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RawTrader | UK Industry & Bills

@ImRawTrader

I check the UK numbers behind your bills, fuel and factories, then explain them simply. Read free: https://teapawt.org/t.co/Rdd4bgl4nV

 United Kingdom
ukindustryandbills.substack.com
Joined April 2026
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UK petrol was 174.57p a litre in the week of 19 Oct. A year ago it was 134.69p. Duty and VAT are 47% of that price. I put every UK pump price since 2018 and the Ofgem price cap for all 14 regions in one PDF and CSV, from official DESNZ and Ofgem data. Get it for £9: payhip.com/b/K6JDU Free preview: payhip.com/b/8hSA7
UK Fuel & Energy Bills Tracker, October 2026: Petrol, Diesel & Ofgem Price Cap (PDF CSV)

UK Fuel & Energy Bills Tracker, October 2026: Petrol, Diesel & Ofgem Price Cap (PDF CSV)

UK petrol 174.57p, diesel 199.33p (19 Oct 2026) and the £1,723 Ofgem price cap for Oct to Dec 2026, with history and all 14 regions. PDF CSV.

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25 Nov is the date to watch. That is when Ofgem sets the energy price cap for 1 Jan to 31 Mar 2027. Next come 23 Feb and 26 May 2027. Right now the cap is 26.32p a kWh for power and 7.97p for gas. Any January figure you see before 25 Nov is a forecast, not the cap.
Calendar poster titled The UK price cap calendar. Big NOV 25. Ofgem cap dates: 25 Nov 2026 for 1 Jan to 31 Mar 2027, 23 Feb 2027 for 1 Apr to 30 Jun 2027, 26 May 2027 for 1 Jul to 30 Sep 2027. Cap now, 1 Oct to 31 Dec: power 26.32p a kWh, gas 7.97p a kWh. Source: Ofgem.

ALT Calendar poster titled The UK price cap calendar. Big NOV 25. Ofgem cap dates: 25 Nov 2026 for 1 Jan to 31 Mar 2027, 23 Feb 2027 for 1 Apr to 30 Jun 2027, 26 May 2027 for 1 Jul to 30 Sep 2027. Cap now, 1 Oct to 31 Dec: power 26.32p a kWh, gas 7.97p a kWh. Source: Ofgem.

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Source: Ofgem, price cap 1 Oct to 31 Dec 2026, Direct Debit averages. Ofgem says it may publish before these dates. I break down UK bills every week, free: ukindustryandbills.substack.…
Sources. Ofgem energy price cap 1 Oct to 31 Dec 2026. Next cap dates 25 Nov 2026, 23 Feb 2027, 26 May 2027. Power 26.32p a kWh, gas 7.97p a kWh, Direct Debit. Ofgem may publish before these dates.

ALT Sources. Ofgem energy price cap 1 Oct to 31 Dec 2026. Next cap dates 25 Nov 2026, 23 Feb 2027, 26 May 2027. Power 26.32p a kWh, gas 7.97p a kWh, Direct Debit. Ofgem may publish before these dates.

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UK diesel is 198.58p a litre. A year ago it was 142.61p. A 55 litre tank now costs £109.22. Last year it cost £78.44. That is £30.78 more every fill. It has dipped 3 weeks in a row. But only by 1.46p in total.
Line chart of UK diesel pump prices from November 2025 to November 2026. It starts at 142.61p, jumps from March to about 192p in April, dips to about 165p in July, then climbs to 200.04p in October and ends at 198.58p. Source: DESNZ weekly road fuel prices.

ALT Line chart of UK diesel pump prices from November 2025 to November 2026. It starts at 142.61p, jumps from March to about 192p in April, dips to about 165p in July, then climbs to 200.04p in October and ends at 198.58p. Source: DESNZ weekly road fuel prices.

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Source: DESNZ weekly road fuel prices, week of 2 Nov 2026. Same week last year 142.61p. Tank maths is ours: price x 55 litres. Every weekly UK pump price since 2018 in one CSV and PDF: payhip.com/b/K6JDU
Sources. DESNZ weekly road fuel prices. UK diesel 198.58p a litre in the week of 2 Nov 2026, 142.61p a year earlier. Last 4 weeks 200.04p, 199.33p, 199.22p, 198.58p. A 55 litre fill is £109.22 now vs £78.44.

ALT Sources. DESNZ weekly road fuel prices. UK diesel 198.58p a litre in the week of 2 Nov 2026, 142.61p a year earlier. Last 4 weeks 200.04p, 199.33p, 199.22p, 198.58p. A 55 litre fill is £109.22 now vs £78.44.

