Iraq analyst and observer of U.S.-Iraq relations. Senior Fellow @enablingpeace مختص في دراسة العلاقات العراقية-الأمريكية
Washington, DC
Joined November 2011
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The Tishreen anniversary protests went without too much tensions. This event did show a slowed down momentum for reform, a too exhausted reform movement, a successful traditional parties campaign to weaken the protest movement.
Ahmed Ali retweeted
يسرني توقيع مذكرة التفاهم بين معهد الخدمة الخارجية والمعهد الدبلوماسي الأردني، خلال الزيارة الرسمية لدولة رئيس مجلس الوزراء إلى المملكة الأردنية الهاشمية الشقيقة. نتطلع إلى تفعيلها عبر برامج مشتركة للتدريب وتبادل الخبرات، بما يعزز التعاون الدبلوماسي بين البلدين.
رئيس مجلس الوزراء السيد علي فالح الزيدي ورئيس مجلس الوزراء الأردني يرعيان مراسم التوقيع على 9 مذكرات تفاهم وبرامج تنفيذية هي:
1- مذكرة تفاهم للتعاون في مجال المنافسة ومنع الاحتكار.
2- مذكرة تفاهم في مجال حماية البيئة.
3- مذكرة تفاهم للتعاون في مجال التعليم العالي والبحث العلمي، للأعوام 2026-2031.
4- مذكرة تفاهم للتعاون في مجال حماية المستهلك.
5-مذكرة تفاهم في مجال الوثائق والمحفوظات.
6 -مذكرة تفاهم بشأن التعاون بين المعهد الدبلوماسي ومعهد الخدمة الخارجية في جمهورية العراق.
7.آلية التعاون في مجال دعم المشاريع الصغيرة والمتوسطة.
8- نسخة معدلة من البرنامج التنفيذي للتعاون الثقافي، للأعوام 2026 - 2028.
9- البرنامج التنفيذي للتعاون التربوي للأعوام 2026 - 2028.
Also keep in mind, my research shows the U.S. doesn’t have a policy to counter China or Russia in Iraq. It is not even a low level priority. Meanwhile, China and Russia find new ways to strengthen presence. Definition of wasted opportunity.
Rumors of Chinese air defense systems in Iraq. Having just done research on China in Iraq, it is not far fetched Beijing will provide pro-Iran fasail with low level air defense technology. They are pretty close allies and this is Iraq in a new Middle East.
Iraqi sources say the Baghdad government suspects that Israel is responsible for 2 explosions last week at militia ammunition storage sites. The sites contained Chinese shoulder fired air defense weapons that had just recently arrived from Iran. aawsat.com/%D8%B4%D8%A4%D9%8…
1- The last two months have been busy for us @enablingpeace. We covered the implications of the U.S. military withdrawal, shared research findings on Iran, China, and Russia in Iraq, and I had the pleasure of being on a panel @FPRI.
To catch up, follow videos in the next post.
2-
youtu.be/4dzsK3v0B3o?si=J-Jr… - U.S. vs Iran in Iraq.
youtu.be/vfvFRdPmPP8?si=6rmE… - The research groundview from Iraq.
youtu.be/WO506xOEqdA?si=Dn9U… - China and Russia in Iraq.
youtu.be/pg58fNqSM5k?si=J-e_… EPIC on the U.S. military departure from Iraq.
youtu.be/VVJydYMyOCQ?si=0sa8… - FPRI panel.
Valuable contribution as always.
At #MERIForum 2026, I spoke on a panel titled “After the Coalition: #Iraq, #Kurdistan and the New Regional Balance.”
In this @FPRI panel, I had a great conversation with @MohammedASalih and David Schenker on the implications of the U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq. Give it a listen.
youtu.be/VVJydYMyOCQ
Ahmed Ali retweeted
Here’s the video of yesterday’s @FPRI discussion featuring David Schenker (@davidschenker1), Senior Fellow at @WashInstitute and former US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs, and Ahmed Ali (@IraqShamel), Visiting Senior Fellow at the Enabling Peace in Iraq Center (@enablingpeace) and an expert on Iraqi affairs and US–Iraq relations.
Give it a watch or listen!
youtube.com/watch?v=VVJydYMy…
Looking forward to discussing the implications of the U.S. withdrawal with @MohammedASalih and David Schenker tomorrow The panel will be hosted by The Foreign Policy Research Institute, @FPRI. Thanks to them for the timely event. Tune in and bring your questions.
