. 15 AL East Titles. Yankees don't operate from position of strength they did financially in the 1990s. Every GM makes mistakes. Cashman owns his mistakes and evolves. A Hall of Fame GM.
We’re officially in “X Player opened to resigning with current club” season.
Always makes sense for leverage; I did laugh seeing Jazz Chisholm Jr opened to staying with Yankees.
Jazz Chisholm might be the most talented player where still just sucks I’ve ever seen
Pretty sure if you gave his talent to Miguel Cairo he’s Barry Bonds
MLBExecutiveBurner retweeted
In this wildcard format the team that wins game 1 has won their series 18 out of 19 times. Regardless of who wins Phillies @ Braves we have enough sample size for MLB/MLBPA to bargain to reduce WC back to one game series instead of 2 out of 3 while also bringing back game 163 as tie breakers. Just my opinion.
Predictions
White Sox d. Astros
Yanks d. Red Sox
Phillies d. Braves
(Cubs d. Padres
Rays d. Yanks
Guardians d. White Sox
Brewers d. Cubs
Dodgers d. Phillies
Guardians d. Rays
Dodgers d. Brewers
Dodgers Sweep Guardians
World Series MVP Kyle Tucker
MLB Average Payroll in 2026 $182M. Equates to $5.46B in league wide spending.
MLB needs to implement spending floor eased in over 3-4 seasons with harsher penalties for exceeding the Luxury Tax. Avoid smaller market Clubs acting as clearing houses.
2026
Minimum $780,000
40 Man $63,6000
40 Man w/ MLB experience $127,100
Roughly 1/2 the Union...
Owners Offer with Salary Floor in '27
Minimum: $1M
40 Man Roster: $175,000
40 Man w/ MLB experience $350,000
40 Man Retention Bonus?
Player on 40 Man Jan 1 receives $25,000
Maybe I'm an Optimist. Don't see players missing games. Owners offer rank and file minimum salary increases, higher minimums for players on 40 Man. MLB Payrolls exceeded $5.3B in '26. Players aren't missing games. Owners have the leverage given 50% of players make less than $1M.
Owners won't get maximum 6 yr Free Agent contracts in CBA. Past few yrs teams willing to go high AAV to avoid longer term on players excluding Juan Soto. Disregard the Luxury Tax implications for shorter term.
Skubal?
6-$300M
$220M through Yr4
Opt Out
$80M for Yrs 5-6
Estimate on Teruaki Sato contract.
5-$90M with an Opt Out after Yr3.
Requires $15.375M Posting Fee.
Assuming flat structure $18M per yr 2027-2031.
Club would pay 3-$69.375M if Sato were to Opt Out after '29.
Top Reliever Contract currently Josh Hader 5-$95M. Highest AAV Edwin Díaz $23M on paper or roughly $21M on present value factoring in deferred money.
If marketed as a Starter entering his Age 28 season, Adrián Morejón gets over $100M guaranteed and $20M+ in AAV.
Top FA LH RPs after Options
1. Adrián Morejón
2. AJ Minter
3. Gregory Soto
4. Newcomb
5. Alex Vesia
6. Steven Okert
7. Tyler Alexander
8. Brock Burke
9. AJ Puk
10. JoJo Romero
11. Caleb Ferguson
12. Brooks Raley
13. Jose Alvarado
14. Wandy Peralta
15. Keegan Akin
16. Tim Mayza
Top FA RH RPs after Options
1. Raidel Martínez
2. Bednar
3. Bryan Abreu
4. Raisel Iglesias
5. Loaisiga
6. Senzatela
7. Paul Blackburn
8. Evan Phillips
9. Emilio Pagan
10. Drew Anderson
11. Tejay Antone
12. Kevin Ginkel
13. Kittredge
14. Fairbanks
15. Kenley Jansen
16. Graterol
Top FA LH SPs after logical options
1. Skubal
2. Adrián Morejón *
3. Trevor Rogers
4. Foster Griffin
5. Robbie Ray
6. Bubic
7. Imanaga
8. David Peterson
9. Liván Moinelo
10. Matthew Boyd
11. Martin Perez
12. Kyle Freeland
13. Patrick Sandoval
14. Eric Lauer
15. Jose Quintana
Top FA RH SPs after logical options
1. Kaima Taira
2. Michael King
3. Hiroto Saiki
4. Mize
5. Sonny Gray
6. Freddy Peralta
7. Nick Martinez
8. Clay Holmes
9. Gausman
10. Dustin May
11. Mahle
12. Gallen
13. Soroka
14. Brady Singer
15. Bieber
16. Pivetta
17. Flaherty
18. Woodruff
Top FA Bats after logical options Exercised
1. Teruaki Sato
2. Arozarena
3. Seiya Suzuki
4. Jake Bauers
5. Brandon Lowe
6. Ryan Jeffers
7. Chisholm Jr
8. Luis Arráez
9. Varsho
10. Ian Happ
11. Ty France
12. Joc Pederson
13. Trent Grisham
14. Gleyber Torres
15. Eugenio Suárez
MLBExecutiveBurner retweeted
A Glove only 2nd Basemen Marcus Semien coming off injury entering his Age 35 season is worth $72M over the next 3 seasons but Los Mets couldn’t go beyond 3 years on the most prolific power hitter in Franchise History entering his Age 31 season.
Pete Alonso played 162 games in back-to-back seasons and finished 11th in the MVP vote.
David Stearns is LOST