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The gas standing charge is 29.68p a day. That is about £108 a year, before you use any gas. The Budget says the government wants it gone. It is a proposal, not a decision yet. Who could save, who may pay more, and the simple maths are in the reply.
Image from RawTrader | UK Industry & Bills (@ImRawTrader)
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Full breakdown, free: ukindustryandbills.substack.…
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£100 off energy costs lands in January. It goes to homes in council tax bands A to D in England. That is up to 20 million homes. Pay council tax by direct debit? It goes straight to your bank. If not, your council will ask you to apply. Only your council will contact you.
Dim home kitchen at dusk. Text: Household Energy Payment. £100 for 20 million homes. Bands A to D in England. Paid from January 2027. Source: GOV.UK, 28 Oct 2026.

ALT Dim home kitchen at dusk. Text: Household Energy Payment. £100 for 20 million homes. Bands A to D in England. Paid from January 2027. Source: GOV.UK, 28 Oct 2026.

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Sources: GOV.UK, DESNZ, 28 Oct 2026, What the Autumn Budget 2026 means for your energy bills. Household Energy Payment of £100 for council tax bands A to D in England. Up to 20 million homes. Paid from January 2027. Scotland, Wales and NI get funding to decide their own help.
Sources. GOV.UK, DESNZ, 28 Oct 2026. £100 Household Energy Payment for council tax bands A to D in England. Up to 20 million homes, paid from January 2027.

ALT Sources. GOV.UK, DESNZ, 28 Oct 2026. £100 Household Energy Payment for council tax bands A to D in England. Up to 20 million homes, paid from January 2027.

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Europe makes most of its own diesel. EU refineries supply about 85% of the diesel used in Europe, the European Commission says. But about a quarter of EU refineries have shut in 20 years. This week Brussels asked refiners to make more. The diesel market may stay tight into 2027.
Painted oil refinery at dusk with towers, pipes and a flare. Text: Europe makes its diesel. EU refineries supply 85% of the diesel Europe uses. Source: European Commission, 28 Oct 2026.

ALT Painted oil refinery at dusk with towers, pipes and a flare. Text: Europe makes its diesel. EU refineries supply 85% of the diesel Europe uses. Source: European Commission, 28 Oct 2026.

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Sources: European Commission news, 28 Oct 2026. Talks with EU oil refiners. EU refineries make about 85% of the diesel and 70% of the jet fuel used in Europe. Commissioner Jørgensen said about 25% of EU refineries shut in the last 20 years.
Sources. European Commission news, 28 Oct 2026. EU refineries supply about 85% of diesel and 70% of jet fuel used in Europe. About a quarter of EU refineries closed in 20 years. Diesel market may stay tight into 2027.

ALT Sources. European Commission news, 28 Oct 2026. EU refineries supply about 85% of diesel and 70% of jet fuel used in Europe. About a quarter of EU refineries closed in 20 years. Diesel market may stay tight into 2027.

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Keeping the power grid steady cost £50.9m in one day. That was 14 Oct, the top day this month in NESO's own data. Most of it, £47.8m, paid some power plants to switch off and others to switch on, because the wires could not carry the power. That cost ends up in our bills.
Electricity pylons and power lines across dark fields under an orange and purple painted sky. Text: £50.9m in one day. What it cost to balance the grid on 14 Oct. Source: NESO balancing costs.

ALT Electricity pylons and power lines across dark fields under an orange and purple painted sky. Text: £50.9m in one day. What it cost to balance the grid on 14 Oct. Source: NESO balancing costs.

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Sources: NESO daily balancing costs data, 2026/27 file, fetched 29 Oct. 14 Oct 2026 total £50.9m across all cost lines, of which constraints £47.8m. Data runs to 21 Oct.
Sources. NESO daily balancing costs data, 2026/27 file. 14 Oct 2026 total £50.9m, of which constraints £47.8m. Constraints means paying plants to switch off or on when the wires are full. Data runs to 21 Oct.

ALT Sources. NESO daily balancing costs data, 2026/27 file. 14 Oct 2026 total £50.9m, of which constraints £47.8m. Constraints means paying plants to switch off or on when the wires are full. Data runs to 21 Oct.

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North Sea tax is about to dry up. Oil and gas taxes bring in about £5.1bn this year, the OBR says. By 2030/31 that drops to just £0.3bn. Why? The Energy Profits Levy ends in September 2029, and output keeps falling by about 10% a year. What fills that gap?
An offshore oil platform in a calm sea at dusk, with a tanker in the distance. Text: North Sea tax fades. £5.1bn this year, £0.3bn by 2030/31. Source: OBR, Oct 2026.

ALT An offshore oil platform in a calm sea at dusk, with a tanker in the distance. Text: North Sea tax fades. £5.1bn this year, £0.3bn by 2030/31. Source: OBR, Oct 2026.