Join us tomorrow for a timely webinar on Iraq after the US troop withdrawal.
I’ll moderate the discussion hosted by the Foreign Policy Research Institute @FPRI, featuring David Schenker @davidschenker1, senior fellow at @WashInstitute and former US assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs, and Ahmed Ali @IraqShamel, visiting senior fellow at the Enabling Peace in Iraq Center @enablingpeace and an expert on Iraqi affairs and Iraq-US relations.
📅 October 15
⏰ 11:00 a.m. ET
Register here:
fpri.org/event/2026/iraq-aft…
Ahmed Ali retweeted
Join us tomorrow for a timely webinar on Iraq after the US troop withdrawal.
I’ll moderate the discussion hosted by the Foreign Policy Research Institute @FPRI, featuring David Schenker @davidschenker1, senior fellow at @WashInstitute and former US assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs, and Ahmed Ali @IraqShamel, visiting senior fellow at the Enabling Peace in Iraq Center @enablingpeace and an expert on Iraqi affairs and Iraq-US relations.
📅 October 15
⏰ 11:00 a.m. ET
Register here:
fpri.org/event/2026/iraq-aft…
Ahmed Ali retweeted
Now in Kurdish …
چاودێری مەشخەڵی گازەکانی عێراق ئێستا بە زمانی کوردی بەردەستە
@IraqFlaring now supports Sorani Kurdish... we thank
@WeblateOrg for their generous support.
iraqflaringwatch.com/?lang=c…
Ahmed Ali retweeted
In this video, I had the unique opportunity to discuss the implications of the U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq with my friends @epicEKG and @omar_nidawi
- Why the U.S. was in country?
- Where do we go from here?
- What is the big challenge to Iraq & US?
youtu.be/pg58fNqSM5k
In this video, I had the unique opportunity to discuss the implications of the U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq with my friends @epicEKG and @omar_nidawi
- Why the U.S. was in country?
- Where do we go from here?
- What is the big challenge to Iraq & US?
youtu.be/pg58fNqSM5k
Ahmed Ali retweeted
The U.S. military has officially concluded Operation Inherent Resolve. What happens to the balance of power now?
Joined @omar_nidawi and @IraqShamel to the 2014-2026 context, regional security implications, and where things go from here.
Tune in: youtu.be/pg58fNqSM5k
Just finished tuning in to this. Learned a lot. Great job by @MUNQITHDAGHER as always. He and his group have been doing very reliable polling for so long and know how to deal with all the difficulties of field work. Doing polling is more difficult now than just a few years ago.
Ahmed Ali retweeted
تعليقاتي على موضوع الانسحاب العسكري الأمريكي من العراق وقضية الفصائل المسلحة
bbc.com/arabic/podcasts/p0h6…
This reception room looks very similar to the one in mam Jalal's house in Dabashan. Also good to see engagement of Baghdad's think tanks by Kurdish parties.
لقاءنا مع المكتب السياسي للاتحاد الوطني الكردستاني في بغداد مع نخبة من مدراء مراكز التفكير وممثلي قنوات اعلامية عربية وأجنبية وحوار ممتع وصريح مع معالي د.خالد شواني @Khalid__Shwani وزير العدل ورئيس المكتب السياسي والدكتور كاروان كه زنه يي @karwanGaznay المتحدث الرسمي باسم الاتحاد، والحديث حول مجريات المنطقة والمتغيرات الدولية وموقع العراق منها.ناقشنا دور الاتحاد الوطني الكردستاني في العملية السياسية وأهمية بناء الدولة مستذكرين مسيرة الراحل الكبير الرئيس مام جلال طالباني ودوره في تعزيز الهوية الوطنية ووحدة الصف الوطني وتقديم مصلحة العراق على المصالح الحزبية الضيقة .
The different visions for US-Iraq relations on display: fasail trample on the American flag in Baghdad today while young Iraqi graduates of U.S.-supported exchange programs celebrate ties with America just two weeks ago. Example of troubled relations & competition for influence.
#CDA Ambassador Steven H. Fagin was delighted to join the Alumni Summit in Baghdad, celebrating the relaunch of the Iraq-U.S. Exchange Alumni Association! It is inspiring to see U.S. exchange alumni connecting with American businesses to strengthen the future of U.S.-Iraq commercial ties. #U.S.-IraqAlumniSummit2026