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Sources: OBR Economic and fiscal outlook, October 2026, paras 4.26 to 4.28. Receipts cover offshore corporation tax, PRT and the Energy Profits Levy. £5.1bn in 2026/27, £1.9bn in 2028/29, £0.3bn in 2030/31.
Sources. OBR Economic and fiscal outlook, October 2026, paragraphs 4.26 to 4.28. North Sea oil and gas receipts £5.1bn in 2026/27, £1.9bn in 2028/29, £0.3bn in 2030/31, close to zero in 2031/32. Main reasons: Energy Profits Levy ends September 2029, output falls about 10% a year.

ALT Sources. OBR Economic and fiscal outlook, October 2026, paragraphs 4.26 to 4.28. North Sea oil and gas receipts £5.1bn in 2026/27, £1.9bn in 2028/29, £0.3bn in 2030/31, close to zero in 2031/32. Main reasons: Energy Profits Levy ends September 2029, output falls about 10% a year.

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If the new Sizewell C nuclear plant runs over budget, who pays? Bill payers could pay £9.8bn more while it is built. Investors would put in just £30m more. That is what the Public Accounts Committee found this week. The plant could cost up to £47.7bn. Fair deal?
A nuclear power station with two domes on a flat coast at dusk. Text: Who pays the overrun. Bill payers carry £9.8bn if Sizewell C runs over. Investors carry £30m. Source: Public Accounts Committee, 28 Oct 2026.

ALT A nuclear power station with two domes on a flat coast at dusk. Text: Who pays the overrun. Bill payers carry £9.8bn if Sizewell C runs over. Investors carry £30m. Source: Public Accounts Committee, 28 Oct 2026.

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Sources: Public Accounts Committee, Sizewell C report, 28 Oct 2026. Cost range £40.5bn to £47.7bn. The extra £9.8bn is during the build, plus £12bn more over 60 years, in real terms.
Sources. Public Accounts Committee, Sizewell C, 17th Report, published 28 October 2026. Cost range £40.5bn to £47.7bn. If costs hit £47.7bn, bill payers pay £9.8bn more during the build and £12bn over 60 years. Investors put in £30m more.

ALT Sources. Public Accounts Committee, Sizewell C, 17th Report, published 28 October 2026. Cost range £40.5bn to £47.7bn. If costs hit £47.7bn, bill payers pay £9.8bn more during the build and £12bn over 60 years. Investors put in £30m more.

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Fewer people are getting a mortgage to buy a home. Banks approved 53,443 home loans for buyers in September. That is the lowest since December 2023, Bank of England data shows. Remortgages went up. People are hunting for a cheaper deal as rates rise. Is your fix ending soon?
A row of terraced houses at dusk with one lit window and a blank sign in a front garden. Text: UK home loans. Fewest home loans since 2023. 53,443 approved for buyers in September. RAWTRADER.

ALT A row of terraced houses at dusk with one lit window and a blank sign in a front garden. Text: UK home loans. Fewest home loans since 2023. 53,443 approved for buyers in September. RAWTRADER.

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Source: Bank of England, Money and Credit, September 2026. Out 29 Oct 2026. Mortgage approvals for home buyers, net, seasonally adjusted (code LPMVTVX): 53,443. The last lower month was December 2023 at 52,577. Remortgage approvals rose to 42,600.
Sources. Bank of England, Money and Credit, September 2026, published 29 October 2026. Net mortgage approvals for house purchase. September 53,443, seasonally adjusted. December 2023 was 52,577. Remortgages 42,600.

ALT Sources. Bank of England, Money and Credit, September 2026, published 29 October 2026. Net mortgage approvals for house purchase. September 53,443, seasonally adjusted. December 2023 was 52,577. Remortgages 42,600.

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Europe's main gas price hit €100 a megawatt hour on Wednesday. That is the first time since December 2022. Gas plants often set the UK power price at peak times. So this feeds into UK bills and factory costs next. And winter has barely started.
Gas storage tanks and pipes at dusk under a dark sky. Text: Europe gas price. Gas hits €100. First time since December 2022. RAWTRADER.

ALT Gas storage tanks and pipes at dusk under a dark sky. Text: Europe gas price. Gas hits €100. First time since December 2022. RAWTRADER.

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Source: Reuters, 28 Oct 2026, ICE data. The Dutch TTF front month gas contract briefly traded at €100 per MWh around 13:35 GMT, the first time since December 2022. S&P Global Platts also reports trades above €100.
Sources. Reuters, 28 October 2026, using ICE data. Dutch TTF gas briefly traded at €100 per MWh, the first time since December 2022. S&P Global Platts also reports trades above €100.

ALT Sources. Reuters, 28 October 2026, using ICE data. Dutch TTF gas briefly traded at €100 per MWh, the first time since December 2022. S&P Global Platts also reports trades above €100.

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